40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 pretty strong showing on the gefs mean for later next week - considering the time frame. We (sorry, not you) are very, very closing to BSing a bridge between two epic periods and if we do, I'm condifent in saying that we won't see this again in our lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hey, he never posted that... 3 times...oops haha I really can't pick on him at all. My maps were just as bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm leaning close tot he Euro right now but maybe a tad warmer. I think a lot of the interior will see snow but they might have to deal with some initial ptype issues, and then it flips over as everything collapses SE. I agree....I could deal with a bit of rain in exchange for some mashies.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm leaning close tot he Euro right now but maybe a tad warmer. I think a lot of the interior will see snow but they might have to deal with some initial ptype issues, and then it flips over as everything collapses SE. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 We (sorry, not you) are very, very closing to BSing a bridge between two epic periods and if we do, I'm condifent in saying that we won't see this again in our lives. Why are you BSing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Some of us may have 4' snowpacks one week from now. holy cow, snowNH can see into the future! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I agree....I could deal with a bit of rain in exchange for some mashies.... Nothing wrong with that. There will be some settling over the next week, so if Thursday's storm comes to fruition, you'll need a good amount of snow I think. However, if you are mostly snow (which is possible), then you could be in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 holy cow, snowNH can see into the future! our snowpack right now is between 28-33" here. 6-8" this weekend brings us to near 40" depth, at least IMBY, probably a little more than MHT. I think that's all SnowNH was saying earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I wish this was coming in late in the afternoon or even night..rather than starting early afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 How's this looking for the Hartford area? Driving from Salem to West Hartford on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I wish this was coming in late in the afternoon or even night..rather than starting early afternoon Yea, this winter blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Nothing wrong with that. There will be some settling over the next week, so if Thursday's storm comes to fruition, you'll need a good amount of snow I think. However, if you are mostly snow (which is possible), then you could be in good shape. There will be settling today. As much as I hate to say it, in spite of cool temperatures the sun is really beginning to feel strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 There will be settling today. As much as I hate to say it, in spite of cool temperatures the sun is really beginning to feel strong. That and the deeper snow is, the more it settles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 our snowpack right now is between 28-33" here. 6-8" this weekend brings us to near 40" depth, at least IMBY, probably a little more than MHT. I think that's all SnowNH was saying earlier today. Exactly lol.. I have like 30 inches at my house.. what if we get another 12 inches on sat? Which isn't out of the realm.. one thing about Miller B'sand Miller A's this year is that they always seem to trend stronger 48-72 out.. I mean look at boxing day, 1/12 and 1/26.. Conn got 16"out of a storm that really wasn't that strong modelled 72 hours out.. Can someone post ukie and ggem QPF MAPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 There will be settling today. As much as I hate to say it, in spite of cool temperatures the sun is really beginning to feel strong. Luckily, we don't have fluff. It's the dry snow that vaporizes quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I don't think the snow can settle all that much with heavy ice on top of it. I think that happens more if it was powdery from top to bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The NAM usually overplays the vortmax's this far out. Right now, I say the globals are more correct with this Saturdays storm. Even the NOGAPS is out to sea. So this would mean that the bias of the NAM is showing as of now. Remember this is a progressive pattern. It doesn't allow things to slow down and wait as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yea, this winter blows. If it comes in early afternoon..for someone like you on the water..it would be much more likely to be rain. You should hope it holds off till dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I don't think the snow can settle all that much with heavy ice on top of it. I think that happens more if it was powdery from top to bottom. Def....but a 30-40" snowpack is still going to settle more than a lighter snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 If it comes in early afternoon..for someone like you on the water..it would be much more likely to be rain. You should hope it holds off till dark LOL, it's not April yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 If it comes in early afternoon..for someone like you on the water..it would be much more likely to be rain. You should hope it holds off till dark I'm not "on" the water....am I on the cp, yes.....of a greater detrimant to me in this event is my lack of elevation. I'd rather night, too....I have to wk and hit the GYM, Sat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What does everyone think about long term for after next week? Can we try and maintain a gradient pattern in New England..or are going to have a 1-2 week thaw like the rest of the country? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Def....but a 30-40" snowpack is still going to settle more than a lighter snowpack. Putting yesterday's crap into the snow pack was good for solidifying the base. It won't compress too much from where it is now with that stuff. I think we've compressed a lot of the fluffy stuff already. At any rate, it would be nice not to have rain on top of it so hopefully the globals are more correct than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Putting yesterday's crap into the snow pack was good for solidifying the base. It won't compress too much from where it is now with that stuff. I think we've compressed a lot of the fluffy stuff already. At any rate, it would be nice not to have rain on top of it so hopefully the globals are more correct than the NAM. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Putting yesterday's crap into the snow pack was good for solidifying the base. It won't compress too much from where it is now with that stuff. I think we've compressed a lot of the fluffy stuff already. At any rate, it would be nice not to have rain on top of it so hopefully the globals are more correct than the NAM. Wow, to the 968 MB low passing over Boston Light next Thursday (GFS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 LOL, it's not April yet. Yeah but it's a marginal atmosphere..so any help the cp can get would be good i would guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Putting yesterday's crap into the snow pack was good for solidifying the base. It won't compress too much from where it is now with that stuff. I think we've compressed a lot of the fluffy stuff already. At any rate, it would be nice not to have rain on top of it so hopefully the globals are more correct than the NAM. Does 1/4 inch of zr like I had yesterday help avoid alot of compaction and compression? There's now 2 layers of ice in there. One on top of that 26 inch storm..and then another on top of all the storms after that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yeah but it's a marginal atmosphere..so any help the cp can get would be good i would guess Ray might have slightly colder mid levels. At any rate, it wouldn't matter for any of us if the NAM is right. Hopefully it's wrong, but something close to the Cape would not shock me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yeah but it's a marginal atmosphere..so any help the cp can get would be good i would guess If a solution like the Euro panned out, you'd probably have more issues than a place like Ray's actually. Mid-level temps are warm down in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Def....but a 30-40" snowpack is still going to settle more than a lighter snowpack. If it gets deep enough it collapses into a black hole... A lot of what I have OTG is powder with a layer if ice from a couple weeks ago and now some crust from yesterday. It will sink quickly if Tip's blue snow events start piling on. Mashed potatoes with grapuel gravy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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