Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 LOL DT is at it again, says end of NE snowstorms for the winter all this based on Today's Euro. You misquoted him. the winter pattern that brought us the BIG NE snowstorms is OVER. http://www.wxrisk.com/ First of course the winter is not over even in areas which have not seen a lot of snow in Virginia. And it certainly is not over in the northeast US. On the other hand as is current Midwest storm clearly shows and this next event on the East coast this weekend the overall pattern is vastly different now than what it has been for the past eight weeks . Therefore while it is way too early to say the winter is over in the Northeast Friday… One can say that the active…cold and stormy pattern that has pounded the Northeast with six major winter East coast storms has come to end. That part the winter is over. Now that does mean the NE US is NOT going to see any more good snow in the big cities of the northeast or the interior. That is not what I am saying even though I am certain that some idiot weenie is going to miss quote me. What I am talking about is the pattern which produced several significant if not massive East Coast storms summer which qualified as being historic Northeast us snowstorms ( KU events). If we keep just THAT the criteria in mind then I can say with some confidence ….THAT pattern is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Drove down from maine to attleboro today. Took 495 much of the way. There looked to be a very narrow but significant swath of ice south of the pike that seemed to peak in accretion in the milford/bellingham area...then disappeared almost completely by the time i got past franklin. Looked pretty nasty in milford. Swing thru NE CT on the way home..You'll see about 1/4 inch of ice on everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hard to go against DT when he's been hitting it out all year, He told me I was going to rain in this laast event. I dispelled the notion immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 My gut on the bomb is a track over the cape.....Bos points n and w make out well. my gut says it stalls on the BM and everyone gets 3 to 5 feet with drifts to 15 feet. storm of the millennium. this will be my call on every storm the rest of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 He told me I was going to rain in this laast event. I dispelled the notion immediately. He told me my 26 inch storm was going OTS..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 He told me my 26 inch storm was going OTS..lol i'm sure thats what the euro showed that particular run ok ill stop now, have a great day all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I was going to post about this earlier. I think the days of canal cutters and Nantucket sound tracks may be coming to an end. It's going to be a wet finish to the winter for a lot in my opinion. Unless the block finds a way to reestablish itself, SNE's luck is going to run out. Starting to lean into that camp myself it was a good run though and the snow thats here is going to stay for a while either way. I think there will be more rain/tainted storms in Feb/Mar, but I wouldn't be surprised to see 1 more KU, fwiw. If we have a thaw at all we will be seeing the warministas rising as one, it is starting already, well they have a point it's Feb and by mid month the seasonal change begins but is winter over, not even close. But let's concentrate on Sat, real tight rain snow back to snow line. iMHO pretty ordinary. 95 well north and west type 3-7 deal then the coast flips for an inch or two. Just my opinion but the Euro is too far west with next week but still rain mix on the CP before a flip but this time the heavy is on the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB on Saturday As far the next storm.. I like the mix in the big cities and the heaviest of the snows in elevations above 1000 feet from the Vas northward. This looks like a 3-6 locally 8 inch storm and the axis of best snow may run from close to College station Tx ( 1-3 inches there) to midway between College Park and State College pa, and try as I might I cant find a College town in southern New England to run the axis through. Whats up with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 my gut says it stalls on the BM and everyone gets 3 to 5 feet with drifts to 15 feet. storm of the millennium. this will be my call on every storm the rest of the winter. the Rev on acid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 my gut says it stalls on the BM and everyone gets 3 to 5 feet with drifts to 15 feet. storm of the millennium. this will be my call on every storm the rest of the winter. Kev will like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 my gut says it stalls on the BM and everyone gets 3 to 5 feet with drifts to 15 feet. storm of the millennium. this will be my call on every storm the rest of the winter. SnowNH...is that you???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB on Saturday As far the next storm.. I like the mix in the big cities and the heaviest of the snows in elevations above 1000 feet from the Vas northward. This looks like a 3-6 locally 8 inch storm and the axis of best snow may run from close to College station Tx ( 1-3 inches there) to midway between College Park and State College pa, and try as I might I cant find a College town in southern New England to run the axis through. Whats up with that. i think we should up it to 8 to 14. spot 18 to 20" totals. gusts to 65 knots at the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB on Saturday As far the next storm.. I like the mix in the big cities and the heaviest of the snows in elevations above 1000 feet from the Vas northward. This looks like a 3-6 locally 8 inch storm and the axis of best snow may run from close to College station Tx ( 1-3 inches there) to midway between College Park and State College pa, and try as I might I cant find a College town in southern New England to run the axis through. Whats up with that. I'll bet you a 12 pack that I beat you in this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'll bet you a 12 pack that I beat you in this event. You could ..I think it's more of an elevation event..but i don't feel confident enough on that to bet you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 it's too late, let them go... more room on the boat for the rest of us... Are you expecting rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM shfting the s/w east at 30 hours...towards the GFS but is still further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 You could ..I think it's more of an elevation event..but i don't feel confident enough on that to bet you. Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hey Bob, you should make a long term thread, so we keep this one specific to the weekend storm and can discuss next weeks possible events separately to avoid confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 You misquoted him. the winter pattern that brought us the BIG NE snowstorms is OVER. http://www.wxrisk.com/ First of course the winter is not over even in areas which have not seen a lot of snow in Virginia. And it certainly is not over in the northeast US. On the other hand as is current Midwest storm clearly shows and this next event on the East coast this weekend the overall pattern is vastly different now than what it has been for the past eight weeks . Therefore while it is way too early to say the winter is over in the Northeast Friday… One can say that the active…cold and stormy pattern that has pounded the Northeast with six major winter East coast storms has come to end. That part the winter is over.[ Now that does mean the NE US is NOT going to see any more good snow in the big cities of the northeast or the interior. That is not what I am saying even though I am certain that some idiot weenie is going to miss quote me. What I am talking about is the pattern which produced several significant if not massive East Coast storms summer which qualified as being historic Northeast us snowstorms ( KU events). If we keep just THAT the criteria in mind then I can say with some confidence ….THAT pattern is over. Bob this is what I saw on FB, so again is using the one day Euro 12 Z run. This IMAGE should explain WHY this is looking more and more Like a Midwest Pattern. Like I said HERE and on the web site on WED ....the winter pattern that brought us the BIG NE snowstorms is OVER. Bob this is all I saw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 JB on Saturday As far the next storm.. I like the mix in the big cities and the heaviest of the snows in elevations above 1000 feet from the Vas northward. This looks like a 3-6 locally 8 inch storm and the axis of best snow may run from close to College station Tx ( 1-3 inches there) to midway between College Park and State College pa, and try as I might I cant find a College town in southern New England to run the axis through. Whats up with that. here's one Franklin Pierce college in Rindge, NH (just over MA border 1000'+) also wa wa community college in gardner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 thats the small local mtn near Stratton right? That might be an intersting choice...thanks for the input. Small local MTN. that puts the flat table top Stratton to shame at less than 1/2 the price. Was there yesterday and it was in great shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I don't think what DT is saying, is unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Small local MTN. that puts the flat table top Stratton to shame at less than 1/2 the price. Was there yesterday and it was in great shape. Except for the lifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 http://www.mwcc.mass.../locations.html here's one Franklin Pierce college in Rindge, NH (just over MA border 1000'+) also wa wa community college in gardner. Hmmm..I guess the fact he was using "College" Station and State "College" eluded you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 my gut says it stalls on the BM and everyone gets 3 to 5 feet with drifts to 15 feet. storm of the millennium. this will be my call on every storm the rest of the winter. You can clearly see the s/w involved just west of Guam. It's already twice as intense as the RUC, and a little more intense than the HRRR. The JMA seems to have a good handle on it. With such a deep snowpack, cold air over Madagascar, and downsloping effects from Mt Metheun I think the next storm will get caught in a vortex created by Saturday's departing blizzard and bomb out over the Canal right between the two bridges. The Bourne bridge may have raging NW winds while the Sagamore has metal crunching SE winds. Even though 1000/700 mb thicknesses will be warm enough for rain 200 miles NW of the low I expect low level flow and strong dynamics to get it done. Simply put DT is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'll bet you a 12 pack that I beat you in this event. Can you ever remember seeing the ice damns that we have right now? I just came back from the registry in Wilm and my god the damage being done is incredible. I can't image another 6+" and cold like we have in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I don't think what DT is saying, is unreasonable. Yep today........Until the block returns then it will not be over. He is the ultimate model hugger. I read every post he made on FB,been behind the eight ball all winter long but Grandpa loves him so...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 LOL DT is at it again, says end of NE snowstorms for the winter all this based on Today's Euro. It's a cliipper a flipper PS - Ginx, I am 6'8 240 and crying to my Momma saying don't let this pattern end.....snowbanks even above MY head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM is colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yep today........ He is the ultimate model hugger. I read every post he made on FB,been behind the eight ball all winter long but Grandpa loves him so...... I think all he is saying is that he doesn't see a return to the epic pattern we had, after next week. That doesn't mean we can't get quite a bit of snow. I tend to agree with him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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