Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 SNOW!!! accumulating on the sidewalks now after a period of misting precip The met school at A&M apparently does the occasional balloon release, per some discussions, I'd love to see a CLL sounding. 4th biggest city in America should have an NWS office that releases balloons. If, for no other reason, I can't see ACARS on the internet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 SNOW!!! accumulating on the sidewalks now after a period of misting precip Congrats! This is an awesome stretch of winter weather for Texas, and you had better be prepared for some more cold if that big storm amplifies next Thursday. If Houston gets accumulating snow, won't this be three years in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Congrats! This is an awesome stretch of winter weather for Texas, and you had better be prepared for some more cold if that big storm amplifies next Thursday. If Houston gets accumulating snow, won't this be three years in a row? Three seasons, 12/10/2008, 12/5/2009, and now. If we get accumulating snow. I smell a freezing drizzle event, myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Just ran the SmartModel on Houston, showing a bout of FZRA from 9-11Z then switching to SN for a few hours, looking at 1" at best for accumulation. Thoughts http://smartwxmodel.net Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 My car, near 1960 and Veterans, wet, but with discrete little ice particles. I'd guess mixed freezing drizzle and small sleet, though I felt no sleet, only drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Semi-reliable, non experimental models, for several consecutive runs were showing ballpark a tenth of liquid equivalent, and NAM, GFS and ECMWF forecast skew-Ts, while all subfreezing, were barely subfreezing in the saturated layer, so I'm not completely surprised by some freezing and not frozen light precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 still just a dusting here, and snow is only coming down lightly. nothing super impressive on the way either; i'd take an inch at this point. looks like north of here lucked out this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Ground truth for near Veterans Memorial and FM 1960... what was a wet car with discrete ice particles now a car with solid thin but bumpy ice coating. Pro-Met Jeff from Harris County OEM on local thread, ambulances in Ft Bend suspended, police officer injured on scene at an ice accident, and a TxDOT sander at I-10 and Fry (Katy area) crashed and flipped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Turning into somewhat of a nasty icing event unfortunately in some areas of the Houston metro. Doesn't take much in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 bigger flakes here now coming down at a much better clip... going from dusting to coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flexo Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 bigger flakes here now coming down at a much better clip... going from dusting to coating I'm talking to a friend in Austin who says it's all graupel. Is it really all snow in CLL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'm talking to a friend in Austin who says it's all graupel. Is it really all snow in CLL? it was as far as i could tell when i was out there about 20 or 30 min ago. CLL reported light snow at 2am too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 well, i'm going to use this for dallas snow too. no reason they should have to post in the obs thread. 3.5" report in dallas 12 minutes ago... should see at least 4 or 5 there looking at radar looks like maybe 2 in waco so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 snowflake size decreasing here too... p-type issues again, though surface T now down to 24F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Car getting a better crust of ice, still drizzle, but a heavier drizzle. Pavement just wet. 1960 & Veterans area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 09Z SmartModel Run is out For TX and LA. Looks like a bit of snow for some area. http://smartwxmodel.net Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sarwx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Solid 1/4" layer of ice out here 30-miles west of Houston... sleet an freezing drizzle combo. Temp has been dropping too... down to 23º. Definitely a shut down the city day, but I sure wanted snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I saw Dallas is picking up 3-5" of snow. Must be apocalypse mode down there with the ice on the roads then snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 RGEM was right after all with the Dallas snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I saw Dallas is picking up 3-5" of snow. Must be apocalypse mode down there with the ice on the roads then snow. Not quite yet, we've got packed powder but some black diamonds on the usual runs. Some reports in the last hour of sleet (19 degrees, hasn't been above low 20's since Monday, so if we're getting a warm layer you guys may be completely out of snow luck. Dallas drank Houston's milkshake.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backdoorfront Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Cool. (If you like snow) 02/04/2011 0621 am Grand Prairie, Dallas County. Snow m4.50 inch, reported by public. 02/04/2011 0545 am Richardson, Dallas County. Snow e5.00 inch, reported by public. 5 inches of snow at Richardson 02/04/2011 0429 am Dallas, Dallas County. Snow e5.00 inch, reported by broadcast media. 5 inches of snow at the krld studio 02/04/2011 0340 am Dallas, Dallas County. Snow m4.50 inch, reported by broadcast media. At krld 02/04/2011 0336 am 3 miles NE of Dallas, Dallas County. Snow m4.00 inch, reported by trained spotter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Sounds ****ty in Houston this morning. According to HPD they are trying to shut down portions of the 290 at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gil888 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 horrible forecast for houston-- ugh too much warm air. take away my red tag-- i shoulda known the snow would not be southeast of that big upper low in the deep south. all the snow for n tx/ok/ar-- yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sarwx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 horrible forecast for houston-- ugh too much warm air. take away my red tag-- i shoulda known the snow would not be southeast of that big upper low in the deep south. all the snow for n tx/ok/ar-- yikes. The models were just awful on this event... all of them really. ALL the snow was up in north Texas and Oklahoma! Unreal. Only saving grace for Houston is that the Ice definitely still warranted shutting down the city. It's probably worse actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like there's a potent cyclone up in north Texas, it was probably a little stronger than expected and advected in more warm Gulf air than expected. Additionally, boundary layer obs in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico are probably terrible, so who knows how warm the air mass sitting out there was before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The models were just awful on this event... all of them really. ALL the snow was up in north Texas and Oklahoma! Unreal. Only saving grace for Houston is that the Ice definitely still warranted shutting down the city. It's probably worse actually. The GFS was the little less bad...was always drier against it's ensembles.. but still was far from good. Hopefully next one is like this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gil888 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The models were just awful on this event... all of them really. ALL the snow was up in north Texas and Oklahoma! Unreal. Only saving grace for Houston is that the Ice definitely still warranted shutting down the city. It's probably worse actually. yesterday afternoon there was some indication that the worst weather would be farther north (nobody had 6 inches of snow for N TX though). Something about those lows leaving Mexico-- usually those forecasts leave something to be desired. The freezing rain saved a poor forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 horrible forecast for houston-- ugh too much warm air. take away my red tag-- i shoulda known the snow would not be southeast of that big upper low in the deep south. all the snow for n tx/ok/ar-- yikes. Yeah track of ULL sucked for here. Deep moisture wasn't here and just a slight warm layer with no heavy precip = disaster if you wanted snow. Ah well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 yesterday afternoon there was some indication that the worst weather would be farther north (nobody had 6 inches of snow for N TX though). Something about those lows leaving Mexico-- usually those forecasts leave something to be desired. The freezing rain saved a poor forecast... Yeah track of ULL sucked for here. Deep moisture wasn't here and just a slight warm layer with no heavy precip = disaster if you wanted snow. Ah well. Isn't it just as likely that ed mahmoud jinxed it by talking all week about the storm and having the gall to start a thread about a "snow miracle" before it happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Isn't it just as likely that ed mahmoud jinxed it by talking all week about the storm and having the gall to start a thread about a "snow miracle" before it happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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