MJHUB Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Still need some eastward motion for PVD-BOS corridor to be safe. good treads today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 HPC's take. The storm overlaps the dates of the maps, so one's day 2, one's day 3. Nice shift South and east..Saturday is gonna be awfully fun from Northern CT/NW RI to GAY points NW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This run is a clear 1-3C colder at 850 for ORH and points N - that's pretty significant with a 1.00" qpf wall in the area. It's also cooler for you guys, too. One thing this one won't have is issues between 850 and 700 mb - not that type of system with both mid lvl centers cutting underneath. Juan..wouldn't you agree with this being more of an elevation event at least until it bombs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nice shift South and east..Saturday is gonna be awfully fun from Northern CT/NW RI to GAY points NW.. Still think mid-afternoon? 1st activity cancelled (a Polar Bear Derby of all things - too much snow!!! Last year there was hardly any) 2nd .... hmmmmm 6-10"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Still think mid-afternoon? 1st activity cancelled (a Polar Bear Derby of all things - too much snow!!! Last year there was hardly any) 2nd .... hmmmmm 6-10"? Yeah I think maybe noon -2:00 starts here..and maybe 2:00-4:00 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This run is a clear 1-3C colder at 850 for ORH and points N - that's pretty significant with a 1.00" qpf wall in the area. It's also cooler for you guys, too. One thing this one won't have is issues between 850 and 700 mb - not that type of system with both mid lvl centers cutting underneath. Yeah this looks like it could be a pretty decent snow event for central and northern New England...could certainly see a solid 6-10'' in this area if everything works out. It certainly was a good thing to see the 18z NAM go towards the GFS. I still think this way we could end up with a solid 4-8'' event but this will really dependent on how cold we actually get and whether or not we see some mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It will be really funny if the gfs cuts across the canal with this and all the NAM hating-turned loving gets interspersed with a move from GFS-living to GFS-hating. All fun things to witness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 3-6 first and only call the other day (for ct) Good to see the town out today doing an extensive snow assault on the snowbanks. It was getting annoying having to pull out in the middle of the road to see oncoming traffic, and having to stop to let others by on sidestreets. Continual snow pack since 12/26, a very special winter indeed on the ct coast. snow depth 19", and its gone glacial since the ZR . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It will be really funny if the gfs cuts across the canal with this and all the NAM hating-turned loving gets interspersed with a move from GFS-living to GFS-hating. All fun things to witness. We can all sing Kumbyaa and do naked snow angels I am living in DGEX land so not sure what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Whooosh????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Juan..wouldn't you agree with this being more of an elevation event at least until it bombs? Not really actually Kev' - it appears we are near freezing over snow pack... And besides, it is likely to cloud over and cap Friday night proficient enough radiational cooling. I bet - just looking at the synoptic appeal of this 18z NAM solution, and considering the Euro looks snowy - that it starts as snow and stays that way from HFD-PVD-BOS, only to collapse SE as the event concludes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GFS looks really flat this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 giant whiff... toss this run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 giant whiff... toss this run lol It gets some light snow into the region, but its definitely pretty far SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Whooosh????? no... I understand certain folks love/hate relationship with the models. All good. It snows where it wants to snow and all that... Interesting posts about the maple sugaring issue folks might have. Even have that happen before? And does this type of winter effect the production by the trees? Or is it all about what happens in the spring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Really doesn't appear to be a lot of differences though between the 12z GFS...at H5 anyway (through 48 HR) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GFS looks really flat this run. I was reading the last page trying to figure out if I was looking at an old gfs run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 well the upper level track was good for us closer to the coast but everything else went to **** haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'll take 6" of tulip trouncing cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Unless this scores a coup - garbage in, garbage out, big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It gets some light snow into the region, but its definitely pretty far SE. Why is it further east with the sfc low? It really doesn't look like there are drastic differences than the 12z run...is it just not going negatively tilted enough to tuck it in closer to us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Not really actually Kev' - it appears we are near freezing over snow pack... And besides, it is likely to cloud over and cap Friday night proficient enough radiational cooling. I bet - just looking at the synoptic appeal of this 18z NAM solution, and considering the Euro looks snowy - that it starts as snow and stays that way from HFD-PVD-BOS, only to collapse SE as the event concludes. Nice..I think a general 4-8 or 5-10 for all of interior SNE and maybe 3-6 for farther east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 no... I understand certain folks love/hate relationship with the models. All good. It snows where it wants to snow and all that... Interesting posts about the maple sugaring issue folks might have. Even have that happen before? And does this type of winter effect the production by the trees? Or is it all about what happens in the spring? It's all about mild days and freezing nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 no... I understand certain folks love/hate relationship with the models. All good. It snows where it wants to snow and all that... Interesting posts about the maple sugaring issue folks might have. Even have that happen before? And does this type of winter effect the production by the trees? Or is it all about what happens in the spring? I'm no expert but I went up to a farm that boils down syrup and they said that it mostly depends on the temps in the spring. You don't want it to torch too early and cause the leaves to shoot out before you collect enough of the tree syrup. So a steady gradual spring is ideal I think. You also don't want it to shoot way warm then sharply ice shortly after the leaves are out cause that'll wreck the tree. Last year in VT, the farmer said that it shot straight to 80s then we had a crash in temps and it really screwed up the maples at higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's all about mild days and freezing nights. Can't wait to go to Gould's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 . . . UPS guy just made my day by delivering me this ever so lovely 20 foot snow rake. Where from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nice..I think a general 4-8 or 5-10 for all of interior SNE and maybe 3-6 for farther east Let's try to get 6'' at BDL with this event than with next weeks potential we could be looking at the second snowiest winter on record for the Hartford area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Wow GFS, doing it's "thing" again, unless of course it ends up being right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Toss this....concern is precip type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Let's try to get 6'' at BDL with this event than with next weeks potential we could be looking at the second snowiest winter on record for the Hartford area! Next week has me mildly concerned it might not be all snow..Plenty of time though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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