J.Spin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Update from here in the Burlington area – first flakes seemed to come down a bit after 9:30 A.M., and we’ve had light snow comprised of 1-3 mm flakes since then. I can see that there’s a coating on the cars, roads, and other surfaces now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 NICE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak22 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Haha yeah that's all yours but I completely agree. There's a spotter up there that will come in with probably the highest amounts. If I *had* to guess another jackpot spot it would be Jaffery, NH in the Manadnocks... or 2,000ft in Peru, MA (Berks). Still, its going to be hard to beat 2,100ft in extreme southern VT. --SN just started here at 1,500ft in Stowe. Snowing a little steadier up at the top of the lifts at 3,600ft. Dry air is evaporating most of it in the over 2,000ft fall from top to the base here. I doubt its doing anything in Stowe village yet. PF, please pardon the IMBY question, but what are you thinking for the Mount Snow area? I have a whole skihouse full of people waiting to hear if this is going to be an epic weekend. I've already told them yes, but what are your thoughts about totals? I knew this was going to be another big weekend, because I'm leaving on Friday night for 2 weeks in Spain for work. Not a bad reason to miss some VT weekends, but still - bummed that I'm missing the snow! I was up there this last weekend, and the snow was very good, but this will be unbelievable. thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbob Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Still less than an inch here so far, .02" water equivalant from UNH's web weather station. Snow rate is picking up in intensity. NWS now says 4"-6" IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 PF, please pardon the IMBY question, but what are you thinking for the Mount Snow area? I have a whole skihouse full of people waiting to hear if this is going to be an epic weekend. I've already told them yes, but what are your thoughts about totals? I knew this was going to be another big weekend, because I'm leaving on Friday night for 2 weeks in Spain for work. Not a bad reason to miss some VT weekends, but still - bummed that I'm missing the snow! I was up there this last weekend, and the snow was very good, but this will be unbelievable. thanks in advance! Mount Snow would be my jackpot area... I'd venture 14-18". Not sure how well they did today, I think tomorrow they'll get a solid foot so add what they got to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snowing at a good clip out there now...left for a dentist appt with 1/4" or so on the ground and now back with 2" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak22 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Mount Snow would be my jackpot area... I'd venture 14-18". Not sure how well they did today, I think tomorrow they'll get a solid foot so add what they got to that. Sweet - thanks! Nice thing is it looks like it stays cold for a while afterwards, hopefully that will allow the snow pack to settle and help maintain the season for a good long time. Nice to finally see Southern VT getting some love out of these storms, so many things have missed south this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 +SN 12F 1,500ft 0.5"-1" NEW Visibility has come way down over the past hour here at the mountain. We are now at 1/4 mile or so as I can barely see the hotel across the street. Flake size has been ok, but during these heavier bursts we get some great snow growth. Just looking at the snow, I'd estimate ratios are decent at 14-16:1. Definitely not the 30:1 upslope stuff, but certainly higher than average for a synoptic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm thinking 4-7am in Stowe... meat of this falls between 7am-7pm with areas of light snow lingering all night after that. From what I have seen, there do not appear to be high winds during or after the storm. Is this correct? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drew13btv Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sorry for the OT question - but has anybody noticed issues with the NWS servers for the past 24+ hours? -SN in BTV, flakes were very fine at first but now nicer larger flakes. Accumulating on the roads quickly too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sorry for the OT question - but has anybody noticed issues with the NWS servers for the past 24+ hours? -SN in BTV, flakes were very fine at first but now nicer larger flakes. Accumulating on the roads quickly too. Yes, They are missing some data.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 need to frame this, forecast to jackpot in a big storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yep, NWS sites seem to be pretty slow--heavy load, I reckon. Still coming down steadily here. At work now, so in Hanover. Didn't measure but it looks like 1.5--2" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ripping pretty good here now, +SN (28 dbz's), Heaviest snowfall so far of the day 1.5" so far, I think we may make it to 3" or close to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Left the mountain at 1pm and as of that time there was exactly 1" of new snow at 1,500ft in the base area. Definitely more now given how its been coming down. Over 1" now here in town, too. Still a steady light snow here in Stowe at 800ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 We keep getting into this west-east band of snow that stretches from ART to BTV to MVL... been pretty consistent and with snow still back into southern Ontario, hopefully we can keep this light snow up for a while and sneak out 2-3" from this first event. I have a good feeling that we see the same thing happen tomorrow afternoon and night, as we are in the right spot for some west-east deformation banding as the warmer air aloft gets halted by the cold arctic airmass. I have a feeling areas further south may have higher snowfall rates tomorrow, but the dry slot will blast through like its currently doing, leaving a long west-east band of continued light snows. You guys in northern NH and into ME will also benefit from this as the H7 dry slot blasts through SNE and portions of CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 On the 12Z EURO, temps do not get above 12 in all of northern VT,NH and SW ME...with about .85" of qpf and ecent dendritic growth within the heavy banding, is it reasonable to expect ratios up to 20:1 and total amounts pushint 15-20"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Very light snow here this afternoon. Struggling to make it to a quarter inch and the radar is falling apart. Might not make it to 1" for the first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 2.5" here, And its winding down, We may make it to 3" or so, Just what i expected.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The appetizer has tappered off to just a few weenie grains here in Hanover now. Main(e) course, anyone? Edit: just looked out the window and it's comin' right down again pretty good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Where on weatherunderground do you get this radar?. The local radar for Burlington, that I pull up, lacks these details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18Z really cut QPF for NH tomorrow. This storm is really hauling. I received 2" today. Expecting 8-12" tomorrow I d not see any of the crazy amounts being thrown around for C/NNE. My guess this will be around a 12" snowstorm for most. Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hovering right around 2" for this first batch.... maybe a hair over. Too lazy to measure. Damn cold.... 11. Gotta get that wood stove stoked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18Z really cut QPF for NH tomorrow. This storm is really hauling. I received 2" today. Expecting 8-12" tomorrow I d not see any of the crazy amounts being thrown around for C/NNE. My guess this will be around a 12" snowstorm for most. Gene I agree. still hold out some hope for a total closer to 20 but realistically expecting lower double digits total at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks like about 1" new here in AUG, less to the north but a patch of 20-25 dbz headed over MBY soon. 0.75" of 12:1 would be just fine; 0.50" might be more likely for the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18z nam did in fact cut qpf down to 0.6-0.9" throughtout the region, however the srefs are still well over an inch of total qpf. the 15z eta also was over 1". still sticking to 0.85" qpf tomorrow with 15:1 ratios. Probably around a foot of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hovering right around 2" for this first batch.... maybe a hair over. Too lazy to measure. Damn cold.... 11. Gotta get that wood stove stoked up. Don't get worked up over the 18z NAM. People did it the other day too, and then 00z bounced back. The SREFs are still fairly juicy for part 2, but people need to keep in mind that we're probably not going to get 1" of liquid tomorrow with this anyway.The moral of the story is snow growth was overall lousy today. I was hoping for some serious fluff, but instead I recorded 3.0" new snow with 0.31" w.e. Yes...a hair under 10:1. So ~0.30" of our possible 1.25" QPF is now gone and we got 3" out of it. I think tomorrow will be a similar deal with 0.75-1.00" QPF. I think most of that will fall at 10-12:1 at best. My hope is that the last 0.10-0.20 we can squeeze out 20-25:1. Basically I'm looking for 6-9" from the main thump tomorrow and then hopefully a fluffy 2-3" on top of that. So 8-12" on top of what we have now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Guys...I split the last 12-24hrs of posts or so off from the other thread since this storm deserves its own topic. Lets keep storm related obs/disco in this thread. 15.0F with some -SG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18Z really cut QPF for NH tomorrow. This storm is really hauling. I received 2" today. Expecting 8-12" tomorrow I d not see any of the crazy amounts being thrown around for C/NNE. My guess this will be around a 12" snowstorm for most. Gene Snow will linger around in the northern tier as the dry slot shuts off precip in CNE/SNE... all the models pretty much agree on an axis of continued light snow (much like today's event if you look at radar now) across the northern tier. We are still snowing pretty decently with huge flakes and great ratios. Over 2" so far today and it looks like a band of light snow may continue across NNE into this evening. Here's the 18z GFS just to show you... pretty much all the models have this so I have high confidence in this happening. Tomorrow we'll see the dry slot punch into SNE and maybe CNE, but NNE will stay within the axis of moisture and could continue to pick up high ratio snow well into tomorrow night while it stops elsewhere. We got more than I was expecting today (expecting only 1") and given today's flake structure and size, I am feeling very good about tomorrow. This stuff is pure fluff and I'm sure high ratio snow as I bet we only picked up .1" of liquid. If this occurs tomorrow we are going to get slammed pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Don't get worked up over the 18z NAM. People did it the other day too, and then 00z bounced back. The SREFs are still fairly juicy for part 2, but people need to keep in mind that we're probably not going to get 1" of liquid tomorrow with this anyway. The moral of the story is snow growth was overall lousy today. I was hoping for some serious fluff, but instead I recorded 3.0" new snow with 0.31" w.e. Yes...a hair under 10:1. So ~0.30" of our possible 1.25" QPF is now gone and we got 3" out of it. I think tomorrow will be a similar deal with 0.75-1.00" QPF. I think most of that will fall at 10-12:1 at best. My hope is that the last 0.10-0.20 we can squeeze out 20-25:1. Basically I'm looking for 6-9" from the main thump tomorrow and then hopefully a fluffy 2-3" on top of that. So 8-12" on top of what we have now. Completely different up here... we are now over 2" here and its total fluff. I can't believe we picked up the same as those near Rutland-Plymouth but this is low ratio snow. Good sized flakes today and I doubt we got much over 0.1" of liquid in this 2.2" of snow. I'd be curious to see what J.Spin's ratios come out to as he usually has pretty good measurements. If we get this type of snow with the QPF forecast tomorrow, we are going to get crushed. 3" on the snow board at 3,000ft... 2.2" in the village at 800ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.