Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 There are so many posts on this storm that's it's just too much to go through. Just curious to who 1) got what they expected 2) overachieved 3) got screwed with ice instead of expected snow 4) got screwed due to less qpf/dry slot Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 N IL/IA/S WI/MO = SE MI/N OH/NW PA/WNY= suicide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 -snow totals will be what i expected, ORD going to make a run close to 20, if not within an inch or two depending on lake effect. -wind completely overperformed, pieces of buildings, trees and roadsigns were flying around and the whiteout was more intense than i could imagine (probably hurt snow totals though) -numerous lightning strikes, expected some, not this many or vibrant -hail with convection Overperformer in my book and i'm sure most Chicago posters would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You need to add a choice for got screwed with ice which promptly melted within a few hours. The storm left no trace here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 I heard buffalo was a disaster. How about Grand Rapids? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 since you were just here Ji, montreal and ottawa look to overperform based on models a couple days ago,, which showed a near-miss. storm just ended up wrapping up further and further north each successive model run, unfortunately screwing those in new york state along and S of I-90. up here....weenie delight, but sheer misery for 98% of the population today thanks to the cold conditions......currently pelting snow and wind but with temps in the single digits and chills around -20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 8 inches here in Elkhart area...not the 12-18 originally expected...Still, states of emergency here and in South Bend today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 like I said in the OBS I never thought I would complain about 8 inches with Blizzard conditions for 3+ hours and a clap of thunder..Could have been better? Yes but ill take it and the pivot headed right to me on radar this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Best way to describe the storm for my area of SE MI: total accumulations underachieved, peak intensity of the storm overachieved. Several days ago, I was envisioning a 24-hour snowstorm with 15-1 powder that would probably total in the 12-16" range. What we got was a more fierce storm with blizzard conditions but one of much lower ratios and shorter duration. The snow started as 12-1 in the blizzard, then turned to the sleet/snow mix overnight which added to the danger of the storm but cut into the accums some more. Some roads this morning are gridlocked because of the deep, dense snow. I was out, saw cars get stuck, cars that couldnt stop, etc. The storm total liquid imby was 0.80", so qpf yesterday verified just fine (the days prior did have us in the 1.25" range). Storm totals thru 8am today Round 1- P: 0.08", S- 1.3" Round 2- P: 0.72", S- 7.4" Current snow depth is a very dense 12" (reminds me of the packed powder at ski resorts) with some nice drifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 N IL/IA/S WI/MO = SE MI/N OH/NW PA/WNY= suicide lol thats a bit of an exaggeration for SE MI, at least my area. Once the snow ends, totals will be on the lower end of the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 -snow totals will be what i expected, ORD going to make a run close to 20, if not within an inch or two depending on lake effect. -wind completely overperformed, pieces of buildings, trees and roadsigns were flying around and the whiteout was more intense than i could imagine (probably hurt snow totals though) -numerous lightning strikes, expected some, not this many or vibrant -hail with convection Overperformer in my book and i'm sure most Chicago posters would agree. the footage out of chicago this morning is just unreal.....a TRUE BLIZZARD wow....u may never see anything like that again? milwaukee cam was unbelievable too i cant believe CNN had their reporter this AM in boston :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol thats a bit of an exaggeration for SE MI, at least my area. Once the snow ends, totals will be on the lower end of the forecast. Yeah, I didn't realize you were up in the 8" range. I'm guessing there are some areas that saw less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Best way to describe the storm for my area of SE MI: total accumulations underachieved, peak intensity of the storm overachieved. Several days ago, I was envisioning a 24-hour snowstorm with 15-1 powder that would probably total in the 12-16" range. What we got was a more fierce storm with blizzard conditions but one of much lower ratios and shorter duration. The snow started as 12-1 in the blizzard, then turned to the sleet/snow mix overnight which added to the danger of the storm but cut into the accums some more. Some roads this morning are gridlocked because of the deep, dense snow. I was out, saw cars get stuck, cars that couldnt stop, etc. The storm total liquid imby was 0.80", so qpf yesterday verified just fine (the days prior did have us in the 1.25" range). Storm totals thru 8am today Round 1- P: 0.08", S- 1.3" Round 2- P: 0.72", S- 7.4" Current snow depth is a very dense 12" (reminds me of the packed powder at ski resorts) with some nice drifts. glad to hear that Josh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yeah, I didn't realize you were up in the 8" range. I'm guessing there are some areas that saw less. Pretty much the lowest storm totals I can find for anyone in SE MI are around 5" so far, that appears to be in southern Oakland county. The thundersnow helped our cause, and the sleet made the snow basically a heart attack waiting to happen. Massive plowed snowbanks everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickysixes Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Flurries were expected 2 days ago, we've gotten around 5-8" so far w/40mph wind gusts and temps in the low teens. Very satisfied but obviously would have preferred 20" or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 the footage out of chicago this morning is just unreal.....a TRUE BLIZZARD wow....u may never see anything like that again? milwaukee cam was unbelievable too i cant believe CNN had their reporter this AM in boston :axe: the combo of thunder, wind, hail and snow.....never again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backdoorfront Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 20" of snow. Barely reached blizzard critera and winds are not what they forcasted for today. I'm not complaining. I had told family to expect snow > 10" last Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Ended up with .1 inches of snow up here on the north side of the storm I wasn't really expecting anything...so about right in line... Seems like areas north of MKE will do really good...That WI/IL border area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 7 inches of sleet/frz rain/snow +dryslot from hell= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I got hit hard with sleet. probably near 4 inches over two days. Maybe an inch or two of snow as well but generally I got screwed. I did remedy the situation last evening however... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I got hit hard with sleet. probably near 4 inches over two days. Maybe an inch or two of snow as well but generally I got screwed. I did remedy the situation last evening however... The sleet was pretty epic though, you got to admit that. Of course it would've been much better as all snow, regardless... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atw Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 There are so many posts on this storm that's it's just too much to go through. Just curious to who 1) got what they expected 2) overachieved 3) got screwed with ice instead of expected snow 4) got screwed due to less qpf/dry slot Thanks I live 40 miles northeast of Columbia Mo. Difficult to measure but heard that we were between 19-23." KMIZ out of Columbia said 17" as of 8pm but it snowed incredibly hard until about 10 pm. Obviously added to our totals. Unfortunately, nobody cares about a town of 11,000. I cant believe we werent dryslotted. (It was close!) The trowel turned more east and the slot filled in as well. I thought we might bust. The snow totals dropped off significantly to our southeast. Got around what i expected. I expect Chicago to break their record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I would say underperformed a bit here in Peoria. Good storm though, got thundersnow and total accumulation of about 12.5". I was hoping for about 6" more though. Plows have been out and about but I don't know what the roads themselves look like. 4-5' drifts in most peoples driveways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 icestorm overperformed here...i only wish it would have been during the day so i could have gotten pics. We climbed enough above freezing after midnight and had a few rain showers come thru to melt and blow off the majority of tree ice. Still a lot of tree damage out there. Most ice accumulation I've ever seen here. I don't know how, but we still have a snow cover....its like a glacier though. btw, don't use the euro for 2m temps.....it blows. We were never supposed to get below 32 during this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binovc Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I heard buffalo was a disaster. How about Grand Rapids? NWS reporting 12.9 at 7am. At my location in GRR more like 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 NWS reporting 12.9 at 7am. At my location in GRR more like 14. awesome. One of best friend has been living there for over a year now and I promised him 10-16 inches a few days ago. Glad it verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binovc Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 awesome. One of best friend has been living there for over a year now and I promised him 10-16 inches a few days ago. Glad it verified I think the NWS is now reporting over 15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Pretty normal for it to go way south of where I live. We don't get those kind of storms until March and April. That has been the trend the past 10 years anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Basically we got about what was expected. First wave of WAA Preicip. definitely overperformed. Ended up with 4-4.5" with the first wave. Second wave was a real nightmare around here, which was expected. About 2" of snow followed by almost 2-3" of sleet/snow mix, and now were getting some light snow. Probably around end around 5.5", which was what the NWS was going with. Local Media failed horribly, only called for 4-6" storm total here. Winds were absolutely howling the second wave though. At one point TOL, FDY, and Lima all had 40+kt gusts. Most counties here are pretty much shut down still. It puts us above average for the entire month of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Final Thoughts on SEMI Had great Blizzard conditions for 3 hours with 1+ rates an hour.. Kind of let down still..This will turn out to be a nightmare PR issue for local mets..Its not their faults though..Although jumping so quick with super high snow totals is what hurts..2 days before the storm 12-16 inches ,1 day before 10-15 ,the day of 7-10, the day after most locals ended up 5-8 inches (immediate metro Detroit area) ...The average people will remember this for a very long time. The models did a poor job with strength and showing the dry slot. It was a nowcaster event so the only model that showed an impressive dry slot was the HRRR. With regards to DTX..1 thing really went bad for them. In an AFD (monday morning ?) they threw in some unreasonable snow amounts..Something along lines of 18-24 inches. That only one model or piece of guidence showed. The context it was written in was poor and threw the local media into a frenzy. The Affects to the region (Commerce and closings) One word here " hype" . The cost to business and commerce due to lost productivity and low sales should measure to be very high. Even though roads were in poor shape..Ive never personally seen so many business's closed for a 5-8 inch snowstorm. This ought to be studied for a long time and local Mets take caution..People are *bleep*ed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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