40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 RGEM is tracking the low up into CT....rain all the way to dendrite. Same story all season....it's gonna keep trending west until it ends up east of it's last run. AMT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Bruchard's map. Pretty bold, especially with some of the recent runs. I don't think it's that bold. NAM is trash....RGEM has a better shot of being right, unfortunately.....RGEM is the last soloution I want to see verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 the euro has been very consistent as far as i can tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Bouchard's map is pretty good imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 My guess is that the GFS will be a little more amped than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 man we are just ripping southerly breezes here looks like that is forecast to continue not a fan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 My guess is that the GFS will be a little more amped than 12z. Does not look like the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 A little closer to the Delmarva at hr 42 than hr 54 at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Does not look like the case. I wouldn't be so sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Right over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS has snow breaking out PYM-PVD-TOL/BDL and N and W up into NH/VT/ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like it's over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Modest snow event on GFS...almost all snow for most...but SNE event it would seem this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like it's over the BM. That vortmax is kind of putrid looking...hopefully its a bit stronger on future runs to give a more defined ML center otherwise the precip will be pretty light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It appears to be true: Go snow or go home...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS likes interior se MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That vortmax is kind of putrid looking...hopefully its a bit stronger on future runs to give a more defined ML center otherwise the precip will be pretty light. I'd take that and run.....stronger event really puts me at risk of a rainer and I'm all set with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That vortmax is kind of putrid looking...hopefully its a bit stronger on future runs to give a more defined ML center otherwise the precip will be pretty light. Yeah it gets the old meat grinder treatment. This is one of those lows, where the qpf is pretty much dynamic driven. No real overrunning, just all mid level low dynamics pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 heres the 00z ukmet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS likes interior se MA. It's actually not bad looking on the soundings for much of sne. Good lift and RH even up to you, despite qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 heres the 00z ukmet lol Yea, won't go that far west, but this is still a rain risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 heres the 00z ukmet lol WTF is going on with models??? UKIE and RGEM are completely different. Someone is going to get seriously schooled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Whiff....I would have to go with the doc on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 heres the 00z ukmet lol Enjoy the rain. Same hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The UKIE looks like it should be for Tuesday with that depiction...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 This might not end up being a storm which produces widespread warning criteria for most but this at least should still be a solid advisory event for many...might see something in the 3-7'' for just about everyone...now getting towards the 7'' side could be considered warning criteria, especially if it mets the time threshold for accumulations. As long as it just continues to add to the season totals I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL...Ukie brings Logan11 a rainstorm. This model agreement is awful. This is like the late 90s again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Good luck with you guys that have clients to forcast for on this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'm out. Hopefully next week looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 the euro has been a rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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