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February 8-12 model discussion


Rankin5150

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SV is quick with the maps man. WW is still at 156...

on yeah, HELL yeah on the post!!

What's WW? I figured out a way to get ahead on the NCEP website. If you pull up a specific map and change the url up by 6 hrs, it loads much quicker than what's available on the main screen. For example, the main GFS page was out to 138 but I was able to see hour 150+ using this method.

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For ATL-AHN, this track is too far north and they get mainly a cold rain.

This is a dream strom for BHM to CHT to ASH.

Yep but that's irrelevant at this point. No way am I going to worry about a 50 mile range at day 6/7. The potential is huge is the main point.

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Verbatim GFS nails area NORTH of Atlanta with over a foot Wednesday night with a sfc low track across Macon GA. Gotta love model changes from run to run.

And then it drops a very cold airmass, probably the coldest of the year right in behind it. Temps in the teens/low 20s for highs the next day. This would be to some here what the blizzard just was to the midwest.

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WTF are you talking about?

He has a point, gfs suggests a changeover to rain or freezing rain for central/eastern nc. Folks should not worry so much about those types of precise details though. The main thing to worry about is if it trends north. Hopefully the eastern canadian low will be a bit more south than this run shows to prevent it.

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The triangle doesnt equate to "most of nc". In fact, this storm slams at least the western half.

I still don't see why folks in RDU are so down trodden on this system. Verbatim they would be in it wouldn't they?

BTW SV maps don't quite match up with the NCEP GFS maps as far as that 850 line...clearly everyone CLT west is all snow during the heart of it Snowman.gif

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