weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Are we looking at a 2/10/05 type of thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL...Ukie brings Logan11 a rainstorm. This model agreement is awful. This is like the late 90s again. This model war scares me because we are just so ripely overdue for a rainer and this is just the pattern to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I still think the risk is a little more closer to the coast, unless the meat grinder GFS verifies. The s/w speed and shearing is the only real thing arguing for an offshore track, but if that trends stronger...then this comes closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Are we looking at a 2/10/05 type of thing? That was the one that was supposed to give us 12-18" and it ended up being 1.5" of rain and Bridgeton, ME got buried.....remember that vividly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Are we looking at a 2/10/05 type of thing? That was horrible model agreement too...ETA was giving us a huge snowstorm while GFS was further NW and more of a rain to snow situation. GFS ended up winning....but not totally...it showed like 20" of snow out near Albany and northwest toward Rick's area, but it was a huge bust there. Still got snow but amounts were much lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Kevins gonna flip Tolland schools closed again but worse the national guard is coming to widen the roads.. Heavy heavy damage to his piles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'm gonna puke if the UK and RGEM win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That was horrible model agreement too...ETA was giving us a huge snowstorm while GFS was further NW and more of a rain to snow situation. GFS ended up winning....but not totally...it showed like 20" of snow out near Albany and northwest toward Rick's area, but it was a huge bust there. Still got snow but amounts were much lower. I just remember Randy and Matt flying up because winter was kind of a dud in DC that year. Originally they were coming to Boston, then CON, they ended up in the White Mtns to get their snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL...Ukie brings Logan11 a rainstorm. This model agreement is awful. This is like the late 90s again. Meh, I say more like the mid to late 1980's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS trended a little closer to making Tues into a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS trended a little closer to making Tues into a Miller B. Don't think it will happen, but trend that vort a little further s and boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Let's just focus on the Saturday situation before we start looking at potential other storms this week. What and where this storm goes will determine how the others will fall into place somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS trended a little closer to making Tues into a Miller B. Looks warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I wonder if that Tues event blowing up more will create enough confluence to send the bomb OTS, this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks warm... No sh**.....it isn't there and it probably won't get there...just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 No sh**.....it isn't there and it probably won't get there...just saying. Go snow or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Bomb is a bit more progressive this run, but will still prob hit....Messenger may like this run. Given the speed of the MLJ/ULJ over the next several days I think were going to see lots of issues with timing and such...for one were looking at a 160+ knot ULJ...that's pretty sick stuff. This is going to drive models nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Gonna be a hugger lol.....oh well....H5 wk in progress...me FTL. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Given the speed of the MLJ/ULJ over the next several days I think were going to see lots of issues with timing and such...for one were looking at a 160+ knot ULJ...that's pretty sick stuff. This is going to drive models nuts. I was wrong....not sweating the details, just trying to practice H5 interp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Preliminary thoughts. Euro will probably shift to either a driving rain storm or OTS tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I was wrong....not sweating the details, just trying to practice H5 interp. I feel you...sometimes you gotta dip your feet in the water...best way to learn IMO. I know so many preach reading more to learn but that doesn't work for everyone. I can say I've learned more from posting, even if I was wrong rather than reading. At least if I post something that is incorrect someone is most certain to point out I was wrong and will give the correct reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Low goes over Messenger and jackpots GC....I actually think something close to this run is going to ultimately be the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I feel you...sometimes you gotta dip your feet in the water...best way to learn IMO. I know so many preach reading more to learn but that doesn't work for everyone. I can say I've learned more from posting, even if I was wrong rather than reading. At least if I post something that is incorrect someone is most certain to point out I was wrong and will give the correct reason. Well, I think that applies more to newbies...I mean, I'm no expert, but I can hold my own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS says Cantore should be stationed back at ORH next week for #4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Low goes over Messenger and jackpots GC....I actually think something close to this run is going to ultimately be the outcome. Either way were looking at a fairly large storm, just an incredible amount of dynamics in play here and probably a great deal of moisture feed. Even if it's a mix or rain or whatever a storm of this caliber is most certainly going to cause major issues for roofs/structures that have been weakened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Either way were looking at a fairly large storm, just an incredible amount of dynamics in play here and probably a great deal of moisture feed. Even if it's a mix or rain or whatever a storm of this caliber is most certainly going to cause major issues for roofs/structures that have been weakened. I'd take this run and sprint all the way to history.....1' net gain....at this point, moneyshot mike and Will can have the jackpot...I don't expect to compete with them....I just want to continue building my pack. I am worried sick about Sat night, though....has a shot to put a sizeable dent in many of our packs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Well, I think that applies more to newbies...I mean, I'm no expert, but I can hold my own. Well yeah, especially when it comes to learning board dynamics and such...but I mean for those *really* interested in learning more about the weather and reading models sometimes just reading isn't enough. I think I've learned more this winter about model reading than at any other point in my time posting since 2006 and I think it's b/c I've decided to dip my toes a bit more. Anyways though I'm continued to be impressed at how active the pattern continues to look...were definitely due for something to track up one of our fannies but this beats boring weather where we have to talk temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 969mb and dropping as it reaches our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GGEM is a less amplified version of the RGEM...probably a rain to snow situation. Nice run for Monadnocks though and CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'd take this run and sprint all the way to history.....1' net gain....at this point, moneyshot mike and Will can have the jackpot...I don't expect to compete with them....I just want to continue building my pack. I am worried sick about Sat night, though....has a shot to put a sizeable dent in many of our packs. I am really worried about Saturday as well, if it is going to be more of a liquid event than I hope it has as little QPF as possible. This storm end of the week if it worked would certainly be history for many...this is why I kind of hope Saturday can work out and the Monday/Tuesday can perform into a few inches...BDL could certainly get to 100'' by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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