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Feb 9th-? MW/GL/OV Threat


SpartyOn

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Not sure if there are any fans of DT left but check out his FB page. Basically says the pattern for next week looks similar to the one that brought the recent MW blizzard. Not sure how accurate this guy is.

EC snowstorm WOOF WOOF!!!

Oh man I was wrong no east coast snowstorm

EC SNOWSTORM HAPPENS.

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Fans of DT?!

I just hope he's wrong about this pattern---I don't think Chicago-Milwaukee corridor can handle another storm--even if it is half of what hit us this week.

Not sure if there are any fans of DT left but check out his FB page. Basically says the pattern for next week looks similar to the one that brought the recent MW blizzard. Not sure how accurate this guy is.

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The pattern is increasingly favorable going forward over the next 7-14 days or so. Repeated surges of arctic air and an extremely active Pacific jet will likely mean a VERY stormy pattern. Just watch how far that Pac ridge retrogrades, as it may mean ice problems if it continues to slowly move west and sets up intermittent SW flow patterns. The Arctic jet will continue to rage as well, with the main Polar Vortex (and a very potent one at that) staying on this side of the hemisphere.

It's very tough to peg exactly when the serious threats will happen, but every wave will continue to have a higher than normal chance of amplification, barring a severe PV/Block (-NAO) again.

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That would be awful if the same areas that got hit got another huge storm. Kenosha/Racine have like 33 inches of snow on the ground already. Would be huge problems in the spring if they got another storm.

Send this one either up north (getting LaCrosse, MSP etc in the action) or send this one to the OV and get OH/PA/KY a huge storm.

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That would be awful if the same areas that got hit got another huge storm. Kenosha/Racine have like 33 inches of snow on the ground already. Would be huge problems in the spring if they got another storm.

Send this one either up north (getting LaCrosse, MSP etc in the action) or send this one to the OV and get OH/PA/KY a huge storm.

Would be like the Midwest version of snowmageddon. Scary thing is that there actually may be a heightened chance of it happening in this pattern.

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That would be awful if the same areas that got hit got another huge storm. Kenosha/Racine have like 33 inches of snow on the ground already. Would be huge problems in the spring if they got another storm.

Send this one either up north (getting LaCrosse, MSP etc in the action) or send this one to the OV and get OH/PA/KY a huge storm.

Unfortunately, sending this one farther north would just cause rain to fall over many parts of the region that just had the blizzard, causing flooding sooner.

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HPC said that a more western solution is more likley. Track through the OV.

WE INCORPORATED NEW DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS INTO THE FINAL

GRAPHICS. A MAJOR SYS IS MORE LIKELY NOW ALONG THE GULF/SERN COAST

THE MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE DETAILS ARE STILL OBSCURE

6 AND 7 DAYS OUT. THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A

MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7.

AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE

SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK

TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF

THE APPALACHIANS.

There really is nothing to stop this from trending west. No blocking at all.

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Unfortunately, sending this one farther north would just cause rain to fall over many parts of the region that just had the blizzard, causing flooding sooner.

Saw this in the Southeastern region post....HPC thinks an Apps runner is in the works...not a coastal bomb late next week...

HPC says: Look for Apps runner next week.

"THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A

MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7.

AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE

SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK

TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF

THE APPALACHIANS. "

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HPC said that a more western solution is more likley. Track through the OV.

WE INCORPORATED NEW DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS INTO THE FINAL

GRAPHICS. A MAJOR SYS IS MORE LIKELY NOW ALONG THE GULF/SERN COAST

THE MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE DETAILS ARE STILL OBSCURE

6 AND 7 DAYS OUT. THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A

MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7.

AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE

SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK

TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF

THE APPALACHIANS.

There really is nothing to stop this from trending west. No blocking at all.

This is the perfect track for STL metro Special.

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The pattern is increasingly favorable going forward over the next 7-14 days or so. Repeated surges of arctic air and an extremely active Pacific jet will likely mean a VERY stormy pattern. Just watch how far that Pac ridge retrogrades, as it may mean ice problems if it continues to slowly move west and sets up intermittent SW flow patterns. The Arctic jet will continue to rage as well, with the main Polar Vortex (and a very potent one at that) staying on this side of the hemisphere.

It's very tough to peg exactly when the serious threats will happen, but every wave will continue to have a higher than normal chance of amplification, barring a severe PV/Block (-NAO) again.

im glad you havent lost your excitement after the blizzard!

:thumbsup:

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HPC said that a more western solution is more likley. Track through the OV.

WE INCORPORATED NEW DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRENDS INTO THE FINAL

GRAPHICS. A MAJOR SYS IS MORE LIKELY NOW ALONG THE GULF/SERN COAST

THE MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK...THOUGH THE DETAILS ARE STILL OBSCURE

6 AND 7 DAYS OUT. THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED STRONGLY NWWD WITH A

MAJOR STORM MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES THU DAY 7.

AMIDST HIGH UNCERTAINTY...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE

SUBSEQUENT RUNS TREND EVEN FARTHER W WITH THIS STORM NEXT WEEK

TOWARDS THE FAVORED LA NINA TRACK THRU THE OH VLY/WRN FOOTHILLS OF

THE APPALACHIANS.

There really is nothing to stop this from trending west. No blocking at all.

All depends on the mon-tues storm and how strong it gets. If it's a decent storm it could potentially not allow the heights in the east to rise quick enough but if it phases like the euro does I think you may be right. A weak block will not suppres this thing. It will only go south if its right on the heals of the early week storm. Even then if it phases earlier enough it may go north. Who knows . Two storms before that first.

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