weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 too much.. 1/3" to 2/3" Pretty close to my thoughts as well...I went with 0.40'' to 0.60'' with isolated 0.70'' amounts in SW CT and for this area 0.20'' to 0.40'' with as much as 0.50'' possible. Going to be real ugly here tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 thicknesses have nothing to do with it.. you can get certain types of precip at or above the so called critical thickness values.. it all comes down to precip rate and physical processes that cause the temperature to drop or rise and the temperature throughout the entire column. if you look at the sounding there are plenty of layers around freezing.. all you need is one shallow layer just above freezing and boom no snow I get what you're saying and knew that just wasn't thinking. like i said last night..mid levels always warm quicker than we think.. so whatever time you think.. 2 to 3 hours before that is when you mix.. round 1 is (was) your snowstorm.. round 2 never had a chance to be much for most in SNE.. most in this thread will see sleet and freezing rain... i think an ice storm warning should be issued for all of inland ct I'd agree, going to be warmer faster....RUC probably has the more right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 and fitchburg mass at least 50% sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Just got back up...we have a steadier snow outside after some light junk earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Classic Cantore thundersnow moment in Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Freezing mist here, actually coming down pretty good. Everything is coated. Temp holding steady around 21.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 nashua nh mixes about 1/2 way into it.. that seems to be the border line.. so id go even farther north into that to central new hampshire north where its all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Just got back up...we have a steadier snow outside after some light junk earlier. I just want the event to start so we can't stop reading about how the RUC gets sleet to organizing low, every 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 nashua nh mixes about 1/2 way into it.. that seems to be the border line.. so id go even farther north into that to central new hampshire north where its all snow I don't go above freezing anywhere until after 15z on the NAM soundings, so I'm not so sure about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Our local fox station.... Fox 44.... just went with 1 to 2 feet along the spine of the greens. 10-18 widespread elsewhere in VT and NH Good forecast... i think someone outside of the spine sees close to two feet though due to a heavy band somewhere in the jackpot region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Classic Cantore thundersnow moment in Chicago omg ORDMETAR KORD 020351Z 05031G45KT 1/4SM R14R/1000V1600FT +TSSN BLSN BKN001 OVC009 M07/M07 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 05053/0301 TSB48 SLP077 SNINCR 1/9 P0012 T10671072 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I just want the event to start so we can't stop reading about how the RUC gets sleet to organizing low, every 45 minutes. Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 The MM5 might be running out of Wilfork's basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 I just want the event to start so we can't stop reading about how the RUC gets sleet to organizing low, every 45 minutes. Lol...yeah it will be a battle. I think the precip is going to get in quickly which will help out with the snow. I'm surprised I've gone over to largish flakes with not much on radar...probably some good seeder feeder going on right now. I think I'll rip for several hours at least through about 8am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lol...yeah it will be a battle. I think the precip is going to get in quickly which will help out with the snow. I'm surprised I've gone over to largish flakes with not much on radar...probably some good seeder feeder going on right now. I think I'll rip for several hours at least through about 8am Don't drink too much... First few hours the biggest chunk of precip? Some of the tv mets have it winding down/out by 2PM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 zr here already yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Don't drink too much... First few hours the biggest chunk of precip? Some of the tv mets have it winding down/out by 2PM... Yeah I think we are dry slotted by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 omg ORD METAR KORD 020351Z 05031G45KT 1/4SM R14R/1000V1600FT +TSSN BLSN BKN001 OVC009 M07/M07 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 05053/0301 TSB48 SLP077 SNINCR 1/9 P0012 T10671072 $ Midway: KMDW 020251Z COR 05031G50KT 1/16SM R31C/1200V2200FT +TSSN BLSN FZFG OVC001CB M06/M08 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 05050/0249 SLP065 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV N SNINCR 2/10 6//// T10611083 58072 PNO $ Very impressive obs in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 MM5 brings the 0c line at 850 just N of the Pike by 18z tomorrow. Yeah, let's go with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Lol...yeah it will be a battle. I think the precip is going to get in quickly which will help out with the snow. I'm surprised I've gone over to largish flakes with not much on radar...probably some good seeder feeder going on right now. I think I'll rip for several hours at least through about 8am I'm good until about 10am.....maybe end up about 3-4" behind those who stay all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 More than 200 schools in VT have already cancelled for tomorrow. Don't see that very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 MM5 brings the 0c line at 850 just N of the Pike by 18z tomorrow. Yeah, let's go with that. I'm going with the EURO....fits my thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 nashua nh mixes about 1/2 way into it.. that seems to be the border line.. so id go even farther north into that to central new hampshire north where its all snow TV Mets downplaying...average for Boston is maybe 3-6" I just want the event to start so we can't stop reading about how the RUC gets sleet to organizing low, every 45 minutes. If JGNYK03 is right it's about t-minus 9 hours for a classic meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think people will be surprised about tomorrow night's (light) snow behind the storm... some TV mets saying this is a one & done thing - outta here by mid-afternoon the latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I don't go above freezing anywhere until after 15z on the NAM soundings, so I'm not so sure about that. and 15z is half way through so now you're sure about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 More than 200 schools in VT have already cancelled for tomorrow. Don't see that very often. LSC even closed. I can't believe it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Good night, all! I will dream colder mid-levels and banish the sleet and ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 LSC even closed. I can't believe it! As long as you can go from stonehenge to the dining hall, you're all set.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 and 15z is half way through so now you're sure about it It ends by 18z, so 15z is maybe 2/3 of the way through. And I'm probably still just cold enough at 16z too lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 More than 200 schools in VT have already cancelled for tomorrow. Don't see that very often. Same here school was cancelled already tonight for tomorow, Don't remember the last time that happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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