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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part VII


ORH_wxman

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John, I know...that was my point....it pained my to JUST miss it.

Nothing wrong with your post, bro.

hey, just f with you man.

actually this storm is a snow dud if you ask me... I barely tickled 4" before IP contamination started up at my place in Ayer, but my Met buddy who lives just up the way in FIT said they went back to parachutes when those 40dbzers ripped through, so I might have flipped back there. As for Westborough...looks like 3" feel before complete flip to IP and some small amount of ZR. Eitherway, where it stays snow it is not going to be anywhere close to the imaginary lover of the NAM clown products - at least I could be proven wrong, but we'll see.

The whole shibang is done here in an hour west...maybe as long as 2 east, as it is moving along smartly...

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It's probably 1/8SM here right now. Vis is lower than my 1/12 deformation band. This is really intense. Looks like sleet getting near CON now.

Its kinda like a fog right now as i am in the heart of the band. Pretty crazy. Band #2 perhaps an hour away looks pretty good too.

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wasnt a bust here at all part 1 gave us 10 and part 2 gave us 4.5 3.5 was snow 1 inch was sleet today! 14.5 total i have nother to complain about

Well despite the fact that this storm is an accumulation bust, and despite the fact that ALB has been getting off easy on most of these events... The people in the immediate Albany CD area still think they are having a harsh winter because it has been so many years (2003-04) since the last normal or above winter.

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has there ever been a significant ice storm around here? I'm getting the picture it's very difficult to hold the surface below freezing even give a pretty strong high to the north.

Yes, the Blackstone Valley has had a few relatively significant ice events in the past 20-30 years, probably moreso before that time. Generally the ice accretions drop off sigifnicantly from where you are through Wrentham and Franklin where you hit the true coastal plain.

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has there ever been a significant ice storm around here? I'm getting the picture it's very difficult to hold the surface below freezing even give a pretty strong high to the north.

I lucked out because I held low level cold immensely well and I usually don't......and I stayed sleet and avoided the frz rain.

Bullet # 123 dodged this winter.

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talk about the weekend/early week threat here for a couple of minutes?

there is an OBS thread too....

We should just probably start a new thread for that one and leave this thread for this storm. I know everyone has a superstition fetish with the thread starters but someone should just fire one up.

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In from shoveling.

Ridiculously heavy sleet (most i've been in since that V Day storm) with snow coming in and out, even some streaks of ZR on the cars.

We're right inside the CF here (N. Sudbury, temp 18) according to the surface map.

Sleet ACCUMULATES, just in case you didn't know, and feels like shoveling gold. At least it stays put....

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I think you're right. BTW, the coop site appears to be in Stafford Springs, not Staffordville. I was using the first site below to determine elevations for the various NWS coop sites, but it turns out a more official site disagrees and has it at 951 ft elevation.

http://weather-wareh...CT_January.html

http://mesowest.utah...te.cgi?state=CT

Staffordville is that low in elevation huh..I thought they were higher..The higher elevations in Tolland Cty have more than that

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In from shoveling.

Ridiculously heavy sleet (most i've been in since that V Day storm) with snow coming in and out, even some streaks of ZR on the cars.

We're right inside the CF here (N. Sudbury, temp 18) according to the surface map.

Sleet ACCUMULATES, just in case you didn't know, and feels like shoveling gold. At least it stays put....

This.

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How much do you have....

Going out to measure now, but it's not the totals I'm talking about. It's the snow burst with higher reflectivities. There's some aggregates, but there aren't as many large ones as I'd expect with reflectivities this high. It's just a wall of snow.
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It's crazy... Northwest arlington is 31 and heavy ZR, down closer to medford/somerville is 33 and rain, tight gradients in the boston suburbs.

Nine times out of ten is most always the way. Springtime phenomena and very localized, bottom of street can have 2" up Mt High several more. Thankfully looks like backend is fast approaching and no flash freeze in sight. At least basement is insulated by 2 1/2-3' of igloo style glaciated snowpack. Looking like something out of Dr. Zhivago out there.

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talk about the weekend/early week threat here for a couple of minutes?

there is an OBS thread too....

That could be a surprise primarily wet snow deal - kind of a 4-6" blue snow. The critical thickness in levels looks like one of those isothermal at freeing deals to me, not unlike that which takes place in March. 32F right up through 850mb, with a decent cold in the swow growth over top for when the omega max(es) come through. That is provide the guidance is correct in taking the low across CC Canalish

The NAM is not likely to perform as well on that system. This weekend deal will benefit from the coarser runs that smooth out unnecessary attention to finite/discrete physical interactions of the different jet fields - sometimes the smaller grid of the NAM is too much of a good thing, because it sees more than it can really handle in terms of ironing out what are and are not important fractiles in the field.

Lofty dialogue aside, the bevy of the guidance keep this thing weaker in cyclogenic scale, which is the best thing. If the WAA counterpart to that got any stronger there isn't a protective polar high this time. What there is though is residual cold in BL that will offer some viscosity and keep the development more on the coast or just off-shore, which would permote N drain in the interior from the upper MA to SNE. This combined with dynamics looks suprisingly wet snowy to me - though not alot. Probably I-95 rains eventually in that - but even there it is too nebulous to be certain for now.

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How is the weather in Florence?

It's been really dry. Been here 10 days and it's only rained twice for a time. Coldest day was this past Sunday (40F) and recently it has warmed up. Today's forecasted high was 48F, but I believe it busted too low. Last check was 54F.

Next several days are sunny and 55-60F. Wouldn't mind the boring weather since this is a walking city.

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