Moneyman Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Where did this last stom end up tracking? Just curious to see how well the Euro did. EURO easily did the best, not even close either. LOW tracked from S. Texas to E. Texas to C. ARK to SE MO, to S. IL and then it tracked near Indy I believe. EURO pretty much nailed this from day 5. Was just weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 18z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 EURO easily did the best, not even close either. LOW tracked from S. Texas to E. Texas to C. ARK to SE MO, to S. IL and then it tracked near Indy I believe. EURO pretty much nailed this from day 5. Was just weaker. Other than the couple blip runs, I'd agree. But it was easy to see why it was doing what it was doing on those blip runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yeah, it all came down to the phasing of the waves in the west. If it didn't phase, it was gonna be a suppressed solution, if it did, it showed the same general track. HRRR did very good as well. NAM struggled big time, so did the GFS. RGEM was decent though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The PV moves like 1-1.5K miles it looks like on the euro to help make this happen and have the vort of the PNW dig south into Texas then phase with a northern piece that came off the PV that is rocketing ESE. The GEM looks a bit more strung out and suppressed. but I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Is that the storm coming onshore at hour 6 (18z gfs) for the monday-tuesday time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 IWX SECONDARY SW FOLLOWING IN BEHIND WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS WEEKESP IN LIGHT OF H5 HGT VERIFICATION INDICATING WRN ENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS HOLDS GREATER SKILL W/CURRENT MED RANGE AGAIN LIKELY TOO PROGRESSIVE. WILL STAND W/PRIOR POPS DYS 6-7 W/ANOTHER POTENTIAL SNOWSTORM PSBL ACRS THE ERN US ESP IN LIGHT OF YET ANOTHER SHARP SWD ARCTIC INTRUSION. OTHERWISE PREFERENCE LIES TWD TEMPS AOB GUIDANCE THROUGH THE PD. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 18z GFS basically says no to the Friday Night/Saturday system. .09 is what it gives Central OH. NAM is a little better with it .22, either way nothing to really write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Reading through some AFD's (PIT, ILN, CLE) PIT basically going with rain/snow mix for the Monday/Tuesday system. ILN gives no mention of it at all, and CLE says looks to pack more of a punch than the first system(Friday/Saturday), and says a couple inches of snow will be possible with system #2.. So none of the local OH offices are too thrilled with either system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Not surprised to see the gfs with a weak low. Seems to always be a step behind with lows coming out of canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RGCentralIL Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The AFD for ILX seems to be indicating at least a moderate chance for some snow Monday/Monday night. At this point only looking like light accumulation, but should be interesting to see how the models handle this potential storm into the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Frank Straight (Only accuweather met I like) has a video that talks briefly about next weeks storm. For some reason he said the euro was like the gfs but I think he was talking about last nights run and he hasn't looked at todays 12z yet. Anways around 6 minutes he starts to talk about it. He also references a japanese model. Thats the first I have ever heard of this model. Franks Video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Frank Straight (Only accuweather met I like) has a video that talks briefly about next weeks storm. For some reason he said the euro was like the gfs but I think he was talking about last nights run and he hasn't looked at todays 12z yet. Anways around 6 minutes he starts to talk about it. He also references a japanese model. Thats the first I have ever heard of this model. Franks Video Japanese model = JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 It will be interesting to see what the 0z models have in mind. 18z were a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Japanese model = JMA Haha I didn't know that. Guess I couldn't put the pieces together there. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Deja Vu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yeah...this will happen..LOL http://www.accuweather.com/us/oh/newark/43055/forecast-details.asp?fday=3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Yeah...this will happen..LOL http://www.accuweath...ails.asp?fday=3 nam wants to put down 3-4" over OH friday nite into saturday. GFS is much more east. I'm going with the most nw model from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The stronger this first storm, the more likely the next storm will go further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 The stronger this first storm, the more likely the next storm will go further south. Well its weak then transfers to the coast and try's to blow up into a sub 1000mlb system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Both Skilling and Gil Sebenste have made comments today about a storm for the Midwest Mon/Tues with Skilling saying it could track somewhat similar to our blizzard. Still 6 days out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 lol NW trend doesn't happen for Ohio posters. Hate to say that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Congrads man. I could see 6 for you. thanks angry, i appreciate it. btw it's congraTs. I remember it like this ...grat as in gratitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 lol NW trend doesn't happen for Ohio posters. Hate to say that though. mmm hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Buckeye, you seem pissed for some reason. Wonder why. I was joking about the NW trend, obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Buckeye, you seem pissed for some reason. Wonder why. it ain't weather if that's what you mean. Unless you count the fact that on top of everything else i have to go out in the next couple of days and try to clean up tree debris from my neighbors and my backyard while trying not to break my asss slipping on glaciated snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I know, I know. I always used to say it as 'congrads' which pissed off everybody. "Congrats" if you so please........... Moneyman, the "NW" trend brought Ohio a big snowstorm in 2008 and last February at least twice. i thought 08 was a se trend. I thought it was forecast to clock hoosier a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 i thought 08 was a se trend. I thought it was forecast to clock hoosier a few days out. It was, days beforehand MI was the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 i thought 08 was a se trend. I thought it was forecast to clock hoosier a few days out. There was a model run here and there that brought it farther west (6z GFS a few days out was one) but by and large they were showing an Ohio or east coast hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I think the 00z nam looks good for something: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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