midatlanticweather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks like a little event possible for some in the Friday - Sat range then there looks like an Arctic Blast next week! Some were saying "Winter is Over".. what are folks thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The cold air could certainly return in a big way, but maybe not so much as the models show for the region. A below normal, but not as extreme cold as what's depicted looks to be the likely scenario at this point. Heck, it might even to be closer to near normal! Something to watch next week for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It also looks like the cold will be transient. No blocking to speak of will mean progressive pattern. Maybe 3 days of pretty cold weather followed by seasonal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks like a little event possible for some in the Friday - Sat range then there looks like an Arctic Blast next week! Some were saying "Winter is Over".. what are folks thinking? Larry Cosgrove was saying that teleconnections favor a warmer regime in the east for much of Feb - No blocking to speak of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Larry Cosgrove was saying that teleconnections favor a warmer regime in the east for much of Feb - No blocking to speak of Until 7 days down the road when the models show blocking returning and then the forecast will be cold in the east with a chance of a crippling east coast storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Until 7 days down the road when the models show blocking returning and then the forecast will be cold in the east with a chance of a crippling east coast storm. LOL - and then it will probably snow in FL and Bermuda and somehow still snow in Boston and miss us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 With our current storm raining itself out now and the weekend system looking mostly, if not entirely like rain, it looks like for the first time in a while, we have no legit winter threats on the horizon. It looks like the fairly sustained cold is easing now as SE ridging rears up along with the lack of blocking. This pause shows just how active this winter tracking season has been (I know that we have had our share of close misses, but it still has been active). Who knows...maybe winter is indeed done here. However, it is also possible for blocking to return later in Feb into March leading to some back end of winter snow for us. This thread should be for anyone (including you, Wes) who sees a favorable change to the pattern when or if it occurs. Until then......... MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 00Z Euro Ensemble shows a neutral to slightly -Nao showing up. Seems like the Euro and GFS are starting to go away from the idea of a strong +NAO that they have been showing for awhile and starting to trend to a more neutral looking NAO. Good sign maybe of some blocking returning? Edit: Just wanted to clarify that I was referring to the ensembles. GFS op has been keeping a strong +Nao signal and the Euro op is bouncing back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Doesn't look warm at all next week. There's going to be a major winter storm somewhere in the eastern 1/2 of the country early next week. It's not too different of a setup than this past event- perhaps a little further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The Climate Prediction Center is very bullish on wintry weather over the 6-14 day time frame. They are predicting below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for that time frame (Yes, 38 and rain is below normal). Their forecast confidence is 5 on a scale of 1 to 5. Next week's cold front passage / possible coastal may be only one of several chances for cold rain or snow during that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Todays 00Z Euro and GFS Ensembles are still showing a neutral to weak -NAO in the near future as well as the Euro Op. 00Z GFS Op is still showing a strong +Nao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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