oconeexman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We have light snow in Oconee SC by granny!!! Kudos to you Lookout! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 woo hoo - kudos for sure to lookout! snowing! (no sleet, all snow) i think my other post was premature by just a few minutes lol. its coming down now...seems to be mostly sleet. your post a page or so back will hopefully be right and give us at least a couple of hours of some snow lol thanks. I would feel better though if I wasn't getting so screwed here. only periods of light rain mixed with sleet. Significant Precip just won't make it here and by the time it does, it's going to be rain. So yet another one you get it and I don't lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 lol thanks. I would feel better though if I wasn't getting so screwed here. only periods of light rain mixed with sleet. Significant Precip just won't make it here and by the time it does, it's going to be rain. So yet another one you get it and I don't lol. well that sucks - hopefully the heavier returns will reach you in time. parts of alabama have apparently gone to wsw now with a couple of inches. hopefully that bodes well for n ga and the upstate/nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snoebuck Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Light to moderate sleet here, temp 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We have light snow in Oconee SC by granny!!! Kudos to you Lookout! Wow! The RUC analysis at 925mb must be totally off. Its looking increasingly likely that the NW Upstate of SC is going to get some snowfall... perhaps even some minor accumulations (trace to 1"). Folks in Pickens, Greenville, Spartainburg... be on the lookout! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 dusting now lookouts favorite is talking about the snow and mix, and the rain from gainesville to the ne cos its green on his screen. apparently he didnt check any observations lol (glenn burns) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 anyone think there will be freezing rain? it looks like a good possibility right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 lol thanks. I would feel better though if I wasn't getting so screwed here. only periods of light rain mixed with sleet. Significant Precip just won't make it here and by the time it does, it's going to be rain. So yet another one you get it and I don't lol. You're getting what I'm getting I think? Yes, mainly rain with maybe a little sleet mixed in at times. 36.5 now and still falling though. WB 35.2. No wind at all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We have light snow in Oconee SC by granny!!! Kudos to you Lookout! Just glad it worked out lol...well for everyone but me of course. The far northwest upstate/sw nc might fair pretty well. Robert has already touched on it but this area has been the target of the models for the slowest warm up, both in the boundary layer and the mid levels. And with precip looking pretty well organized and heading that way, might be a nice evening for you guys. I'm not saying everyone will but Would not be surprised if snow/sleet or some combo of mix hangs on in the far northwest upstate, extreme ne ga, and western nc for a good part of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 composite refl' starting to fill in over southwestern NC. might start reaching the surface after while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Temperature continues to drop. Now 34.9. Would really like a two hour delay tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Mostly sleet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Wow! The RUC analysis at 925mb must be totally off. Its looking increasingly likely that the NW Upstate of SC is going to get some snowfall... perhaps even some minor accumulations (trace to 1"). Folks in Pickens, Greenville, Spartainburg... be on the lookout! Keep in mind that is before evaporational cooling with the precip. 900 to 950mb wetbulbs in the western carolinas are -2 to -4c range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Mostly sleet now. uh oh. guess i should enjoy my remaining snow lol temp down to 34 and the ground is white. its really coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 rain/sleet mix now. temp is 31.8 td 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 40 here in the virga storm...... WB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Wow! The RUC analysis at 925mb must be totally off. Its looking increasingly likely that the NW Upstate of SC is going to get some snowfall... perhaps even some minor accumulations (trace to 1"). Folks in Pickens, Greenville, Spartainburg... be on the lookout! Just off the phone to confirm that a dusting is happening in Mtn Rest, Walhalla in Oconee.....15 miles northwest of here! Just a few flakes here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 All snow now in Adairsville and the ground is covered. Nice surprise!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Any reason to be concerned about ZR tonight? Alabama looks pretty icy from traffic cams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 well that sucks - hopefully the heavier returns will reach you in time. parts of alabama have apparently gone to wsw now with a couple of inches. hopefully that bodes well for n ga and the upstate/nc Doesn't look likely, in fact the southern edge of the precip has eroded and is shifting north. It's funny, last night it looked like I was in a good spot..maybe a really good spot because of that finger of precip was virtually on top of me and there were hints this area would be in a favorable spot for on and off precip most of the day. But the sad reality is more precip has fallen in every direction here today. I guess I shouldn't complain given how well I did in the last two but when 85% of the active posters here get more than just token sleet mixed with rain and instead get snow for a while (combined with all that is happening in al/ms) it still stings a lot. Despite dawson's sleet report, will be interesting to see if he switches back over once that heavy batch moves in from the west. I would wager he does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hugo_fran Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Sleet in S Charlotte right below you burger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Keep in mind that is before evaporational cooling with the precip. 900 to 950mb wetbulbs in the western carolinas are -2 to -4c range. True... although I would have thought it would have taken a lot longer with a +2 to +3 degree C temps at 925mb to cool to 0 to allow snowfall to occur across NE Ga and Upstate SC. There are also places down near Atlanta that have been getting snowfall for the last few hours, where RUC never showed the 850mb temp getting even close to 0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 temp 35 dew point 32/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's official...I have a dusting on the ground...of sleet...LOL. If there is such a thing.... Temp is 33.9 with steady sleet...all sleet at this moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 wow the gfs is close to .2 freezing rain tonight in hky. keeps trending slightly colder. the meso high over virginia is providing a nice in-situ wedge. with such little waa, could be interesting around here tomorrow morning. I saw Brad Panovich on WCNC tonight say that he wouldn't be surprised if this was upgraded to an ice storm warning for the NW piedmont and foothill counties of NC. His in-house model put the 0.25+ inch zone over all of Caldwell and Burke counties. Hickory was right on the edge of that gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 WWA issued for some of north georgia. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 One thing I see interesting on the soundings from the central and western carolinas on the 18z gfs, specifically the foothills and northern piedmont. The nonogram chart (thicknesses) supports sleet and freezing rain through 3PM tomorrow, however, the actual soundings rise just above freezing in most places around sunrise. Usually this hints the models are having a difficult time with the actual thermal profile aloft. There is very limited WAA with this. So any bust on the temps to the low side could prove interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 looks like I have some nice returns on my doorstep. Lets see if we can switch back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob_ Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 32.2 and rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 True... although I would have thought it would have taken a lot longer with a +2 to +3 degree C temps at 925mb to cool to 0 to allow snowfall to occur across NE Ga and Upstate SC. There are also places down near Atlanta that have been getting snowfall for the last few hours, where RUC never showed the 850mb temp getting even close to 0 degrees. Indeed but that's because it, along with every other model, failed to recognize the evaporational cooling. 850mb dewpoints were as low as -20 to -30c, which made wetbulbs subfreezing despite initial 850mb temps of 6 or 7c and the model insisting on 850mb temps only dropping to 3 or 4c. and with precip ahead of schedule and thus ahead of the waa, the models failed miserably. Oh and with dewpoints in the 900 to 950mb layer as low as 14 to -5F, it doesn't take a long for that temp to drop. Plus with subfreezing dewpoints, frozen precip can hang on longer even if the temp is above freezing. I'm more amazed with how much they failed in alabama though. I expected it here somewhat but in alabama, the models truly blew chunks with surface temps..busting by as much as 8 degrees around bhm. Haven't seen a temp bust like that around the southeast in a winter event situation in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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