SACRUS Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I have to give props to tmagan...I wanted to jump all over him yesterday (and some people did) when he said "I can see southern Jersey making a run for the upper 50's during the day Wednesday" and that Easten Long Island could hit 50. Well, Cape May hit 57 last hour, and MTP sits at 47. Into the 60s along the VA coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Into the 60s along the VA coast FOK hit 49 too. Good ol' south wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lots of branches down here. One tree right in back of my dorm split in two from all of the ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I have to give props to tmagan...I wanted to jump all over him yesterday (and some people did) when he said "I can see southern Jersey making a run for the upper 50's during the day Wednesday" and that Easten Long Island could hit 50. Well, Cape May hit 57 last hour, and MTP sits at 47. Now, don't take this the wrong way....but I just want to point out that while the end result in regards to temps was really close, I think it was for the wrong reason. That prediction was based off of the GEM's exact solution, which had no coastal transfer of energy ever occuring. When in fact its in the process of doing that now. Had that have happened just a liitle sooner than it did, these same areas would have been much colder. Nothing against tmagan, just something I noticed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Now, don't take this the wrong way....but I just want to point out that while the end result in regards to temps was really close, I think it was for the wrong reason. That prediction was based off of the GEM's exact solution, which had no coastal transfer of energy ever occuring. When in fact its in the process of doing that now. Had that have happened just a liitle sooner than it did, these same areas would have been much colder. Nothing against tmagan, just something I noticed Its a razor's edge. We have not climbed above 34 yet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks the snowpack melts slowly over the next week before the next shot of arctic air and snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Its a razor's edge. We have not climbed above 34 yet here. Not going to happen either, I got up to lower 40's earlier, but still dropping now.....back down to 35.8.....also, the fog I had earlier has turned into more of a mist/drizzle. I'm wondering, if temps keep falling are we going to see more problems later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks the snowpack melts slowly over the next week before the next shot of arctic air and snow chances. agreed,,,this event actually added to my snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Its a razor's edge. We have not climbed above 34 yet here. Ed, looks like some of the north shore stations on wunderground have dropped below freezing now. And quite a few are right at 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 NYC still 33F on a NE wind. Sfc high pressure definitely won out as I was suspecting. Not many locations saw plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 <br />agreed,,,this event actually added to my snowpack<br /><br /><br /><br />The layer of ice on top of the snow has prevented the pack from shrinking like it could have.It will be like concrete by tomorrow night. There is still the icepack from the past storms,there are actually several layers of snow and ice which is not going to mkelt as easily as it would normally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 lol, looks like the rutgers anemometer froze up at 3am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 <br /><br /><br /> The layer of ice on top of the snow has prevented the pack from shrinking like it could have.It will be like concrete by tomorrow night. There is still the icepack from the past storms,there are actually several layers of snow and ice which is not going to mkelt as easily as it would normally. assuming no thaw, which doesn't look likely at least in the near future, we should be able to hold on to this snowpack for at least 10-14 days maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks the snowpack melts slowly over the next week before the next shot of arctic air and snow chances. Well that was basically the temperature profile we and the snowpack were dealing with the week or two leading up to the arctic outbreak before the 1/26 storm. Mid-upper 30's during the day 20's at night. If we can squeeze some snow out of Saturday's event somehow the sensible weather will be pretty much the same as just before 1/26 and the arctic outbreak that occurred the days leading up to that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I like a comment I read on accuwx....."if your groundhog says winter is over, find a new groundhog" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 <br />assuming no thaw, which doesn't look likely at least in the near future, we should be able to hold on to this snowpack for at least 10-14 days maybe more.<br /><br /><br /><br />Its going to thaw somewhat,but minimally.A big torch type warmup would bring serious flooding with this 5-6 inch liquid pack. This is already the greatest snowpack I have ever seen in my 44 years.If we did not get another flake this winter,I would still be happy.We had a fantastic 2 month run of cold and 1 month run of snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 34.5 here now...This snow pack needs three or four days near 60 to melt off...That ain't happening soon...If there is still 1" or more on the ground Feb. 22nd 2011 will break 1947-48's record... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 These 33-34F readings around most of the area and north winds are definitely encouraging in that snowmelt will be very limited today. Tonight, expect it to refreeze solid as temps go back into the lower 20s and whatever ZR/rain soaks in and freezes up. Roads will likely be just as treacherous tonight as they were this morning, since everything is still wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 <br /><br /><br /> Its going to thaw somewhat,but minimally.A big torch type warmup would bring serious flooding with this 5-6 inch liquid pack. This is already the greatest snowpack I have ever seen in my 44 years.If we did not get another flake this winter,I would still be happy.We had a fantastic 2 month run of cold and 1 month run of snow and cold. Same here, almost... Last years Feb, th5-6th, 16" followed by Feb 10th's 18" leaving 30"+ snow pack was it for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Haven't even touched the car yet, this should be fun. sidewalk took some time to shovel/salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 temp down to 31.9 degrees here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 My temp has been rising very slowly all day. 33.8 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Ed, looks like some of the north shore stations on wunderground have dropped below freezing now. And quite a few are right at 32. I distrust any of the stations that are showing below freezing right now. I think thats a good marker for stations that are too low and need to be calibrated. Even if it was actually freezing at some locations, which it certainly wasn't earlier, it is unlikely that it would drop below freezing in the middle of the day with a saturated boundary, not much wind, no CAA yet and everything dripping wet. To our north is all above freezing as well. EDIT: This is for Suffolk County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Good afternoon ladies and gents. Turned out to be a significant ice storm here. We lost power from about 5 through 9am. A few major tree branches are down, one fell on and damaged a car. Trees are still thickly coated, main hazard at the moment is falling ice. It's almost constant noise out there with the ice falling everywhere. A real mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 slight drizzle here with temp at 36F and DP at 34F....slush everywhere.....really sucks to be in Manhattan today. Good thing I'm only here physically. http://www.whiteface.com/mountain/cams.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Colder air is moving south behind the secondary low. The push of cold air is mainly being felt over the eastern 2/3 of New England and down into Suffolk County LI, and not further west. Islip, Bridgeport and New Haven, CT all dropped 2 degrees in the last 2 hours. (New Haven is down to 30F as of 3PM). Upton is down to 32.5F now. You mention "not much wind", but New Haven has a north wind at 12 kt. Also, a buoy in eastern LI Sound has a NNE wind at 12 kt gusting to 16 kt. That buoy also has seen temps drop 4 degrees in the past 4 hours, and 1 degree in the past 15 minutes, and is now at 30.9F. Those winds are clearly advecting colder air southward, even if the winds over LI are weaker. http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=44039 I agree that the stations showing a temp. below 32F probably have a cold bias, but most stations in Suffolk County and coastal southern CT have seen temps drop steadily over the past few hours. I distrust any of the stations that are showing below freezing right now. I think thats a good marker for stations that are too low and need to be calibrated. Even if it was actually freezing at some locations, which it certainly wasn't earlier, it is unlikely that it would drop below freezing in the middle of the day with a saturated boundary, not much wind, no CAA yet and everything dripping wet. To our north is all above freezing as well. EDIT: This is for Suffolk County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 When this colder air comes in after the front passes by, can we expect some flash freezing tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I'm so jealous that it's 60 degrees in Cape May County, why couldn't that come just 100 or so miles up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Temp still going down...32.8 here now, light north wind, still some drizzle too hope that stops before we drop any lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Tonight has me concerned with increasing winds and dropping temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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