40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I disagree Ray, I think its something much more than a classic arctic front, in fact I think its a region wide 4-8 higher end totals east of 91. We'll see; I respectfully disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That was total.. What did you have total? No, that was for yesterday only. But I was just busting balls anyway. 5+ is very reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 We'll see; I respectfully disagree. dually noted. my reasons are simple, there seems to be a weak ss disturbance, there is an actual wave on the front that dampens out as it comes east, excellent baro zone to feed off of, should have an excellent temperature gradient, could be a powder keg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 You noted it twice? Or did you note it duly? dually noted. my reasons are simple, there seems to be a weak ss disturbance, there is an actual wave on the front that dampens out as it comes east, excellent baro zone to feed off of, should have an excellent temperature gradient, could be a powder keg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Just got the call. Schools closed again tomorrow..Structural engineers said the roofs are past weight limits and not safe..and that the forecast calls for more heavy snow over the weekend. Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 You noted it twice? Or did you note it duly? :weenie: Triple bunner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 dually noted. my reasons are simple, there seems to be a weak ss disturbance, there is an actual wave on the front that dampens out as it comes east, excellent baro zone to feed off of, should have an excellent temperature gradient, could be a powder keg. I'm not saying that there is no potential....Will has been eying that and the EURO blew it up on a run about 36 hrs ago, but I find it hard to believe that will happen considering what is going to go down a fews days either side of that. I consider those anafrontal deals to be in the same classification as the inverted trough and "backlash" deals......pots of gold at the end of the rainbow, more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 You noted it twice? Or did you note it duly? Sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 mattnoyes Matt Noyes Though no Livestream tonight, a few 4cast thoughts. Looks like a .3-.5" liquid equiv event for Srn NewEng Sat PM/night. Should yield 5"+ .3 - .5 liquid equivalent isnt yielding 5"+ this event .. no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 .3 - .5 liquid equivalent isnt yielding 5"+ this event .. no way 5-8 is reasonable all of interior SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 5-8 is reasonable all of interior SNE I violently agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 .3 - .5 liquid equivalent isnt yielding 5"+ this event .. no way We're probably getting btwn .5" and .75". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 5-8 is reasonable all of interior SNE oh, I def could see that happening, just not from that liquid equivalent .. 5"-8" if the 18z NAM type evolution occurs. 0z runs will be big tonight I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 5-8 is reasonable all of interior SNE I think Boston will be included in that. You seem to have an interior fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think Boston will be included in that. You seem to have an interior fetish. That and elevation lol....he doesn't harp on the fact that N of the pike seems to be favored when considering the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 We're probably getting btwn .5" and .75". eh I'd hedge closer to the .5" right now if anything, but my issue before was more with the 6"+ with .3-.5 QPF .. especially with warmer boundary layer and surface I think 8:1 to 10:1 ratios will be reasonable .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Absolutely!! By the way, I visited my parents in Wilmington today and I have to tell ya that the amount of snow on the ground is increadible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 .3 - .5 liquid equivalent isnt yielding 5"+ this event .. no way Out here it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 eh I'd hedge closer to the .5" right now if anything, but my issue before was more with the 6"+ with .3-.5 QPF .. especially with warmer boundary layer and surface I think 8:1 to 10:1 ratios will be reasonable .. Only N ORH co and W MA have a shot at anything better than 10:1 throughout most of the event.....mid levels are an impediment s of the pike and low levels on the cp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Absolutely!! By the way, I visited my parents in Wilmington today and I have to tell ya that the amount of snow on the ground is increadible. Don't you live in Wilmington.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Hey guys relax. I wasn't trying to start a war. I just wanted to kep it reall. Who knows, May the little storm Saturday might gives us all a suprize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Only N ORH co and W MA have a shot at anything better than 10:1 throughout most of the event.....mid levels are an impediment s of the pike and low levels on the cp. Agreed...and that's what's going to make this event BAD. Normally an event like this is nothing but considering all the roof/structural issues the last thing we need is a heavy/wet snow...event if it's only 3-4''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Little dead zone banter, 5-10 sat? Dead serious, not sure why people are not talking about Tuesday, classic LP formation on an artic front, classic stuff, then next weekend, thats a pattern changer, somebody in New England will get 30+ inches of snow over the next 8 days, take that to the bank. Hi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That and elevation lol....he doesn't harp on the fact that N of the pike seems to be favored when considering the mid levels. I think it's an interior event until it bombs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Don't you live in Wilmington.... Yes, but their on the other side of town, Cunningham Street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes, but their on the other side of town, Cunningham Street. Would you ever sleep over at Ray's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think it's an interior event from the pike n until it bombs Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think it's an interior event until it bombs You would actually be suprized how it can still snow here even with marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes, but their on the other side of town, Cunningham Street. Just thought it was strange that you reacted to their depth as though it was in a completey different area from your own home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 You would actually be suprized how it can still snow here even with marginal temps. Because the mid levels are favorable....I'd take a marginal boundary layer of marginal mid levels, any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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