Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Remember this winter. Coastals just haven't given us rainstorms. Now this is a very good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nice run on the GFS for a lot of SNE. Hopefully its correct. you really want more snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Crazy Uncle agrees with the NAM...not a good trend. Looks a bit colder, but that only helps the fine folks in SW NH...good run for CNE though. I could easily see them being more correct thant the GFS, but I'm not ready to buy that, yet.....crazy unc is prone to that crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 you really want more snow? Would you want rain on top of a 37" snow pack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 you really want more snow? Doesn't everyone here want more snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I hate the NAM...it's alway trying to do something that blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I hope the GEM is through Bermuda, again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Crazy Uncle agrees with the NAM...not a good trend. Looks a bit colder, but that only helps the fine folks in SW NH...good run for CNE though. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I hate the NAM...it's alway trying to do something that blows. Eventually our luck is going to run out...it might be this storm. Just in time to save 1969's record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Eventually our luck is going to run out...it might be this storm. Just in time to save 1969's record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 If the EURO looks like azz, then I think we're done.....you never want to rely on the GFS when it's the most supressed soloution, nevermind in a pattern that favors a hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 00z nogaps FTW...500 miles SE of ACK (at this point out with today's storm, it was taking the low over ACK, if that means anything) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 00z nogaps FTW...500 miles SE of ACK (at this point out with today's storm, it was taking the low over ACK, if that means anything) Good.....I think the EURO will looks ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM is a scraper for the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM is a scraper for the Cape. It's a beaut, Clark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM has been really good with picking up trends this season...that does scare me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's a beaut, Clark. you know how it is son, one light goes out, they all go out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM has been really good with picking up trends this season...that does scare me. The hope is that it has the right idea of more amped but its just doing it too much verbatim and we get something more like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The hope is that it has the right idea of more amped but its just doing it too much verbatim and we get something more like the GFS. The NAM looked like the GFS, until 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM has been really good with picking up trends this season...that does scare me. NAM would blow down this way...develops too late...perhaps I get a few inches or so but the GFS would be much better...for everyone too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Jsut watched a tape delay of WHDH )7, Pete calling for a washout in my area Saturday with only chance of snow on tail end. Is he out to lunch? Admittedly I haven't even looked at this storm, but amazed with the way things have been going he must see this as an inland runner. In all sincerety, does he see something I//we don't or is he going for broke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM would blow down this way...develops too late...perhaps I get a few inches or so but the GFS would be much better...for everyone too. You need your eyes examined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GEFS marginal Boston S and E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 You need your eyes examined. It's still in the getting together stages at 66 HR and by 72 HR it finally has a much better look but this run would certainly be much better for CNE and NNE than it would be down here. Anyways, the NAM might bring mixing issues here anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's still in the getting together stages at 66 HR and by 72 HR it finally has a much better look but this run would certainly be much better for CNE and NNE than it would be down here. Anyways, the NAM might bring mixing issues here anyway. The NAM is a soaker for all of sne because it's TOO amped....what are you talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Pete Bouchard said something New to me - After further review of the 00z GFS, there is a SMALL chance that as the shortwave goes negative tilt Sat. PM, the rain/snow line may jerk back to the coast as it departs northeast. This may not be determined until the day before the event...and the storm CAN'T sail north into Maine - it has to head off Cape Cod to the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 00Z GFS shows 0.90 QPF for KBOS by 8am Sunday. Also shows 2m temps between 25-30F. Given the close to freezing temps, that 0.90 QPF would translate to what, 6-9 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What a weird distribution of models at only 60-72h out: NAM: CNE hit, mostly rain for SNE SREF: SNE light to moderate hit, a bit SE for bigger hit GFS and GEFS: Good SNE hit GGEM: Whiff, maybe some light precip for Cape Ukie: Good CNE hit, maybe into Monadnocks and NW MA. NOGAPS: Whiff Euro/Euro ensembles: pending Thats some pretty atrocious agreement for <3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Pete Bouchard said something New to me - After further review of the 00z GFS, there is a SMALL chance that as the shortwave goes negative tilt Sat. PM, the rain/snow line may jerk back to the coast as it departs northeast. This may not be determined until the day before the event...and the storm CAN'T sail north into Maine - it has to head off Cape Cod to the northeast. ?? can u explain how you're talking to him? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.