dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Picture of downtown street conditions 15 minutes ago: And a spectacular snowpile in Park Sq. Is that the Park Plaza Hotel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 nice light warmup snow falling here as we are getting clipped by your snow system today.....7F congrats on the snow im sure many of you guys will find a way to pound snow tomorrow as well, SWFE FTW! reasonably speaking looking for 5-10 inches here, temps in the single digits with winchills near -30 should be a fun day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 nam just stalls the 0C 850 line at the pike. sleet force field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaCaChAu Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The Conus radar just looks ominous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 nam just stalls the 0C 850 line at the pike. sleet force field. Ahhhh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 nam just stalls the 0C 850 line at the pike. sleet force field. Yeah what an epic battle. Just runs into the Vince Wilfork of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 SREFs look a little less juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ahhhh. it's not a perfect demarcation by any means but nice for folks north of 90 to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 SREFs look a little less juicy. I'm guessing because about some of QPF for the period has already fallen? Looked fine to me when I glanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 it's not a perfect demarcation by any means but nice for folks north of 90 to see that. Yes, that was a sigh of relief. Let the ripping commence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 SREFs look a little less juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 what did SREFs have for ice potential in CT? thats where my focus is shifting right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah what an epic battle. Just runs into the Vince Wilfork of cold. We're going to pick up another 6-10 with some sleet to lock this baby in place till June....lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 At 21 hours the 1000-700 is just a hair warmer along the Pike. Quick flip for everyone south of there between about 6am and 9am. At 24 it's up into SE NH or very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah what an epic battle. Just runs into the Vince Wilfork of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM ticked just a hair cooler at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah what an epic battle. Just runs into the Vince Wilfork of cold. LOL. it's going to be so interesting to watch that play out. that area around the pike is just such a tough forecast. by 21z it's done...just low level garbage left. it's crazy - one of these things where an hour or two is going to be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 first part final - 10.25" in Chicopee, MA. Well overperformed. did u clear a board? or is that depth at the end of event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The 18z NAM still seems pretty close here at HFD between IP/ZR...if that layers gets like 1-2C warmer than it would make things very interesting. Figuring out how far northward the extent of this threat gets probably won't be figured out until the AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 At 21 hours the 1000-700 is just a hair warmer along the Pike. Quick flip for everyone south of there between about 6am and 9am. At 24 it's up into SE NH or very close. I think the Dynamicss are going to help with that. The 850's look good, not sure about the 700's but again with the low going underneath us fron the southern Jersey coastline, I think we can stay mostly snow here in Boston to Worcester to Springfield. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I've got to ask as I'm curious.... All year long the 1000/700 CT has been the dividing line between sleet and snow...or I should say snow and non-snow. In most cases the non-snow line ends up even further north than model runs inside of 24 hours. With the NAM driving that line up to Boston at H21 when only a few tenths has fallen....then jams it north after that.... What's the thinking that this is going to be able to produce 6+ of snow in Boston? Dynamic cooling? When we had epic dynamics a week ago we couldn't fight off the change. Are you all expecting colder surface temps play a role too? Just curious. To me per the NAM anyway it's a few inches of snow before a change in eastern MA from around Boston south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 At 21 hours the 1000-700 is just a hair warmer along the Pike. Quick flip for everyone south of there between about 6am and 9am. At 24 it's up into SE NH or very close. It is colder vs 12z. Have seen through hour 36. It may ping along the Pike by Noon but probably not before and could be an hour or 3 after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 At 21 hours the 1000-700 is just a hair warmer along the Pike. Quick flip for everyone south of there between about 6am and 9am. At 24 it's up into SE NH or very close. Who could turn to straight rain tomorrow? South of a Providence to Brockton line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The 18z NAM still seems pretty close here at HFD between IP/ZR...if that layers gets like 1-2C warmer than it would make things very interesting. Figuring out how far northward the extent of this threat gets probably won't be figured out until the AM. borderline yeah...looks like ZR to me. that's a pretty thick/warm layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 I've got to ask as I'm curious.... All year long the 1000/700 CT has been the dividing line between sleet and snow...or I should say snow and non-snow. In most cases the non-snow line ends up even further north than model runs inside of 24 hours. With the NAM driving that line up to Boston at H21 when only a few tenths has fallen....then jams it north after that.... What's the thinking that this is going to be able to produce 6+ of snow in Boston? Dynamic cooling? When we had epic dynamics a week ago we couldn't fight off the change. Are you all expecting colder surface temps play a role too? Just curious. To me per the NAM anyway it's a few inches of snow before a change in eastern MA from around Boston south. If BOS is still snowing at 15z tomorrow...then they are getting 6"+ IMHO. Its a difference of like less than 10 miles...so its impossible to make a prediction that accurately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18z nam cut qpf back quite a bit from 12z and its further east up here, But its the 18z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 We're going to pick up another 6-10 with some sleet to lock this baby in place till June....lol.. Sure hope so! At this point, looks like a nail-biter, have seen these SWFE's bust colder several times 1993-94, but have also seen these bust warmer... not sure which way things will break tomorrow. Recognize? Downtown and suburbs may have lighter traffic, but Longwood is inevitably a mess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I've got to ask as I'm curious.... All year long the 1000/700 CT has been the dividing line between sleet and snow...or I should say snow and non-snow. In most cases the non-snow line ends up even further north than model runs inside of 24 hours. With the NAM driving that line up to Boston at H21 when only a few tenths has fallen....then jams it north after that.... What's the thinking that this is going to be able to produce 6+ of snow in Boston? Dynamic cooling? When we had epic dynamics a week ago we couldn't fight off the change. Are you all expecting colder surface temps play a role too? Just curious. To me per the NAM anyway it's a few inches of snow before a change in eastern MA from around Boston south. What is the thickness now? We know what ground truth has been today and snow/sleet made it to within 30 miles of Boston. Got to respect climo...it snows, rains, but rarely sleets for long periods here. It could cut off and dry but my guess is we're in for another big time thump. 1993-94...wonder what those thicknesses were....same prog..equal failure. While models have verified warm at your place, they have tended to verify colder here for most of the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18z nam cut qpf back quite a bit from 12z and its further east up here, But its the 18z Nam. Looks like about another inch or so, give or take down here. I wouldn't worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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