ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18z RGEM looks a lot like the NAM though maybe just a razors edge warmer.(at least through 48h) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I agree. Have you not noticed that the storm track in general has shifted a little NW after it rotated SE for a bit? The last storm changed over parts of NH for a time, saturday looks warmer than the average and the euro is a rainstorm Tuesday. At least for the time being the parade of 20" CT snowstorms seems to have ended. Unlike a lot of you apparently nothing runs up Messengers fanny. I know what happens at the GTG's stays at the GTG's like Vegas....just wanted to clarify If the 18z NAM works out (and I believe it has just as much plausibility as any solution on the table at this point in time), dynamics would instruct an intense p-type gradient nestled snuggly into the somewhere between BOS-PVD and SE Mass... Same old Pattern Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GFS is much more consolidated with the vorticity at 108 hrs. Almost springs a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18z RGEM looks a lot like the NAM though maybe just a razors edge warmer.(at least through 48h) Toss the GFS as far as you can, and when you don't think you can toss it any farther, toss it some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Next week has me mildly concerned it might not be all snow..Plenty of time though I think Tues is some showrs for many of us, but it's a pretty inconsequential event. They are out cutting snowbanks in two around town, today.....NNE style...crazy. Never see that, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Can't wait to go to Gould's... Just a mile or so from the pit. You should also try Davenports (up the road from teh Pit). Since it's off the trail, it's known more by the locals than the out-of-towners. Turn right at the church (Little Mohawk), take that to Reynolds and follow it to the top of the hill and there you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Toss GARTHS salad as far as you can, and when you don't think you can toss it any farther, toss it some more. :yikes: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Beginning to think this may look like my commute come the end of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Next week has me mildly concerned it might not be all snow..Plenty of time though I just briefly looked at the 12z GFS quick and saw it could be a big storm...let's just go from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 :yikes: haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Just a mile or so from the pit. You should also try Davenports (up the road from teh Pit). Since it's off the trail, it's known more by the locals than the out-of-towners. Turn right at the church (Little Mohawk), take that to Reynolds and follow it to the top of the hill and there you are. Yeah, I have the Mass Maple website in my faves... Untill the thaw - snow snow snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nice weenie light snow all day today...only amounting to a fresh coating but nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I just briefly looked at the 12z GFS quick and saw it could be a big storm...let's just go from there. Some talking about Sat, some Tues,,some Thursday, crazy winter just crazy. Tip is on it, another Miller B in a NE winter that has featured many, no pattern change yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'll take an EC\NAM\RGEM\GEM blend over the outlier UK and GFS, anyway....but the former has more plausibility than the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The comforting words from ALY's AFD: WE ARE LOOKING AT SOLUTIONS RANGING FROM THE LOW CENTER HUGGING THE COAST...WITH HIGH PCPN AMOUNTS AND MORE MIXED PCPN...TO SOLUTIONS WITH THE LOW CENTERW ELL OFFSHORE...LIGHT PCPN AMOUNTS AND ALL SNOW. MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SOLUTION LOOKS BEST FOR RIGHT NOW AND FITS WELL WITH NCEP FORECASTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM. WILL ALSO INCLUDE MIXED SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nice weenie light snow all day today...only amounting to a fresh coating but nice I'd have killed for that....full sun all day, today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yeah, I have the Mass Maple website in my faves... Untill the thaw - snow snow snow The trees on our property are tapped. We get a couple gallons of syrup each year for the priveledge. I think we go through about 1/3 of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Some talking about Sat, some Tues,,some Thursday, crazy winter just crazy. Tip is on it, another Miller B in a NE winter that has featured many, no pattern change yet. Yeah this winter certainly been one for the ages. This reminds me of the summer of 2008 where we were dealing with severe wx basically every other day. I remember in November/December some of us were ready to cliff dive but being patient has certainly paid off. This winter still has alot of storms with our name on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18z Crazy Uncle went SE...looks more like the NAM now...well it actually is just kind of copy catting the NAM...it looked like it on the 12z run, and followed it on the 18z run looking like it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Perhaps the SE shift is legit. HOpefully it doesn't contineu! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18z Crazy Uncle went SE...looks more like the NAM now...well it actually is just kind of copy catting the NAM...it looked like it on the 12z run, and followed it on the 18z run looking like it again. AWT. Only model not hitting us good is the GFS....what is most important is that none are rainers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The GFS rawdogs me for a few hours...lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 AWT. Only model not hitting us good is the GFS....what is most important is that none are rainers. Well the NAM/EC/UKie would all have some rain issues on the CP, but likely transitioning to snow fairly quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Mine was better. Mine got deleted . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Well the NAM/EC/UKie would all have some rain issues on the CP, but likely transitioning to snow fairly quickly. So we'd be looking at all snow even here? Or would there be some mixing issues with sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NOGAPS update... still 200-300 miles SE of the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 18Z GFS very close to a Miller B storm for later Monday into Tuesday. Definitely bares watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Well the NAM/EC/UKie would all have some rain issues on the CP, but likely transitioning to snow fairly quickly. Right...I don't consider those "rainers"....you know what I mean.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NOGAPS update... still 200-300 miles SE of the Cape Why does the Navy even bother to run that model. Just put it out of its misery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Well the NAM/EC/UKie would all have some rain issues on the CP, but likely transitioning to snow fairly quickly. I think just about all of us on the CP would take that in a heartbeat - no need to get greedy and screw the rest of the region out of good snow ... or is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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