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Feb 9th-? MW/GL/OV Threat


SpartyOn

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Wonder if this is typical GFS. The good thing for folks like us is that this storm can probably only cut so far north/west given the setup being shown right now.

Luckily for us this winter. We have seen mostly a negative nao and ao, pretty much absurd for a while...this kept us under the NW flow almost all winter.

now the NAO is positive but the PV is south enough to keep us cold and the Pacific is good for troughing over the eastern US.

and from what I understand the Pacific ridge will move west and the flood gates will open for cold and SW flow to send out some storms?

this sounds perfect for Eastern Lake Cutters.

this will put us under the gun for suppression, ice, or snow. But it will keep the cold locked in

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In 93 or 78? LOL

'78 of course...i'm an old f/\cker. '93 sucked in columbus. We got a blizzard warning but ended up with 4" of windy powder.

sometimes during a long stretch of boring winter weather, i'll click on this link, sit back and read it with a sense of nostalgia :wub:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/cle/wx_events/Blizzard78/blizzard/blizzard78.html

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'78 of course...i'm an old f/\cker. '93 sucked in columbus. We got a blizzard warning but ended up with 4" of windy powder.

sometimes during a long stretch of boring winter weather, i'll click on this link, sit back and read it with a sense of nostalgia :wub:

http://www.erh.noaa....blizzard78.html

Oh..i remeber it well!!:wub: :wub: I was 17..been waiting so long for the next one!!

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'78 of course...i'm an old f/\cker. '93 sucked in columbus. We got a blizzard warning but ended up with 4" of windy powder.

sometimes during a long stretch of boring winter weather, i'll click on this link, sit back and read it with a sense of nostalgia :wub:

http://www.erh.noaa....blizzard78.html

I wasn't quite 1 yet. There are pictures of me sitting on the snow drifts with my dad. Now that would be considered child abuse!

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So based on JB's analogs, I wonder how much his track would look like this :P

post-14-0-26313600-1296774721.jpg

This track won't happen because it would bury Pittsburgh.

It only happens every 5 years or so.

The models always bury us 100+ hours out but it will eventually go east and put us on the edge or west and give a rain or a mix.

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Was browsing the Mid Atlantic forum and Wes (usedtobe) is concerned that it will track farther west.

I think it's got a pretty good shot, i don't think we're looking at something strong enough to track as far west as last time, based on wave spacing and the artic airmass ahead of it, but with that kind of southerly 850 flow and lack of major blocking, i doubt it's too surpressed or a coastal.

Obv quite a few of those GFS ensembles showing that potential. The Euro should help bring things into better focus over the next couple runs.

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So did the last one... untill it had Columbia to Chicago taped over the address. :)

Sent from my Droid using Tapatalk

lol...I still have some battle fatigue but from what I've seen, I like the potential for the region. Hopefully (for us) we can nudge this one a bit farther south than last time.

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