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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part VII


ORH_wxman

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:36 PM, messenger said:

How is this storm doing from the MA border north? Exceeding or not quite meeting expectations?

NAM flipped on the next one...no mucho phaso like the 0z...more in line with the others.

You were right as far as mby is concerned.....about 75\25 sleet\snow.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:39 PM, w1pf said:

9:30am

21/17

90% sleet, 10% snow

round 1: 7"

round 2: 3.5" - 1.5" of sleet in the past 1.5hr

total: 10.5"

Wait is 1.5" sleet in the past 1.5 hr realistic? mets?

Not questioning but I'm just curious, because I thought sleet accumulated much, much slower.

For example, I have about .3" sleet in the past 1 hr and 15 minutes of almost pure sleet.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:36 PM, messenger said:

How is this storm doing from the MA border north? Exceeding or not quite meeting expectations?

NAM flipped on the next one...no mucho phaso like the 0z...more in line with the others.

I'm 14 mi. from Jackson VT and we will easily meet the low end snow total expectations here after I had my doubts around 7am.

As I stated in my last post I've got a conservative estimated 12"+ since yesterday.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:39 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You were right as far as mby is concerned.....about 75\25 sleet\snow.

Hopefully we don't have to tangle with these temp issues much going forward/or the pattern changes and the models start getting it right.

For now, doesn't matter if it's a coastal, SWFE or an inverted trough if you're near the mix line on the models think warmer and faster.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:39 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You were right as far as mby is concerned.....about 75\25 sleet\snow.

Many of the SREF members the other day had the ptype turning to sleet even in NNE. That was a little bit of a red flag to me. The SREFs handled the warming aloft pretty well in the 1/18 SWFE too. It's funny to think that a few days ago we were debating if even Kevin would stay all snow. :lol:
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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:42 PM, weatherMA said:

Wait is 1.5" sleet in the past 1.5 hr realistic? mets?

Not questioning but I'm just curious, because I thought sleet accumulated much, much slower.

For example, I have about .3" sleet in the past 1 hr and 15 minutes of almost pure sleet.

It was pretty intense for a while around 9AM or so. I suppose some snow could have mixed in during that time, but it didn't look like it out the window.

...tom

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:44 PM, w1pf said:

It was pretty intense for a while around 9AM or so. I suppose some snow could have mixed in during that time, but it didn't look like it out the window.

...tom

Ok, because Ive had sleet with occasional snow for an hour and a half and had less then a half inch. It must have been more intense there.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 2:44 PM, dendrite said:

Many of the SREF members the other day had the ptype turning to sleet even in NNE. That was a little bit of a red flag to me. The SREFs handled the warming aloft pretty well in the 1/18 SWFE too. It's funny to think that a few days ago we were debating if even Kevin would stay all snow. :lol:

I'll just consider staying on the right side of the cf a victory.....so far, so good.

21.6\20

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