Quasievil Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ens That ensemble looks pretty good at this range. Looking forward to hearing what the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 That ensemble looks pretty good at this range. Looking forward to hearing what the Euro shows. The mean is probably pretty useless unless there is a lot of agreement which I doubt for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Can anyone recall the last MECS the MA got while in a neutral PNA and NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The mean is probably pretty useless unless there is a lot of agreement which I doubt for some reason. Agree... this entire solution is probably useless too being it's over 7 days away. Still lovely to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Can anyone recall the last MECS the MA got while in a neutral PNA and NAO? NAO will be slightly negative, PNA is going to be neutral (though GFS shows a pretty strong ridge building in the west which is diving the vort in question down south), and AO is dropping off pretty fast maybe around neutral territory by the time the storm hits. At least according to the forecasts... http://www.cpc.ncep....nnections.shtml And if Im not mistaken most of our good storms happen during transitioning phases which all indices are doing during the feb10 time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Can anyone recall the last MECS the MA got while in a neutral PNA and NAO? Wes? Do you know this? I see you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 The GEFS members are all over the place. Most have a storm but some take it out to sea and some even have a miller b type look with a track that would give us rain instead of snow. I'd prefer the ridge in the west ot be a tad farther east as I think there still is potential for this storm to shift west. Lots of solutions are on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ggem looks good for this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Any tid bits of info/thoughts on the EURO long range after saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM/GFS/ECMWF - that's a good combination to have on our side even if it is 7 days out. As Wes pointed out though, there isn't a whole lot out there to prevent this thing from trending north and west. I like the look of the evolution of the storm, and it's good to see it fairly consistent with all the globals - now we'll have to wait to see if the models have nailed a long range storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 euro hr 138 really digging the trough further west this run. heights are much higher in front of it, but plenty cold precip breaking out around colo. kan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 euro hr 138 really digging the trough further west this run. heights are much higher in front of it, but plenty cold precip breaking out around colo. kan. The info is appreciated, midlo. Can't access the euro while at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 150 1004 low west central tx snow spreading into ok kan ark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Don't let us down Midlo. I don't want to see the rain smiley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Don't let us down Midlo. I don't want to see the rain smiley. 1004 low in west texas dosent sound that good. That usually means cutter or a once in a life time superstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 156 1000 mb west of brownsville tex. snow into miss valley trough pos tilted into central tx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 162 storm much further north snow into ky tenn 1004low over la. hi is off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Day 7 from Plymouth: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 1000 low over central ala. 0c ezf to lyh snow into pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ugly 992 low west of rdu ric +8 dc +3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 ugly 992 low west of rdu ric +8 dc +3 And it begins... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 midwest storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 hr 180 980 over R.I. snow to rain for all the big cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We start as snow and then quickly warm to rain...big storm for the apps, interior ne and ov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Another 7 days to track a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 And it begins... yep trough digs to far west hi slides off the coast next big hi dives into tx rinse repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 nina sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We always seem to get one set of good runs from each global as they begin shifting storms from the coast to the ohio valley. The westward shifting has begun, now the question is how far west it will go in the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 midwest storm Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 i am disavowing this storm.. please no longer reference my b-day in the same sentence. thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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