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Ians Birthday Blizzard Bomb Bonanza BECS Feb 9-11


Ji

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D.T. has been a joke recently. I'm about to unsubscribe to his thing. He seems to be rooting against snow now and he get his mind set on something and then puts on blinders and bashes every model run that doesn't fit into his narrative -- which has been wrong more than right so far.

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it seems this should be much more impressive at the surface for monday late/tuesday early.

http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_096m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_102m.gif

the baroclinic zone is dead and the surface pressure field is all Fooked up by the northern stream vort that came through first. That said, it would imply a shot at some snow from the h5 vort passage.

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the baroclinic zone is dead and the surface pressure field is all Fooked up by the northern stream vort that came through first. That said, it would imply a shot at some snow from the h5 vort passage.

yeah i guess i didnt need "much" but it barely shows any precip. i'd think there'd be a little more at least.

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the baroclinic zone is dead and the surface pressure field is all Fooked up by the northern stream vort that came through first. That said, it would imply a shot at some snow from the h5 vort passage.

That could end up being our 50 50 low

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yeah i guess i didnt need "much" but it barely shows any precip. i'd think there'd be a little more at least.

I think the GFS implies there would be some 1-3" snows around from the upper level energy passage. Expecting a global model to pick up on dynamically driven precip from an H5 vort at this time range is a little much. The implication is there. IF the GFS is right about the H5 its probably a 1-3" snowfall around somewhere in our area.

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it seems this should be much more impressive at the surface for monday late/tuesday early.

http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_096m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_102m.gif

I was just going to post this... its starting to look like some potent upper energy is going to take the "money track" from Atlanta to off of the VA Capes. GGEM looks good too. Something to track this weekend.

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