weatherMA Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Hey guys any measurement obs are appreciated. What does ORH have with the event so far today? 10.4 as of 7am...including yesterday so probably 3" today, yesterday was 7.5" I believe. There has been 1-2" of snow/sleet since 7am though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Heavy icing continues..pines sagging like Ray's breasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nate Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Freezing rain now in Waltham, temps been steadily warming in the last hour to 28.9 now. Looks like it's above freezing in the next town to my east. Pretty sharp coastal boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 We have heavy pellets mixed with ZR down here in Westborough – just ripping out there! Currently about 75% IP (clear pellets) and 25% ZR here, falling together at a mod-heavy pace. Rad says you are getting some awesome snow fall rates if you have not gone to IP along and N of Rt 2, and W of 495 (Essex Co is doing well). Intellicasts p-type algorithm has stalled the northward migration of the transition zone – right along Rt 2 or just S of there. Maybe some pellets mixing in, but that means > 50% of your action is probably snow. Looked over the guidance: looks like a 6-8 hour QPF bomb on the weekend with p-type headaches. Then there is a chance of a massive event a week from today. We seem to be on this cycle over the past month of a big storm in midweek, then a smaller size or nuance systems on the weekends, then another bigger mid week deal. Meanwhile, the CPC and CDC nightly teleconnectors are screaming for a pattern change that the deterministic runs are hesitent to bring in. One thing that will throw an additional pretty big monkey wrench ....probably more like an all out crow-bar, is the emergent SSWE taking place. Too early to tell if this is a propagator or not; if so, the AO tanks in 20 days, so whatever pattern change toward warmer times is going to happen, it's getting temporally squeezed and runs out of room by day. If we manage a wet snow interior job on the weekend, and then the 00z Euro is right about the coastal mid-week (and it even narely misses us with an all out blizzard on D10), it becomes questionable whether or not these teleconnectors (derived off the 21 member GFS suite) are pulling a red herring. I suppose also, in all fairness, these signals are not exactly strong signals. The PNA is moderately negative at CPC, to about -1 at most, and the NAO at the same agency actually collapses (new signal) toward neutral in a week, before mop-ending whether it will rise again; the CDC has the NAO actually slipping negative again in 10 days (also a new signal) after a mighty 7 day hike - which is probably interim overblown. So yeah ...there is some wiggle-room in there for interpretation. We probably should try and be objective about what those curves really mean. And it is going to be interesting to see how the AO is handled over the coming weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Heavy icing continues..pines sagging like Ray's breasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I like that the SPC has much of the region marked off for general thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Just plain rain out there right now Good luck to those getting snow and zr! though for different reasons... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Yeah, this time instead of the big dendrites it's needle like crystals. Sometimes in these sleet situations with very cold low level temps it can be cold enough for nucleation to produce tiny snow crystals (snow grains) in the cold layer. So you get a PLSG mix. Then when you get a little burst of stronger uvv's you can flip the PL over to some larger SN aggregates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 blizzard Congrats pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patfan1987 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Temp drop and RIPPING! in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Def. 1/4sm S+ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The Sleet is just pouring down. Up to .4" sleet in the past few hours. Going out to shovel, 3.4 snow with .4 sleet on top! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Snow starting to ramp up in Plymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 We have heavy pellets mixed with ZR down here in Westborough – just ripping out there! Currently about 75% IP (clear pellets) and 25% ZR here, falling together at a mod-heavy pace. Rad says you are getting some awesome snow fall rates if you have not gone to IP along and N of Rt 2, and W of 495 (Essex Co is doing well). Intellicasts p-type algorithm has stalled the northward migration of the transition zone – right along Rt 2 or just S of there. Maybe some pellets mixing in, but that means > 50% of your action is probably snow. Looked over the guidance: looks like a 6-8 hour QPF bomb on the weekend with p-type headaches. Then there is a chance of a massive event a week from today. We seem to be on this cycle over the past month of a big storm in midweek, then a smaller size or nuance systems on the weekends, then another bigger mid week deal. Meanwhile, the CPC and CDC nightly teleconnectors are screaming for a pattern change that the deterministic runs are hesitent to bring in. One thing that will throw an additional pretty big monkey wrench ....probably more like an all out crow-bar, is the emergent SSWE taking place. Too early to tell if this is a propagator or not; if so, the AO tanks in 20 days, so whatever pattern change toward warmer times is going to happen, it's getting temporally squeezed and runs out of room by day. If we manage a wet snow interior job on the weekend, and then the 00z Euro is right about the coastal mid-week (and it even narely misses us with an all out blizzard on D10), it becomes questionable whether or not these teleconnectors (derived off the 21 member GFS suite) are pulling a red herring. I suppose also, in all fairness, these signals are not exactly strong signals. The PNA is moderately negative at CPC, to about -1 at most, and the NAO at the same agency actually collapses (new signal) toward neutral in a week, before mop-ending whether it will rise again; the CDC has the NAO actually slipping negative again in 10 days (also a new signal) after a mighty 7 day hike - which is probably interim overblown. So yeah ...there is some wiggle-room in there for interpretation. We probably should try and be objective about what those curves really mean. And it is going to be interesting to see how the AO is handled over the coming weeks. Whiteout conditions like you wouldn't believe right now!!! This is insane. Thanks for the insight Tip. I only have access to the free Euro and what I got out of it from ewall is that there is no end in sight to the parade of storms. Thanks for going into more depth than that. Was wondering what that parade might hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Def. 1/4sm S+ now. Ya we are getting smoked right now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 ...the mountain is closing at 4:30 today... zero zr, steady mix between pl and sn+ It's like we're in the middle of the war zone, and the temps aloft are battling. I guess it all depends on the intensity of the precip. Heavier dbz seem to be more sleet-tainted, but it's all very good. The woods are unbelievable, head on up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 To those who made the call for IP into S. NH and Vt with RT 2 corridor hanging tough with SN until the end - congrats, good call. I'm pretty happy with the outcome of this storm up here. Still SN w/ pingers mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Congrats kev, even though you owe the six pack, your snow pack is now indestructible with 1/4 to 1/2 Ice accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 heavy zr, 27º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I like that the SPC has much of the region marked off for general thunderstorms. The vaisala lightning map has a lot of strikes in western PA and a stray strike north of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
polski Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Still all snow (moderate to heavy) 5 mi W of Newburyport, praise Ullr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Shame we couldn't sustain this all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 We have heavy pellets mixed with ZR down here in Westborough – just ripping out there! Currently about 75% IP (clear pellets) and 25% ZR here, falling together at a mod-heavy pace. Rad says you are getting some awesome snow fall rates if you have not gone to IP along and N of Rt 2, and W of 495 (Essex Co is doing well). Intellicasts p-type algorithm has stalled the northward migration of the transition zone – right along Rt 2 or just S of there. Maybe some pellets mixing in, but that means > 50% of your action is probably snow. Looked over the guidance: looks like a 6-8 hour QPF bomb on the weekend with p-type headaches. Then there is a chance of a massive event a week from today. We seem to be on this cycle over the past month of a big storm in midweek, then a smaller size or nuance systems on the weekends, then another bigger mid week deal. Meanwhile, the CPC and CDC nightly teleconnectors are screaming for a pattern change that the deterministic runs are hesitent to bring in. One thing that will throw an additional pretty big monkey wrench ....probably more like an all out crow-bar, is the emergent SSWE taking place. Too early to tell if this is a propagator or not; if so, the AO tanks in 20 days, so whatever pattern change toward warmer times is going to happen, it's getting temporally squeezed and runs out of room by day. If we manage a wet snow interior job on the weekend, and then the 00z Euro is right about the coastal mid-week (and it even narely misses us with an all out blizzard on D10), it becomes questionable whether or not these teleconnectors (derived off the 21 member GFS suite) are pulling a red herring. I suppose also, in all fairness, these signals are not exactly strong signals. The PNA is moderately negative at CPC, to about -1 at most, and the NAO at the same agency actually collapses (new signal) toward neutral in a week, before mop-ending whether it will rise again; the CDC has the NAO actually slipping negative again in 10 days (also a new signal) after a mighty 7 day hike - which is probably interim overblown. So yeah ...there is some wiggle-room in there for interpretation. We probably should try and be objective about what those curves really mean. And it is going to be interesting to see how the AO is handled over the coming weeks. Temp drop and RIPPING! in Methuen. Def. 1/4sm S+ now. Whiteout conditions like you wouldn't believe right now!!! This is insane. Thanks for the insight Tip. I only have access to the free Euro and what I got out of it from ewall is that there is no end in sight to the parade of storms. Thanks for going into more depth than that. Was wondering what that parade might hold. :arrowhead: :arrowhead: :noose: Sleet+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slowpoke Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 hey it's raining in Fairhaven, Ma. carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Ya we are getting smoked right now!!! Yup, was just going to post. Past 10-15 min has been +s. Temp dropped (UML weatherbug shows 19.0 down from 20.0). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol...just clicked on google news and saw a NAM clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 We might be zr at the moment!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol...just clicked on google news and saw a NAM clown map. Lol I saw that yesterday from the capital weather gang. Had bos ast 20"... Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Shame we couldn't sustain this all morning. how much you have in nashua dom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 10am obs 0.7" last hour 4.3" for storm 2 7.4" combined total. 12.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.