TowsonWeather Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 seems like this always happens to the 2 letter mets LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I believe Wes said yesterday he'd prefer to see the GFS suppressed at this range than the big hit it was showing before. So Wes got his wish. This might be a good sign for us next week given the GFS SE bias. Given the Euro's overamplification issues this year and the GFS SE bias I'd say we are in a good spot for a potential needle threading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 12Z GFS ensemble means look like it supports the op. but from the look I would think there is a good deal of spread on the members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 More importantly, what's the JMA show? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I believe Wes said yesterday he'd prefer to see the GFS suppressed at this range than the big hit it was showing before. So Wes got his wish. This might be a good sign for us next week given the GFS SE bias. Given the Euro's overamplification issues this year and the GFS SE bias I'd say we are in a good spot for a potential needle threading. I'd prefer this than a perfect track with this pattern but that means little. The new GFS really handles the northern stream different which is part of the reason it is so suppressed. I still think there is room for the storm to come west but the 12Z solution is one of many that are still on the table. I doubt this early in the game that the models will zero in on a forecast. I'd like to see the euro come east a little but still hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 anything on ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 anything on ggem? looks like it's going west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 looks like it's going west Sacrus ftl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Can I get some pbp????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Can I get some pbp????? at 108 it's cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 at 108 it's cold and dry Thanks man, all I really needed to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 looks much flatter at 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 132 has a big blob of moisture centered over tx.ok compared to la/ark last run at same time. colder out ahead, seems to be less northern stream influence thus far but with the low further west who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 looks much flatter at 120. Till the western vort looks a lot stronger than the gfs so it should have a better low coming across the south. I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 144 has most of the south in good rains, snow in tn.. 850 0c much further south so far, in central nc compared to near dc.. precip is slower to advance as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 150 has 1004 low on central ga/al border.. snow moving toward pa/md line.. 0c 850 nc border and south in western nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 150 has 1004 low on central ga/al border.. snow moving toward pa/md line.. 0c 850 nc border and south in western nc Sounds like overrunning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 hr 156 low ne sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 156 has snow continuing except se va.. low over sc... big hit dc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Sounds like overrunning? It doesn't sound like the gfs solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 ric in 1"+ at 156 0c just south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 by 156 .5"+ already north of dc with plenty more coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 156 has snow continuing except se va.. low over sc... big hit dc area Hug it and book it...case closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wow! Liking this run. But it departs from previous! Pretty wild! So what now! No consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 h5 is night and day from 0z yea i know it was dark then and sunny now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 162 has 992 off delmarva.. 1"+ to dc all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Euro ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 So we go from "GFS expolodes Euro Implodes" to "Euro explodes GFS Implodes". Actually sounds like everything is happening just like Wes was hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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