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Feb 9th-? MW/GL/OV Threat


SpartyOn

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From Gray, ME

18Z GFS SHOWS AN INTENSIFYING LOW CROSSING THROUGH THE GULF OF

MAINE (42 MB DEEPENING IN 12 HRS!). IT CRASHES DOWN TO 931 MB IN

THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. DOUBT THAT WILL VERIFY...SINCE WE ARE SO

FAR OUT IN TIME...BUT IT`S JUST AMUSING TO LOOK AT IN ANY CASE.

NEVER SEEN THAT KINDA OF DEEPING FROM A NUMERICAL MODEL IN THE

NORTHEAST OVER THE LAST 25 YEARS.

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From Gray, ME

18Z GFS SHOWS AN INTENSIFYING LOW CROSSING THROUGH THE GULF OF

MAINE (42 MB DEEPENING IN 12 HRS!). IT CRASHES DOWN TO 931 MB IN

THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. DOUBT THAT WILL VERIFY...SINCE WE ARE SO

FAR OUT IN TIME...BUT IT`S JUST AMUSING TO LOOK AT IN ANY CASE.

NEVER SEEN THAT KINDA OF DEEPING FROM A NUMERICAL MODEL IN THE

NORTHEAST OVER THE LAST 25 YEARS.

Euro was 943 so maybe not that far off base?

12zeuro850mbTSLPUS192.gif

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From Gray, ME

18Z GFS SHOWS AN INTENSIFYING LOW CROSSING THROUGH THE GULF OF

MAINE (42 MB DEEPENING IN 12 HRS!). IT CRASHES DOWN TO 931 MB IN

THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. DOUBT THAT WILL VERIFY...SINCE WE ARE SO

FAR OUT IN TIME...BUT IT`S JUST AMUSING TO LOOK AT IN ANY CASE.

NEVER SEEN THAT KINDA OF DEEPING FROM A NUMERICAL MODEL IN THE

NORTHEAST OVER THE LAST 25 YEARS.

I wonder what became of that forecast? Did anything close materialize?

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The rate of deepening on the 18z GFS almost defies meteorology...it drops like 45 mb in a 12 hour period from 168-180.

Yeah I am pretty sure no hurricane has done that, or if there has its not many, of course looking at the wind profile it could be possible, I mean there is 120 kt at 850mb

Yes I said One Hundred Twenty knots...

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For the sake of us actually having a storm to track, I think we all need to tone it down on these once in a century-esque storm mentions. About 20 people (exaggeration, but still too many) have mentioned 1950, 1978 and 1993. I know it's all in good fun, but it seriously needs to stop.

Everytime someone brings up the 1993/1978/1950 analog they end up jynxing the storm and it never ends up happening or its very weak. We certainly wouldn't want another Roger Smith (again, no disrespect to him) Peak Energy Bomb fiasco.

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