MaineJayhawk Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:02 PM, Dryslot said: We are finally starting to catch up on snows with you guys down there, The only difference is we are about avg and you guys are having a phenomenal year.. What was Euro QPF for our neck of the woods? Wasn't much chatter overnight but Ray was happy. I was guessing around .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:05 PM, MaineJayhawk said: What was Euro QPF for our neck of the woods? Wasn't much chatter overnight but Ray was happy. I was guessing around .5" About 0.4" or so for you, but you guys were in the sweet spot so I wouldn't worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:07 PM, CoastalWx said: About 0.4" or so for you, but you guys were in the sweet spot so I wouldn't worry about it. What, me worry? lol Thanks for the lowdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:07 PM, CoastalWx said: About 0.4" or so for you, but you guys were in the sweet spot so I wouldn't worry about it. Yeah, I am pretty optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 12:43 PM, mattb65 said: OT: But did you all see the Winter Storm Warnings all the way from the very southern tip of Texas - litterally brownsville texas extending almost the entire gulf coast to new orleans then winter weather advisories into the panhandle of florida. What a CRAZY winter. Brownsville Texas! I think their criteria is for 1 flake of snow in the air they're calling for up to half an inch of ice + down there...yikes. Right on the Mexico border lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 12:51 PM, CoastalWx said: No way Saturday. They tried that in '96. They'll just take away April vacation. There were definitely schools that went on Saturdays in '08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 SREFs look good for nne. Maybe down to nrn orh county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:42 PM, CoastalWx said: SREFs look good for nne. Maybe down to nrn orh county. rain down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:42 PM, CoastalWx said: SREFs look good for nne. Maybe down to nrn orh county. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:44 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: rain down here? A lot of CT is warm aloft. Maybe a mix to snow over nw ct. Anyways, it's the SREFs in the extended so take it FWIW. The globals were colder for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Flakes the size of small woodland creatures coming down in Boston... On 2/3/2011 at 1:49 PM, CoastalWx said: A lot of CT is warm aloft. Maybe a mix to snow over nw ct. Anyways, it's the SREFs in the extended so take it FWIW. The globals were colder for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:49 PM, CoastalWx said: A lot of CT is warm aloft. Maybe a mix to snow over nw ct. Anyways, it's the SREFs in the extended so take it FWIW. The globals were colder for the interior. I know, it's just you know what really would start hitting the fan around here even with just a few tenths of an inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Western Ct will do well this weekend, this is a perfect setup for the western part of the state to get 3-6, nice blend of the Euro,cmc, and gfs ens will due. Classic sne late winter weekend. Euro is off its rocker, what a run last night!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:50 PM, bboughton said: Flakes the size of small woodland creatures coming down in Boston... Locked dendrite structures FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:52 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: I know, it's just you know what really would start hitting the fan around here even with just a few tenths of an inch of rain I'm expecting to take a hit here, but maybe it trends a little colder, or I flip to snow. Next week looks interesting as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:55 PM, CoastalWx said: Locked dendrite structures FTW. I just cannot belies schools haven't been called off yet! Roads slick but not too bad here. As far as the weekend goes split moisture pattern on most models, fast mover and a changeover to white. Probably will see model gymnastics as nam is developing the low under the western shield others split the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:58 PM, CoastalWx said: I'm expecting to take a hit here, but maybe it trends a little colder, or I flip to snow. Next week looks interesting as of now. Yes, Next week is quite interesting to say the least with more snow chances and arctic air.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I have never seen Brownsville TX under a Winter Storm Warning. That is incredible. Anyone know what the criteria for a Winter Storm warning is down there? And with regards to this weekends storm, I am hoping to squeeze another 6" out anything extra would be gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:04 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: I have never seen Brownsville TX under a Winter Storm Warning. That is incredible. Anyone know what the criteria for a Winter Storm warning is down there? And with regards to this weekends storm, I am hoping to squeeze another 6" out anything extra would be gravy. Here is the language of the warning http://forecast.weat...r+Storm+Warning Quote A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER ISIMMINENT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AT LEAST ONE INCH ON ROADS OR WALKWAYS...AT LEAST ONE HALF INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION...OR ICE ACCRETION OF ONE EIGHTH INCH OR MORE ON EXPOSED SURFACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL RESULT. PERSONS WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO POSTPONE THEM UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:06 PM, klw said: Here is the language of the warning http://forecast.weat...r+Storm+Warning I've got friends in the Army..air defense type stuff stationed in El Paso. Got an email from them early am about the temperature being near 0. Just checked...sure enough 1.9 degrees! YIKES is that cold for the Mexican border. On the flip side if the Rio Grande freezes it'll be an easier commute for many. NAM advertising the split shield...one s/w complex comes up off the Carolinas well in advance. That should drive the surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 what a torch the nam is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 1:44 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: rain down here? It's a snowstorm for all of interior SNE..Euro/GFS /ensembles...we're fine. Not sure why folks are worried. Even in BOS it's mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 9z RSM FTW!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:19 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: what a torch the nam is. LOL yes it is. BUT I do think it's actually "trending" colder...notice it's trying now to develop the low out by where the other models have it and has bumped the Bahamas warmth east under that contour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 A benchmark track is a snowtrack. Period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:19 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: what a torch the nam is. No snow for you! And for anyone S of NH/VT?MA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:24 PM, ETauntonMA said: No snow for you! And for anyone S of NH/VT?MA border NAM Is warm...in reality the 0z/6z GFS had a non-snow signal for a lot of SNE too. Kev this is the same map I posted a day or two ago that you didn't like...but it's not changing much so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:25 PM, messenger said: NAM Is warm...in reality the 0z/6z GFS had a non-snow signal for a lot of SNE too. Kev this is the same map I posted a day or two ago that you didn't like...but it's not changing much so far. Any benchmark track is a snowtrack.. Esp this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 On 2/3/2011 at 2:23 PM, CT Blizz said: A benchmark track is a snowtrack. Period The NAM is not a BM track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 the only place in SNE that isn't plain rain is Pete on the 12z NAM...and it's just a ip/zr mix for him. that's a remarkable difference in available products at basically just over 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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