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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part VI


ORH_wxman

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:14 AM, NW CONNECTICUT said:

it's also confusing that it would have to freezing rain at a MINIMUM of 15 hours to reach .5" of ice? wtf? Big downplay of the potential disaster that might occur somewhere IMO

ya i agree they did the same with last storm.. snowfall rates up to 1"/ hr with there graphic.. and most saw 3-5" per hour

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:22 AM, JGNYK03 said:

a lot of people in the nyc thread are reporting light freezing rain sticking to everything with temps 24-28 degrees.. CT is in big trouble where its zr and not sleet.. temp is only 17 here

I wonder where it's gonna be more ZR than sleet. Do the mid levels look warm enough/deep enough for it to be a pretty extensive area?

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:19 AM, weathafella said:

What's the first thing a snow weenie wants after being stuffed with snow? More snow. Too much is never enough. Bring it!

Jerry I only hope to have the enthusiasm that you display, down the road in life. I'm sure I will...but that's so great how you get pumped for snow, even now.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:11 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Snow pack here is up to 35"...don't think it will make 40"...even if we get 6" of snow/sleet from this next round as compaction accelerates more and more, especially over 25-30". We'd probably need like 10"...especially since today's snow was pretty light and easily compactable.

Definitely highest snow pack since March 2001 here though. If we can over perform later this morning and then get a nice hit on Sat night here, then we might pass Mar '01.

You're 4.5" ahead because of that pounding rain I got a couple of weeks ago, which comacted it....trade off is that I have a more sold base, though.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:24 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're 4.5" ahead because of that pounding rain I got a couple of weeks ago, which comacted it....trade off is that I have a more sold base, though.

Yeah probably, though the base here is pretty glacial, lol. During that rain you got, it was freezing rain here so that is in the snow pack as ice.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:26 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah probably, though the base here is pretty glacial, lol. During that rain you got, it was freezing rain here so that is in the snow pack as ice.

I beat you by a hair last week and today, which only acted to offset me being above freezing this week and you not.....tough to compete with elevation.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:36 AM, ORH_wxman said:

BTW not sure anyone else caught this...BOX updated their snow totals on their climo site through this year

http://www.erh.noaa....gesTotals.shtml

Still some incomplete data in there for all stations, but at least there's something to look at past 2002.

That's great. Thanks for passing that along. I didn't know if that would ever get completed.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:37 AM, sbos_wx said:

Ruc has seemed to have a nw bias this winter, mm5 has had a cold bias, nmm and arw have handled some precip events well while othertimes it hasnt.

thanks! i was aware of this winter's trends, but someone (? messenger) implied the MM5 typically handles SWFE's poorly (vs. coastals where it does better with heights).

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:37 AM, CoastalWx said:

That's great. Thanks for passing that along. I didn't know if that would ever get completed.

Yeah, like I said, still some errors...but at least its there. For BOS, I caught the Dec 2007 error we mentioned back during that season...they had 27.7" and not 26.9" that month...for a 52.0" seasonal total...and the '02-'03 total was actually 71.3" and not 67.7", but regardless, nice to see at least updated and maybe they can work out the kinks later.

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  On 2/2/2011 at 5:40 AM, wxsniss said:

thanks! i was aware of this winter's trends, but someone (? messenger) implied the MM5 typically handles SWFE's poorly (vs. coastals where it does better with heights).

The NAM has nailed trends also.. euro has caved alot to the other models.. and been late to catch trends which is kind of surprising.

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