Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 For both of us,fully expect lots more snow though, key is blocking as always. We all talked about it at great length through the fall. This will be a tough stretch for us closer to the coast. Time for the northern crew to cash in just in time for the February vacation period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 My gut says a big dump is coming. Oops, 'scuse me. Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 You can clearly see the s/w involved just west of Guam. It's already twice as intense as the RUC, and a little more intense than the HRRR. The JMA seems to have a good handle on it. With such a deep snowpack, cold air over Madagascar, and downsloping effects from Mt Metheun I think the next storm will get caught in a vortex created by Saturday's departing blizzard and bomb out over the Canal right between the two bridges. The Bourne bridge may have raging NW winds while the Sagamore has metal crunching SE winds. Even though 1000/700 mb thicknesses will be warm enough for rain 200 miles NW of the low I expect low level flow and strong dynamics to get it done. Simply put DT is wrong. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 First call IMBY: 4-8'', and I forsee that being the final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Its so nice to be 10 miles NW of 495 for wx purposes. Its always the imaginary line mentioned for rain/snow in marginal situations. Everyone always says, "looks good NW of 495" and it always gives me false confort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm not railing on you Steve, just pointing out that he's not calling for an end to the snows, just the big historical type stuff. I'm taking his stuff with a grain of salt since I think he glosses over our area a lot. I do think he's doing really well with his seasonal call for our area though. I think the hisotric events could take a break this month.......agreed, but March sees one. The Miller A next week could be huge, but we have to thread the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We're going from this to not this Hmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I think the hisotrical events could take a break this month.......agreed, but March sees one. The Miller A next week could be huge, but we have to thread the needle. nope. big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Dude six eight, slamming some dunks, chocolate thunder style. Chocolate Thunder Skyin,,,, Glass Flyin... Robizine Cryin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 wow nam is a Bos- PIKE to Union ct. and and N snow bomb. S of there looks like mid levels smidge warm on nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM is a nice flip to sn for me. Mini snow bomb perhaps near 495 and points nw. I honestly think I'm only going to start as rain\ip, but once it cranks...boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM is a nice flip to sn for me. Mini snow bomb perhaps near 495 and points nw. 7-8 maybe, not 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think I'm only going to start as rain\ip, but once it cranks...boom. 4-8'' in 6 hours. One of my favorite kinds of events...nickel and dime, but not ho-hum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 nope. big snow. Go snow or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Someone just N of BOS up towards Cape Anne gets whacked per the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Swing thru NE CT on the way home..You'll see about 1/4 inch of ice on everything AWT!!1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Ray gets a foot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 4-8'' in 6 hours. One of my favorite kinds of events...nickel and dime, but not ho-hum. When we have the base that we have now, nothing is ho-hum.....I'm amazed by each additional flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hmmmmmm It's the op run. I think it's gonna be pretty east based until later in the 11-15 day perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think I'm only going to start as rain\ip, but once it cranks...boom. I honestly think you'll start at S+...then once it cranks...boom...++TSSN 4 to 5"/hr easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think you'll start at S+...then once it cranks...boom...++TSSN 4 to 5"/hr easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 It's the op run. I think it's gonna be pretty east based until later in the 11-15 day perhaps. Agree first pic in ENs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Someone just N of BOS up towards Cape Anne gets whacked per the 18z NAM. LOL...it's a snowstorm for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think you'll start at S+...then once it cranks...boom...++TSSN 4 to 5"/hr easily. I might be able to stretch it to 5.5/6''/hr if I measure on grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hmmmmmm I'm replying in the long range thread Everyone move yer long range a$$es to the long range thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think you'll start at S+...then once it cranks...boom...++TSSN 4 to 5"/hr easily. Ok, dude.....it's funny for awhile, but.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I honestly think you'll start at S+...then once it cranks...boom...++TSSN 4 to 5"/hr easily. You need to stop drinking the baby formula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 LOL...it's a snowstorm for everyone. too funny keep it goin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 In that NAM 66 Hour total, Boston's in the Bullseye. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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