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Feb 9th-? MW/GL/OV Threat


SpartyOn

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Well the clown maps spread joy for some :) - with OK/AR/MO starting the game off with a kick - where is JoMo

http://grib2.com/gfs...-SNOW_120HR.gif

Right here and yeah that's another 6-12" snowfall across my region. It has been going farther south in each run though.

We're melting off pretty good today but there's still a lot of snow out there.

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Seems like a lot of data has been trending strong with the low for Sunday night and Monday to my south - starting noticing the trends a day or so ago -

Agree, have been watching it a while now, I think there is going to be a surprise pick up for someone, both NAM and GFS do have some qpf increasing, although in differing spots, but it's still there.

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JB isn't throwing in the towel yet...:arrowhead:

yea I was giving dr. no til todays 12z to possibly begin showing some sort of phase and northward movement. Still suppressed at 120. Probably gonna be the solution at this point especially since no other model is showing it either. Striking thing about the euro is also how quickly it moderates. Massive FAIL for JB....on many levels

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wow that really dropped off.

.21 for CMH with marginal temps. I am expecting it to be similar to today.

.43 for me on monday but temps suck

MON 06Z 07-FEB 1.0 -3.6 1015 85 99 0.01 545 533

MON 12Z 07-FEB 1.0 -3.3 1013 99 94 0.04 543 533

MON 18Z 07-FEB 2.8 -3.4 1011 92 98 0.04 541 533

TUE 00Z 08-FEB 1.0 -4.6 1008 99 91 0.18 536 530

TUE 06Z 08-FEB -2.8 -10.1 1012 85 76 0.16 531 522

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just watched jb's updated big dog....yes, he's still calling for a 'wild week' of wx ahead with brutal cold, snowstorm in the OV to NE monday and what he believes will be a bigger storm that moves much further north later in the week.

then the back of winter breaks with dramatic warming the following week. I'll be the first to post a kudos thread if he nails this. Hardly likely

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just watched jb's updated big dog....yes, he's still calling for a 'wild week' of wx ahead with brutal cold, snowstorm in the OV to NE monday and what he believes will be a bigger storm that moves much further north later in the week.

then the back of winter breaks with dramatic warming the following week. I'll be the first to post a kudos thread if he nails this. Hardly likely

Yea he thinks the models are way off. Which, after seeing todays debacle, I dont doubt it. But he's calling for some good snows through the OV Monday into Tuesday.

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Yea he thinks the models are way off. Which, after seeing todays debacle, I dont doubt it. But he's calling for some good snows through the OV Monday into Tuesday.

I'd watch Monday especially if I were in Ohio/eastern Indiana. Wouldn't take a much slower/more amplified trend at all to bring a rather decent snow.

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I'd watch Monday especially if I were in Ohio/eastern Indiana. Wouldn't take a much slower/more amplified trend at all to bring a rather decent snow.

Yea, today proved that. Just a horrible debacle over here. I had to even type up something to try to explain in layman's terms why I was off, since I had so many people asking me what happened. They just dont understand that forecasts are made on models. When you get a dramatic shift like today, what can you do? I mean jeeze lol. How have you fared over there? and did you mean western indiana?

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Yea, today proved that. Just a horrible debacle over here. I had to even type up something to try to explain in layman's terms why I was off, since I had so many people asking me what happened. They just dont understand that forecasts are made on models. When you get a dramatic shift like today, what can you do? I mean jeeze lol. How have you fared over there? and did you mean western indiana?

About 3.5" here with snow tapering off. I'm still watching Monday here in western Indiana but I think the best chance for a surprise of sorts is farther east.

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Hey Buckeye,,

Did you get screwed by this current storm too? LOL NW Trend shot us in the @$$ today. Maybe we took one for the team today for 5-6 days from now....

yep, so far...just a coating to an inch plus whatever manages to rotate thru....best stuff definitely stayed west and north. NW trend is in full mode right now, no doubt. Hopefully that benefits us monday which still seems weak and southeast with the system.

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The JMA is similiar to the EURO has a little bit of precip north of the river.... Can you belive JB is thinking 80 in Dallas? 70 in DC? That would mean 60's here probably. We'll see but something tells me if his storm doesn't ramp up like he thinks it will that could prolong the cold pattern for another few days till we get a big storm to turn up. Are the models leaving back energy for that possibility?

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The JMA is similiar to the EURO has a little bit of precip north of the river.... Can you belive JB is thinking 80 in Dallas? 70 in DC? That would mean 60's here probably. We'll see but something tells me if his storm doesn't ramp up like he thinks it will that could prolong the cold pattern for another few days till we get a big storm to turn up. Are the models leaving back energy for that possibility?

looking more closely at the precip maps and the 6 hour increments on accuwx....the euro isn't necessarily hopelessly squashed . still too far southeast beyond 120 but probably wouldn't take much to get this thing to pull further nw.

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