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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part VI


ORH_wxman

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Continue the discussion as we slowly wind down the first round.

RH looks good through most of the night in the mid-levels so we could see some light snow at times continue and freezing drizzle for areas that warm a bit in the MLs.

2nd phase of overrunning should get going around or just before 09z in the W areas.

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Just took a splendid walk: South End to Chinatown (stop at Dr. @ NEMC for a Z-pak for a burgeoning ear infection... it's not a good storm if I'm not sick). Walked along Common and Public Garden back to Arlington St. Started to thump nicely again after I left the Dr. Looks like a nice final push before the snow winds down. Plows are pretty absent. Roads are quite snowcovered but traffic in the city isn't bad.

Wished like hell I didn't have to be in my office. Would have killed to just stroll across the Common with my camera.

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Beautiful dendrites and great snow growth here today... nothing impressive in terms of snowfall (1.25" so far) but with light snow stretching back into southern Ontario, we should be able to slowly pile up towards 2-3" in this band from ART-BTV-MVL.

The great snow growth today has me looking forward to tomorrow because the thermal profiles look similar, maybe a hair warmer... but if we can have this type of snow ratios (probably 16-18:1), we will do quite well tomorrow.

Tomorrow it looks like the H7 dry slot shuts it off in eastern NY, SNE, and maybe even CNE after the thump, but we should see another west-east band of snow continue into tomorrow night, likely in a similar location from ART-BTV-MVL-HIE

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Its gonna be a disaster. Probably like a 2-3 hour commute minimum I'd guess.

Fudge iT! I'm at the office in Westborough and have to roll up 495N ... 1hr 20 minutes coming down this morning... Normally a 28 minute commute. I left about 7:30 and there were just a couple of tiny flakes in the air, visibility plenty... But I swear, not 2 miles down the road and the visibility plunged to 1/4 mile... The expression "came in like a wall" bares mightily.

We actually started this thing off with about a 2"/ 1 hour burst, then were .75" to 1" per/hr until it finally just went to light snow moments ago here. Estimating about 6" total. The particles were either very small hexo plates and stars, or smaller sized aggregates of those the whole time. Never hinted at IP even once.

Roads are passable but aweful. Not much plowing took place at all, though I think they are getting out there now. If even 1.5 hours of plowing and salt lays down will make a huge different between 5 and 7pm. As for tomorrow, if you can work from home I suggest you do it! Even where the heavy morning S goes to IP/ZR, that is going to be a calamity for a while. Not worth the risk. If this was 30 years agao ...that's a different story, but it would be an utter Darwin award if you had the technology at hand, didn't use it, and wound up injured for venturing out in it.

I had 24" pack when it commensed this morning... estimating 31 or 32 when I get home, prior to tomorrows 12-15?? heh, wow -

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All indications are that I am getting mashed tomorrow in Ayer - holy smokes!

yeah north-central/eastern Mass looks to get destroyed... gotta love the qpf output on the 12z NAM... Massachusetts is wiped off the map

your thoughts on 12z suite? euro underestimating the warm air intrusion, or behind the american models?

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The warm surge will be centered around 800mb, so the sleet line probably progresses a little further north than the pike

Yeah, I have crudely about 20 miles N of the 0c line at 850 as where the sleet line is. The SREF should be all snow here.

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