Chrisrotary12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Radar looks awesome. This thing is just charging across pennsylvania.... going to come in like a wall. Seems a bit faster than modeled. not kidding round 2 is gunna be here in a matter of hours. wish it wasn't traveling so fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Boston Met's on the 10 o'clock news are all downgrading big time for snow amounts all the way up into Southern NH. Going over to straight rain in Beantown..... Not terribly surprised. I'd maybe have waited for the GFS before pulling the chute but if the GFS goes warm too... The new RUC has ticked 1/2 pube colder than the old RUC. For messneger . EDIT: actually maybe more like one full pube. When? At 9h on the 2z it's warmer near Boston at 1000-700 than the 0z? Thing is the 2z RUC forecast for 12z IS the 0z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks like its moving really fast towards us,Im starting to think if it gets in here fast and out of here fast it wont have time for the temps to get above freezing at the coast before the bulk of the precip is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Not terribly surprised. I'd maybe have waited for the GFS before pulling the chute but if the GFS goes warm too... When? At 9h on the 2z it's warmer near Boston at 1000-700 than the 0z? It's colder up this way at 16-17z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks like its moving really fast towards us,Im starting to think if it gets in here fast and out of here fast it wont have time for the temps to get above freezing at the coast before the bulk of the precip is over. I don't think it works that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think the GYX snow map will end up busting low in certain areas. Radar is juicy, storm is a beaut. Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think the GYX snow map will end up busting low in certain areas. Radar is juicy, storm is a beaut. FIYYYAAHHH!!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 John, what do you think.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 just set my alarm for 245 going to look at the gfs then bed man that precip is ripping towards us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 just set my alarm for 245 going to look at the gfs then bed man that precip is ripping towards us I want to wake up that early like I want a hole in my head. I think I'll go to bed after the GFS and then wake up at 6-7 for the S+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I think the GYX snow map will end up busting low in certain areas. Radar is juicy, storm is a beaut. Boom. It looks pretty good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 This shield of precip will be in and out in like 6 hours unless it fills in or slows down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 just think all of that could be heavt zr for someone!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Moderate sleet in Willimantic per a friend on FB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It's colder up this way at 16-17z. You need a chill pill you're going to be plenty cold for most of it I think...and if by chance you aren't cold enough you'll be one of the many unhappy campers. CF is going to honk in the late night/morning. RUC torches logan to 35+ just after the commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 every thursday im out till 2am and im up at 530 for work the next day so thats nothing I want to wake up that early like I want a hole in my head. I think I'll go to bed after the GFS and then wake up at 6-7 for the S+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 You need a chill pill you're going to be plenty cold for most of it I think...and if by chance you aren't cold enough you'll be one of the many unhappy campers. CF is going to honk in the late night/morning. RUC torches logan to 35+ just after the commute. Oh I agree completely. I was just pointing it out. Also interesting how it just shuts off completely after about 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Cranking out in Chicago land. Ton's of dynamics. 2011/02/02 02:51 KMDW 020251Z 05031G50KT 1/16SM R31C/1200V2200FT +SN BLSN FZFG OVC001CB M06/M08 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 05050/0249 SLP065 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV N SNINCR 2/10 6//// T10611083 58072 PN 2011/02/02 02:51 KORD 020251Z 04024G39KT 1/4SM R14R/1600V2000FT +SN BLSN BKN001 OVC009 M07/M07 A2972 RMK AO2 PK WND 05047/0238 SLP074 SNINCR 1/8 P0005 60009 T10671072 56041 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Moderate sleet in Willimantic per a friend on FB Which is curious as even 1000-700mb thicknesses on the NAM should have been plenty cold for snow by 10pm in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 It looks pretty good to me. I think they have the jackpot too far south imo... we have seen some guidance bringing sleet to even the nh border at times... if that happens the jackpot will be more centered across the NH lakes region and west into VT and east into ME. Idk, and I think someone sees more than 16" in favorable areas but thats just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 freezing drizzle ftw here Which is curious as even 1000-700mb thicknesses on the NAM should have been plenty cold for snow by 10pm in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 fraid so. not so much raining as 'spitting'. Well, Im not sure What is coming out of the clouds now.. its not liquid anymore..I guess Id call it tiny sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Cranking out in Chicago land. Ton's of dynamics. 2011/02/02 02:51 KMDW 020251Z 05031G50KT 1/16SM R31C/1200V2200FT +SN BLSN FZFG OVC001CB M06/M08 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 05050/0249 SLP065 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV N SNINCR 2/10 6//// T10611083 58072 PN 2011/02/02 02:51 KORD 020251Z 04024G39KT 1/4SM R14R/1600V2000FT +SN BLSN BKN001 OVC009 M07/M07 A2972 RMK AO2 PK WND 05047/0238 SLP074 SNINCR 1/8 P0005 60009 T10671072 56041 I have a Marine buddy who lives in Chicago now...about twenty minutes ago he was getting thunder snow! livin it up out there with this storm! mean while, i'm not looking forward to the rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 I want to wake up that early like I want a hole in my head. I think I'll go to bed after the GFS and then wake up at 6-7 for the S+. Nothing better than waking up to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Well, Im not sure What is coming out of the clouds now.. its not liquid anymore..I guess Id call it tiny sleet! Maybe snowgrains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Which is curious as even 1000-700mb thicknesses on the NAM should have been plenty cold for snow by 10pm in that area. 3z NAM forecast sounding for IJD. Not great. Date: 3 hour Eta valid 3Z WED 2 FEB 11 Station: KIJD Latitude: 41.73 Longitude: -72.18 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1008 140 -7.5 -9.4 87 1.8 -8.1 16 10 265.0 265.3 264.6 270.0 1.86 1 1000 203 -8.2 18 13 265.0 2 950 601 -5.7 -7.0 91 1.3 -6.1 62 28 271.4 271.8 269.8 277.9 2.37 3 900 1028 -2.0 -2.0 100 0.0 -2.0 250 2 279.4 280.0 276.5 289.6 3.66 4 850 1483 1.0 -0.6 89 1.6 0.3 250 20 287.2 287.9 281.1 299.4 4.30 5 800 1971 0.5 -1.2 88 1.7 -0.3 246 26 291.7 292.5 283.2 304.5 4.38 6 750 2487 -2.2 -4.6 83 2.4 -3.2 246 32 294.2 294.8 283.4 304.9 3.62 7 700 3032 -5.2 -7.2 85 2.1 -6.0 240 38 296.8 297.3 283.9 306.3 3.17 8 650 3610 -8.7 -10.5 86 1.9 -9.4 236 43 299.1 299.6 284.2 307.2 2.63 9 600 4226 -11.8 -20.4 49 8.6 -14.1 238 44 302.4 302.7 284.0 306.5 1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Which is curious as even 1000-700mb thicknesses on the NAM should have been plenty cold for snow by 10pm in that area. Perhaps there is just some incredibly sneaky warm layer there... Or the mid levels haven't really cooled enough for it to be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Pretty impressive all around out there. Alot of strong winds. http://forecast.weather.gov/obslocal.php?warnzone=ILZ014&local_place=Chicago+IL&zoneid=CST&offset=21600 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 Cranking out in Chicago land. Ton's of dynamics. 2011/02/02 02:51 KMDW 020251Z 05031G50KT 1/16SM R31C/1200V2200FT +SN BLSN FZFG OVC001CB M06/M08 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 05050/0249 SLP065 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV N SNINCR 2/10 6//// T10611083 58072 PN 2011/02/02 02:51 KORD 020251Z 04024G39KT 1/4SM R14R/1600V2000FT +SN BLSN BKN001 OVC009 M07/M07 A2972 RMK AO2 PK WND 05047/0238 SLP074 SNINCR 1/8 P0005 60009 T10671072 56041 Rob Marciano from CNN was doing a live shot from Lakeshore Drive a few minutes back, and i swear, he had a pure Cantori moment... The brightest flash of lightening overhead Ive ever seen on tv, followed shortly by the obligatory clap of thunder.. It was truely spectacular! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 2, 2011 Share Posted February 2, 2011 GFS through 6 is colder than NAM and RUC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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