Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,607
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Longer Range - Cold returns


midatlanticweather

Recommended Posts

The cold air could certainly return in a big way, but maybe not so much as the models show for the region. A below normal, but not as extreme cold as what's depicted looks to be the likely scenario at this point. Heck, it might even to be closer to near normal! Something to watch next week for sure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like a little event possible for some in the Friday - Sat range then there looks like an Arctic Blast next week! Some were saying "Winter is Over".. what are folks thinking?

Larry Cosgrove was saying that teleconnections favor a warmer regime in the east for much of Feb - No blocking to speak of

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Larry Cosgrove was saying that teleconnections favor a warmer regime in the east for much of Feb - No blocking to speak of

Until 7 days down the road when the models show blocking returning and then the forecast will be cold in the east with a chance of a crippling east coast storm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

With our current storm raining itself out now and the weekend system looking mostly, if not entirely like rain, it looks like for the first time in a while, we have no legit winter threats on the horizon. It looks like the fairly sustained cold is easing now as SE ridging rears up along with the lack of blocking. This pause shows just how active this winter tracking season has been (I know that we have had our share of close misses, but it still has been active). Who knows...maybe winter is indeed done here. However, it is also possible for blocking to return later in Feb into March leading to some back end of winter snow for us. This thread should be for anyone (including you, Wes) who sees a favorable change to the pattern when or if it occurs. Until then.........

MDstorm

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00Z Euro Ensemble shows a neutral to slightly -Nao showing up. Seems like the Euro and GFS are starting to go away from the idea of a strong +NAO that they have been showing for awhile and starting to trend to a more neutral looking NAO. Good sign maybe of some blocking returning?

Edit: Just wanted to clarify that I was referring to the ensembles. GFS op has been keeping a strong

+Nao signal and the Euro op is bouncing back and forth.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The Climate Prediction Center is very bullish on wintry weather over the 6-14 day time frame. They are predicting below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for that time frame (Yes, 38 and rain is below normal). Their forecast confidence is 5 on a scale of 1 to 5. Next week's cold front passage / possible coastal may be only one of several chances for cold rain or snow during that time period.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...