wxeyeNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Read the whole thread before I asked but can't find any QPF mentions for Central NH, Lakes Region Plymouth area. Someone said it hooks NE after the Cape, do we get into the good QPF or too far NW on 12Z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 this is not a 6-10 storm what is it? 3-6? i don't know how accurate modeled QPF is out 2.5 days but there is a large general area of .7 to .8 along the 128/495 belt of mass. i would think the areas along the east slope of the berks (1200'+) thru SNH (esp. w/ elevation) could get 6 pretty easily. over to ORH and up thru Fitchburg seems like the cut off for heavier snow....who knows which way it will side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Is this storm worth staying at school for? Gun to head. Im on the downeaster tmrw if it isnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 EURO really hanging back in the sw this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm thinking a track between MVY and ACK is most likely. The storm will likely intensify more than most operational models are indicating (probably somewhere around 992 mb near MVY/ACK), but I wouldn't expect any bombogenesis like 1/26 or 1/12 because the shortwave is shearing out as it moves ENE and there is a lack of phasing. Looking for mainly snow from DXR to Woonsocket, RI and BOS north and west at this point. 4-7" from that line to as far north as the Berkshires and southern NH. Bump for Fork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Congrats Sox fans on a ring http://www.mlbtrader..._medium=twitter Someone post how the euro looks for next week Old news... and it's not like Pettite would have been much of a factor. As for Sat. storm, I'm kinda liking where I stand. Most likely a net gain for me, but I don't think I'll see any rain out of this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What was your main rationale in calling for an EPIC winter.... Back in May when it looked very Nina ish, solar signs pointing to a highly negative AO, consistent blocking NAO style, things looked very similar for New England to the past winter only with an ENSO state change. 1970/71 looked very similar to me, so it began. The Hot summer, the epic spring floods, animal activity, nut production all increased my belief. When we had a 95 recurve trop season it was locked in. I really thought Dec Feb March would be prolific . I thought Jan would be typical Nina cold and dry. I am pleased this time my ideas have worked out. I truly believe science sometimes needs some out of the box theories mixed with some folklore real experiences. I think the rest of the season should evolve like Donnnie Baseball lays out. Rebound blocking,March 01 pattern, move the Dec Jan pattern 50-75 miles North. CNE to NNE will get smoked Will to You to Pete to Powdah Freak to Mica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 we have a bunch of NH and ME posters in here...i wouldn't be shocked if some of those folks where able to pull of more than a half foot out of this. 7-8, possibly. 10, no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This run may do it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 7-8, possibly. 10, no 6-10 would verify 7-8. You are a pro and of course you might be right, but: - HPC has a .75+ stripe going through se nh and s me - GYX calling for heavy accumulation possible in the zones. That is defined at 7+ up here - Joe L on Accuweather says some places in this area might get a food - 3 of the globals at least, giving .75+ qpf - 10:1 ratio would be a 6-10 storm especially given the deepening that will pull in cold air and raise ratios in the last part of the storm, possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Back in May when it looked very Nina ish, solar signs pointing to a highly negative AO, consistent blocking NAO style, things looked very similar for New England to the past winter only with an ENSO state change. 1970/71 looked very similar to me, so it began. The Hot summer, the epic spring floods, animal activity, nut production all increased my belief. When we had a 95 recurve trop season it was locked in. I really thought Dec Feb March would be prolific . I thought Jan would be typical Nina cold and dry. I am pleased this time my ideas have worked out. I truly believe science sometimes needs some out of the box theories mixed with some folklore real experiences. I think the rest of the season should evolve like Donnnie Baseball lays out. Rebound blocking,March 01 pattern, move the Dec Jan pattern 50-75 miles North. CNE to NNE will get smoked Will to You to Pete to Powdah Freak to Mica. Nice...great call. I agree RE March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Is this storm worth staying at school for? Gun to head. Im on the downeaster tmrw if it isnt. Stay at school, Unless you like hard hats and umbrellas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Who the f*** cares whether it's 5-7" of 6-9"...Jesus Will any of you knolw the diff with 3' OTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Who the f*** cares whether it's 5-7" of 6-9"...Jesus Will any of you knolw the diff with 3' OTG All that matters is north of DXR to Woonsocket gets 4-7 of new snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The bomb may have p type issues lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Back in May when it looked very Nina ish, solar signs pointing to a highly negative AO, consistent blocking NAO style, things looked very similar for New England to the past winter only with an ENSO state change. 1970/71 looked very similar to me, so it began. The Hot summer, the epic spring floods, animal activity, nut production all increased my belief. When we had a 95 recurve trop season it was locked in. I really thought Dec Feb March would be prolific . I thought Jan would be typical Nina cold and dry. I am pleased this time my ideas have worked out. I truly believe science sometimes needs some out of the box theories mixed with some folklore real experiences. I think the rest of the season should evolve like Donnnie Baseball lays out. Rebound blocking,March 01 pattern, move the Dec Jan pattern 50-75 miles North. CNE to NNE will get smoked Will to You to Pete to Powdah Freak to Mica. Vin toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 This run may do it... by "it"...do you mean run straight into forky's fanny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 this looks lame and everyone knows it qpf is .5-.75" of low ratio snow (for those who actually stay snow) the baroclinic zone sucks... all the cold air associated with the system is completely modified Rule #12: low ratio snow is better than NCP. I'll keep my fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 March 1993 track...congrats Logan11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The bomb may have p type issues lol Yes it will, But it will be banging up against some pretty cold air over Quebec, Vin toot would get crushed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The bomb may have p type issues lol Right over my fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 by "it"...do you mean run straight into forky's fanny? I mean produce a storm on the east coast, as opposed to a fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What did the Euro do with the early week storm? Vanish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What did the Euro do with the early week storm? Vanish? Epic flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Epic flood. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 what a bomb...964 in downeast ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hopefully I'm wrong again, but I think this run will farther off with the bomb. What? Don't understand what you're saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Epic flood. hvy hvy sandbags Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 They must be going with a NAM/Euro combo then, But they side with HPC as well, They would not be so gunho throwing the GFS in there, Unless they feel its playing roght now to its bias........ Jeff, any mixing issues here on the mid coast? TIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Huh? Snow to heavy rain even for you. Lets hope it's one of those burp runs and moves east, but it phases early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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