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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part VI


ORH_wxman

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Well, here's a buzz-kill. BOX just updated their warning at 8:00pm. and reduced add'l accumulations.

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST

THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...MIXING WITH SLEET AND SOME

FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING...AREAS OF VERY LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING

WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. STEADY SNOW WILL REDEVELOP

BETWEEN 1 AND 5 AM FROM WEST TO EAST. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT

TIMES DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF

THE MORNING HOURS. SNOW WILL THEN CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING

RAIN BY AFTERNOON. ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO

LIGHT SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE ENDING.

ALB hasn't budged.

AS OF 657 PM EST...LATEST KENX RADAR IS SHOWING SOME LINGERING

SNOW SHOWERS STILL ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF THESE HAVE BEEN IN A

SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED BAND ACROSS THE CAPITAL REGION

TOWARDS SRN VT. WHILE LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL

OCCUR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THERE MAY BE SOME ON AND OFF SNOW

SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS TO KEEP THE THREAT

OF PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE FORECAST FROM THE CAPITAL REGION

SOUTHWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IR SATELLITE SHOWS THE NEXT

ROUND OF SNOW APPROACHING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND UPPER OHIO

RIVER VALLEY...AND THIS WILL BE RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE AREA FOR

AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT THIS POINT...NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE

FORECAST...AND THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION IS BELOW...

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ALB hasn't budged.

AS OF 657 PM EST...LATEST KENX RADAR IS SHOWING SOME LINGERING

SNOW SHOWERS STILL ACROSS THE AREA. MOST OF THESE HAVE BEEN IN A

SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED BAND ACROSS THE CAPITAL REGION

TOWARDS SRN VT. WHILE LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL

OCCUR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THERE MAY BE SOME ON AND OFF SNOW

SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS TO KEEP THE THREAT

OF PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE FORECAST FROM THE CAPITAL REGION

SOUTHWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IR SATELLITE SHOWS THE NEXT

ROUND OF SNOW APPROACHING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND UPPER OHIO

RIVER VALLEY...AND THIS WILL BE RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE AREA FOR

AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT THIS POINT...NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE

FORECAST...AND THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION IS BELOW...

I always like ALY.

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NAM keeps me conservative.

Yes. Do you agree it's warming rapidly in the mid layers...and it almost times out now ahead of the heavier precip on this model. By 15z if this storm follows every single one this winter with temp issues it'll be pinging up well north of Boston towards the NH border. Most have only had .3ish or QPF prior to 15z.

No changes in either direction I would say in earlier thinking. Harvey will probably be right as usual. 4-6/8

I think Harv will chop at 11....if the GFS/RGEM also come in warmer.....I'm thinking lobster.

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GYX is staying aggressive up here, going for 12-18 in the zones.

They're talking 2-event total. Note this disclaimer from GYX:

EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE TREATED TODAY/S SNOWFALL EVENT AND WEDNESDAY/S

AS SEPARATE EVENTS FROM AN ADVISORY/WARNING STANDPOINT...OUR SNOW

TOTAL GRAPHIC ON OUR WEB PAGE REFLECTS THE COMBINED TOTAL FOR BOTH

DAYS TO BE CONSISTENT WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES.

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