CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow...euro bombs the low and smokes parts of E NE edit: not a true "bomb" but drops it close to 12mb/12 hr It even gets me into the action. Nice trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Looks like a near ACK track. 0.50" line runs from PSF-EEN-CON-SFM and everyone south of that is > 0.50". 0.25" RUT-HIE-IZG-BGR. Drops off to near nothing toward the Canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Does it look too far east for VT (NEK in particular)? Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 la la lock it up how far west does measurable QPF get? all of new england outside of far NW VT really is in measureable. it's got a funky set-up in that it actually trends colder over the life of the event. so looks like the best snows would be interior MA, maybe BOS then pts north and northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It even gets me into the action. Nice trend. Snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Euro is colder definitly for the interior here in the Northeast... Colder and juicier. Verbatim 6-12" from NE Ct up through SE coast of Maine. What an unreal winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Even *less* QPF would have still delivered a good 8-14" event today I think. Ratios underperformed in a big way, and the duration was even more limited than anticipated. I certainly hope snownh is okay. The only reason I'm on this forum is for his insight. I cherish every one of his daily 5 posts. Dryslot raced ne, ratios were poor, and it's always tough to get heavy snow over 12-14" when the mid level lows are nw of you because it promotes all the factors we just listed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Fringed Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I just don't see this issue getting any better anytime soon, especially with the potential for two more storms within the next week...just a hit...doesn't matter what p-type is just going to cause more issues. You guys need a total break from any storms right now to get places cleared off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Everything icing up again. Good think I cleaned my car. Storm total 10.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Dryslot raced ne, ratios were poor, and it's always tough to get heavy snow over 12-14" when the mid level lows are nw of you because it promotes all the factors we just listed. So IOW everything we already knew about SWFE climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Had about 4" total from today. Saturday night looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Colder and juicier. Verbatim 6-12" from NE Ct up through SE coast of Maine. What an unreal winter. And if it looks anything like 0z did there is another in the tues-weds time farme next week and the week after.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow...euro bombs the low and smokes parts of E NE edit: not a true "bomb" but drops it close to 12mb/12 hr Looks like a near ACK track. 0.50" line runs from PSF-EEN-CON-SFM and everyone south of that is > 0.50". 0.25" RUT-HIE-IZG-BGR. Drops off to near nothing toward the Canadian border. all of new england outside of far NW VT really is in measureable. it's got a funky set-up in that it actually trends colder over the life of the event. so looks like the best snows would be interior MA, maybe BOS then pts north and northeast. Awesome another storm tracking over ACK is just what I wanted for Christmas. -- Roads are a mess the exit to the Colony Place mall at exit 7 was almost flooded out at 11am, they had a huge front end loader trying to dig out the drains. Weird storm it never got warm or wet enough to melt the crap that fell overnight off the roads. It almost got it but there's probably about .2 to .3" of like negative 10 to 1 snow out there, it's like trying to shovel water! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 So IOW everything we already knew about SWFE climo? Yep, but 2' amounts were thrown around like nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Feb 1 on is N ORH county time! Blizz, you are in my sights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 So IOW everything we already knew about SWFE climo? Yes and mostly ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Interesting excerpt form NCEP: PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 805 AM EST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 12Z SUN FEB 06 2011 - 12Z WED FEB 09 2011 AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE JUST OFFSHORE THE WEST COAST COMBINED WITH A POLAR VORTEX POSITION IN NUNAVUT WILL ALLOW FOR A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES ON THIS IDEA...WHICH CLOSELY MATCHES THE CURRENT PATTERN THE UNITED STATES HAS TRANSITIONED INTO DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO ALLOW SURFACE LOWS TO MOVE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO UP INTO THE TENNESSEE/UPPER OHIO VALLEY BEFORE COASTAL REDEVELOPMENT TAKES OVER EAST OF THE APPALACHIAN WEDGE. EARLY IN THE PERIOD...THE MODELS WHICH MOST CLOSELY MATCH THIS IDEA ARE THE 06Z GFS/00Z UKMET. LATE IN THE PERIOD...THE MODEL THAT MOST CLOSELY MATCHES THIS IDEA IS THE 00Z CANADIAN...WITH THE 00Z GFS A CLOSE SECOND. FOR THE PRESSURES AND 500 HPA HEIGHTS...USED A COMPROMISE OF THE 06Z GFS/00Z UKMET/00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE SWITCHING TO A 00Z CANADIAN/00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN COMPROMISE THEREAFTER...WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO MOVE LOW PRESSURE AREAS NEAR THE GREAT LAKES...EAST...AND NORTHERN ATLANTIC INTO AREAS WITH THE BEST 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLE CLUSTERING. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THE LOW PROGRESSION THROUGH THE EAST LATE IN THE PERIOD IS DEPICTED TOO QUICK AS THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE MORE THAN FIVE DAYS INTO THE FUTURE WAS 12-24 HOURS TOO QUICK WITH THE DECEMBER 26 CYCLONE...JANUARY 26-27 CYCLONE...AND THE CURRENT GROUNDHOG DAY CYCLONE MOVING THROUGH THE EAST...WHOSE VERIFIED SOLUTIONS WERE EITHER ALONG OR OUTSIDE THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE SPREAD SIX TO SEVEN DAYS INTO THE FUTURE. THE LAST TWO CASES ARE EITHER DUE TO TOO MUCH PHASING BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN STREAM SEEN IN THE GLOBAL MODELS AT THAT TIME RANGE...OR AMPLIFICATION OF THE WRONG /PRECEDING/ SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE. ROTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 wow.. Euro trending colder.. more snow.. my back is aching.. my car is frozen.. and when this pattern turns and it pours rain.. oh boy what a disaster that is going to be. crazy crazy winter, one that we will be talking about for many weenie generations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Fringed Does coastal Maine get slop/rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yep, but 2' amounts were thrown around like nothing. i don't know why anyone thought amounts much over a foot had a chance the nam way overdid qpf, as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 One of the characteristics of these. I think most of us yesterday mentioned we would likely see qpf less robust than models were spitting out. Of course there will always be the qpf huggers. His Snownh swinging from side to side somewhere?? Hi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Does coastal Maine get slop/rain? You would stay snow this run as the low tracks further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol...if the euro is right someone from BOS to ORH or KGAY or thereabouts adds like another foot. that's unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 la la lock it up how far west does measurable QPF get? Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You would stay snow this run as the low tracks further east Thank you Jeff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 i don't know why anyone thought amounts much over a foot had a chance the nam way overdid qpf, as usual To be fair, it had support from the GFS, but yea, lots of fails.. but fails that were well disucssed beforehand by ryan, scott, will and hence reflected their more reasonable forecasts for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol...if the euro is right someone from BOS to ORH or KGAY or thereabouts adds like another foot. that's unreal. everyone gets under an inch of precip on the euro, so i'm not sure how you see a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Colder and juicier. Verbatim 6-12" from NE Ct up through SE coast of Maine. What an unreal winter. the euro trended toward the good rev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well folks should I issue an AWT now or later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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