dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Thank you Jeff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Euro similar to the GFS for the event next week, a late blooming LP over NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 everyone gets under an inch of precip on the euro, so i'm not sure how you see a foot so i guess we can tell the ratio's will not be 14:1 or so in the elevated interior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 6-12 of heavy wet snow for ALL of interior SNE on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 everyone gets under an inch of precip on the euro, so i'm not sure how you see a foot well c'mon..it's like .75+ wouldn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well folks should I issue an AWT now or later? AWT 12-24" with 30" lollies failed, why not go for the gusto! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 everyone gets under an inch of precip on the euro, so i'm not sure how you see a foot it also doesn't look much wetter than 0z, it just shifted about 100 miles SE with the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yes and mostly ignored. Pretty much. A flat 10:1 for the modeled QPF would've been OK up here. We kept getting into the 1.00-1.25" QPF on progs. 8-14" would've worked decently for a 2 day total. The warning signs were there on a lot of the modeling too...they just weren't given enough weight. I fell a bit into the trap too, but still had my reservations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 AWT 12-24" with 30" lollies failed, why not go for the gusto! Who forecasted those amounts other than some local tv up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well folks should I issue an AWT now or later? A lot of PL/FZRA for you today....AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 i don't know why anyone thought amounts much over a foot had a chance the nam way overdid qpf, as usual Well there are areas that have over a foot, but like Will brought up and many agreed....the pieces of the prolific snow puzzle were not all there. I may have been slightly too bullish with my thoughts for Logan a day or two ago, but the 3-5" additional that I guessed for yesterday wasn't that bad. I had 3" with about 0.2" sleet on top of that. When they dryslot was pegged to clear by late morning/early aftn on the models yesterday, you knew that was coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Who forecasted those amounts other than some local tv up there? Maybe someone with epic bankings did a few days ago? jk What was your highest early call on this disaster? 12-18? lollies to 24? I don't remember I just missed 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Next week's event looks ugly on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well there are areas that have over a foot, but like Will brought up and many agreed....the pieces of the prolific snow puzzle were not all there. I may have been slightly too bullish with my thoughts for Logan a day or two ago, but the 3-5" additional that I guessed for yesterday wasn't that bad. I had 3" with about 0.2" sleet on top of that. When they dryslot was pegged to clear by late morning/early aftn on the models yesterday, you knew that was coming. yeah, but not the widespread 18+ that was on the clown maps everybody posted these events are always faster than thought... i didn't even break an inch of liquid here and almost every model had me over that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 A lot of PL/FZRA for you today....AWT. Yup absolutely. Even though you didn't call for it or say anyhing about...Ekster, Sam, Ryan, Will, Scott Sboswx..kudos to all of them I have some nice ice pics I snapped including a white pine branch sagging over my electrical wires..Never got above 31 here...and now down to 29..There is ice all over everything..about .20 or so.. We've locked in 38-40 inches of snow in ice..and now we add 6-12 on topof that on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yup absolutely. Even though you didn't call for it or say anyhing about...Ekster, Sam, Ryan, Will, Scott Sboswx..kudos to all of them I posted an old school TWC sleet/freezing rain icon in a reply to one of your all snow posts. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well there are areas that have over a foot, but like Will brought up and many agreed....the pieces of the prolific snow puzzle were not all there. I may have been slightly too bullish with my thoughts for Logan a day or two ago, but the 3-5" additional that I guessed for yesterday wasn't that bad. I had 3" with about 0.2" sleet on top of that. When they dryslot was pegged to clear by late morning/early aftn on the models yesterday, you knew that was coming. The stronger the storm the bigger the dryslot or something? OMSU or someone pointed out the dryslot showing up on IR yesterday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 i don't know why anyone thought amounts much over a foot had a chance the nam way overdid qpf, as usual ...and the GFS, and the Euro, and the CMC ... This was where human forecasting sense was needed, and where many failed in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Next week's event looks ugly on this run. So did Saturdays storm. Remember when folks were hanging themselves with underwear on their mom's clothesline..when the Euro was originally cutting it west of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Next week's event looks ugly on this run. Pretty warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 So did Saturdays storm. Remember when folks were hanging themselves with underwear on their mom's clothesline..when the Euro was originally cutting it west of us? No...not really. Maybe a few weenies did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 So IOW everything we already knew about SWFE climo? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 So did Saturdays storm. Remember when folks were hanging themselves with underwear on their mom's clothesline..when the Euro was originally cutting it west of us? go REV Go REV Go time to chuck em high for sat pm. 32.5 depth at house with nearly an inch of sleet encasing the top. BRING IT> do i hear 40" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 No...not really. Maybe a few weenies did. I'm not worried in the least bit about next weeks event. I actually envision it being a scenario similiar to what we just went thru the last 2 days.swfe type event. Euro ens will be colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 KGAY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The euro is a tease for me..lol. It just sucked me in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 KGAY? he and ice warrior commander are busy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 How are things looking for Saturday? he and ice warrior commander are busy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The guy in the stall next to me is a tease ..lol.He just tapped his feet three times and just sucked me in. What is going on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 What an addicting hobby this is. Just got 11" in 2 days, have a 32" snow pack and I'm already happy to hear about the euro giving another 5-10. I'm already at 76" for the year!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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