Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 i'm thirsty. You win cuz I had freezing drizzle yesterday afternoon..though that's not how you envisioned it happening. You said .25 of zr here...Regardless you win. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 First pings now are mixing in AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 You win cuz you I had freezing drizzle yesterday afternoon..though that's not how you envisioned it happening. You said .25 of zr here...Regardless you win. Congrats You will get ZR there probably in another couple hours. He clearly went warmer than you and its correct...admit defeat in fine form and look forward to possible snow Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Still mostly snow..but def some pingers off the windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 changed to sleet at ~5:20 here. 1.8" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Back edge in W NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You will get ZR there probably in another couple hours. He clearly went warmer than you and its correct...admit defeat in fine form and look forward to possible snow Saturday night. I did admit defeat, He won..I had zr yesterday. But I won't get .25 of ice. You never answered me..6-12 on Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It was a point of discussion between Ekster and I during many late night discussions during '07-'08 winter...as we eventually hashed out the SWFE climo. Its seemed to work pretty well since then....as we both absolutely nailed the 12/19/08 event the next winter. But obviously each event has its own circumstances...but it was amazing how much we discussed it and came up with these biases that are now thrown around as common knowledge and seem to work well. Not to make us sound great or anything...but I always thought those '07-'08 winter talks late at night between us created some good stuff. Yeah I remember reading those, when I first joined. It was good stuff. It was amazing how cold the NAM was, and how the GFS always came nw and was too far se. Euro was on fire back then. If you blend the biases, you can come up with a pretty good forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Just a reminder for those reporting snowfall totals... Please include your storm total...don't just report what you've received new from part two...this is all counting as one storm and in the PNS will be listed as one storm. It makes it much more easier for the person who writes the PNS to have the storm total, rather than just getting total from this round and having to scramble looking back at what occurred from round one and trying to add things up. I did that last storm when you said to and they had two PNS kept separate. New day new storm Still all snow, that mid level dry line which just wipes out the heavy has slowed, precip is reintensifying in NJ NE PA, the idea this is over in NE Mass by 9 might be quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You win cuz I had freezing drizzle yesterday afternoon..though that's not how you envisioned it happening. You said .25 of zr here...Regardless you win. Congrats I wl be honest with you b/c i'm a good fella. I did not include fzdz as part of the bet feeling that you would get it in any case (dry slot at the end for instance). Thats too cheap for me. I am talking about actual fzra. However in fairness to me, i said UP to .25" not exactly .25. So if you havent had actual fzra yet then you are still in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 I did admit defeat, He won..I had zr yesterday. But I won't get .25 of ice. You never answered me..6-12 on Saturday? Saturday looks ok for interior...but way too early to throw out any amounts...still might not snow...ice is potential too. As for today...never doubt the Ekster/Schwartz combo for SWFE climo...we worked hard nights for this stuff in '07-'08. Just remember the slogan...."the snow starts sooner but so does the sleet". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Back edge in W NE. Looks like I'll be shoveling the last of it late morning and going to work anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I did that last storm when you said to and they had two PNS kept separate. New day new storm Still all snow, that mid level dry line which just wipes out the heavy has slowed, precip is reintensifying in NJ NE PA, the idea this is over in NE Mass by 9 might be quick. We'll see, but that convective, showery crap just doesn't add up....I'll prob see precip all day, but I only care about accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 heavy snow here shouldnt last much longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I wl be honest with you b/c i'm a good fella. I did not include fzdz as part of the bet feeling that you would get it in any case (dry slot at the end for instance). Thats too cheap for me. I am talking about actual fzra. However in fairness to me, i said UP to .25" not exactly .25. So if you havent had actual fzra yet then you are still in it. Well in my mind I lost because there was some freezing drizzle. And probably will be some this afternoon. So I lose and you win. I'm happy that the snow overperformed in round 2 So 6 beers for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I did that last storm when you said to and they had two PNS kept separate. New day new storm Still all snow, that mid level dry line which just wipes out the heavy has slowed, precip is reintensifying in NJ NE PA, the idea this is over in NE Mass by 9 might be quick. They are counting it as one storm...for this event there will be just one PNS including the totals for both parts. ..Please note for all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators that this storm and its 'two rounds' of precipitation are being classified as 1 storm event so please add totals from day-1 and day-2 together for reporting purposes. Thanks for your efforts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well nice to see the 2' amounts off the wx maps in sne..lol. It's pretty classic how quickly everything moves in and out when the mid level lows are nw of you. I think we hit that point pretty hard. This stuff will be a quick hitter and hard to get prolific amounts, asp when H7 is nw of you. Always a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well nice to see the 2' amounts off the wx maps in sne..lol. It's pretty classic how quickly everything moves in and out when the mid level lows are nw of you. I think we hit that point pretty hard. This stuff will be a quick hitter and hard to get prolific amounts, asp when H7 is nw of you. Always a given. They're still too high......I'm not sure how those fine folks employed by BOX can't discern that. They have forgotten more met than I'll ever know and it's obvious to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well nice to see the 2' amounts off the wx maps in sne..lol. It's pretty classic how quickly everything moves in and out when the mid level lows are nw of you. I think we hit that point pretty hard. This stuff will be a quick hitter and hard to get prolific amounts, asp when H7 is nw of you. Always a given. A little too "snowfall-happy" I think with regards to the recent coastals since those all over performed. This was not like those storms. Those had great mid-level tracks to prolong the heavy precip and put us in the best banding. This one did not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Hey Ek, did you happen to salivate over the ORD/MDW obs last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 SN+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 6am obs: 1.1" for second storm 4.2" two-day total Snow growth is pretty bad ... lots of junk flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 ripping snow this is like 2 inch an hour kind of stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I'd be shocked to end up with more than 4" of snow from this round....it's a complete flop and the snowgrowth is terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 90% sleet now. Will and Ray you guys are about to get rocked. Congrats from me and MPM to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Huge dendrites have passed, 80/20 snow/ip. Happens everytime when sleet mixes in, big gust of wind mixes down. Met explanantion? then the wind passes. 1.5 new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I'd be shocked to end up with more than 4" of snow from this round....it's a complete flop and the snowgrowth is terrible. Not everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Saturday looks ok for interior...but way too early to throw out any amounts...still might not snow...ice is potential too. As for today...never doubt the Ekster/Schwartz combo for SWFE climo...we worked hard nights for this stuff in '07-'08. Just remember the slogan...."the snow starts sooner but so does the sleet". "the snow starts sooner, but so does the sleet, unless you have 40 microbars in the sgz". Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 "the snow starts sooner, but so does the sleet, unless you have 40 microbars in the sgz". Lol When are you gonna be around for one of the GTG;s or something for the brews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Not everywhere. I'm obviously referring to mby....I care about your's about as much as you do mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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