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Central PA Start of February


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when is the wind to pick up around here? We still have serious ice on all the trees,limbs and wires. I'm concerned if the wind gets here before it melts, we'll have more problems then what we do already

Yeah, I think this is actually going to become dangerous with ice flying around not to mention many trees / huge limbs will be coming down with gusts to 40mph.

It's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when. I hope the emergency crews are ready because while the roads are getting better it's not melting off trees much at all. I foresee major problems into the evening / overnight.

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Yeah, I think this is actually going to become dangerous with ice flying around not to mention many trees / huge limbs will be coming down with gusts to 40mph.

It's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when. I hope the emergency crews are ready because while the roads are getting better it's not melting off trees much at all. I foresee major problems into the evening / overnight.

i agree

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Power still out at my office. One of my coworkers actually witnessed the transformer explosion early this morning. I've been called in to work at 1pm to keep an eye on the generators that are keeping our essential equipment functioning. Good timing. I'm getting incredibly bored in the house and the ice glaze has melted off my windshield.

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Still not above freezing here in the Chicken Capital. Sitting at 32F. What looks like a prolong period of mainly sleet may have saved MBY from a major ice storm. Storm totals are between 1/2 and 3/4 inch sleet and ice combo. How much of each is a toss up. On the trees and power lines where the sleet can't really accumulate, there is a little more than a quarter inch of ice which is causing some them to sag but thankfully the wind has all but died since 6am. Back roads are terrible. Main roads are slushy. Will hopefully get pics up later.

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snow totals west of us

...MORNING SNOWFALL ROUNDUP...

THE FOLLOWING ARE SNOW AMOUNTS FOR THE PREVIOUS 24-HOURS.

OBSERVATIONS ARE USUALLY TAKEN AT 7 AM.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR WEDNESDAY(02/02/11)...

WOODSTOCK 5NW (MCHENRY)......................21.1

SPRING GROVE 2N (MCHENRY)....................20.8

OHARE (COOK).................................20.2

ANTIOCH (LAKE)...............................20.0

MIDWAY 3SW (COOK)............................19.9

OAK BROOK (DU PAGE)..........................17.7

LAKE ZURICH (LAKE)...........................17.5

MUNDELEIN (LAKE).............................17.5

GENOA (DE KALB)..............................17.1

BARRINGTON (LAKE)............................17.0

ELBURN (KANE)................................17.0

JOLIET (WILL)................................17.0

WAUCONDA (LAKE)..............................17.0

STREAMWOOD (COOK)............................16.5

ROMEOVILLE (WILL)............................16.4

CHATSWORTH (LIVINGSTON)......................16.0

DWIGHT (LIVINGSTON)..........................16.0

DE KALB (DE KALB)............................15.7

PIPER CITY (FORD)............................15.0

PEOTONE (WILL)...............................15.0

WINFIELD (DU PAGE)...........................15.0

ROCKFORD (WINNEBAGO).........................13.9

MARSEILLES (LA SALLE)........................13.5

ROCHELLE (OGLE)..............................13.0

BOURBONNAIS (KANKAKEE).......................12.5

EARLVILLE 3S (LA SALLE)......................12.0

JOLIET 2N (WILL).............................12.0

YORKVILLE 2SE (KENDALL)......................12.0

BATAVIA (KANE)...............................11.5

PERU (LA SALLE)..............................11.5

MORRIS (GRUNDY)..............................11.4

COAL CITY 4NNW (GRUNDY)......................11.1

FAIRBURY (LIVINGSTON)........................11.0

NAPERVILLE (DU PAGE).........................10.6

CHANNAHON (WILL).............................10.5

PAXTON (FORD)................................10.5

BOTANIC GARDENS (COOK).......................10.0

HARVARD (MCHENRY).............................9.0

KANKAKEE (KANKAKEE)...........................7.5

ST ANNE (KANKAKEE)............................7.5

WATSEKA (IROQUOIS)............................7.5

MILFORD (IROQUOIS)............................6.5

OTTAWA (LA SALLE).............................6.0

NORTHWEST INDIANA SNOW

LOCATION (COUNTY): FALL(INCHES)

LOWELL (LAKE)................................13.0

REMINGTON (JASPER)...........................10.4

VALPARAISO 5NNE (PORTER)......................9.3

RENSSELAER (JASPER)...........................8.0

bliz2011-930am.PNG

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Wow what a weak storm this turned out to be, definetely never lived up to the hype, and that includes most areas throught the storm. St. Louis got the ultimate screw and even Chicago didn't see the 2' it was suppose to, although it came close. The area here never saw 1" + in QPF which was progged by most models in fact I only had .89" total for the whole storm. Some areas where suppose to see snow before the change over that didnt happen. Sleet pretty much the predominant precip throught pa it seems like which really cut down on the freezing rain totals, oh well I guess on to the weekend storm. Knowing PA's luck this winter it will probably turn into a non-event.

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Wow what a weak storm this turned out to be, definetely never lived up to the hype, and that includes most areas throught the storm. St. Louis got the ultimate screw and even Chicago didn't see the 2' it was suppose to, although it came close. The area here never saw 1" + in QPF which was progged by most models in fact I only had .89" total for the whole storm. Some areas where suppose to see snow before the change over that didnt happen. Sleet pretty much the predominant precip throught pa it seems like which really cut down on the freezing rain totals, oh well I guess on to the weekend storm. Knowing PA's luck this winter it will probably turn into a non-event.

Of course, you know, some places set single storm snow records and over 400 people were trapped in their cars on Lake Shore Drive.

What we have here, folks, is a classic example of an old weather board standard - "if the storm busted in my backyard it busted everywhere."

Thanks for providing a clinical textbook example, Potter tongue.gif

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On to the weekend storm, I haven't paid much attention but it looks like Harrisburg and south is basically out of the good snow areas (which looks good for you guys north and west!) and we'll see more of a mix? Is that the basic elements so far, or at least until another edition of As The Models Turn?

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On to the weekend storm, I haven't paid much attention but it looks like Harrisburg and south is basically out of the good snow areas (which looks good for you guys north and west!) and we'll see more of a mix? Is that the basic elements so far, or at least until another edition of As The Models Turn?

Don't speak too soon, lol. 12z ECMWF shows a light to moderate snowstorm for just about the whole eastern half of Pennsylvania for the weekend.

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Wow what a weak storm this turned out to be, definetely never lived up to the hype, and that includes most areas throught the storm. St. Louis got the ultimate screw and even Chicago didn't see the 2' it was suppose to, although it came close. The area here never saw 1" + in QPF which was progged by most models in fact I only had .89" total for the whole storm. Some areas where suppose to see snow before the change over that didnt happen. Sleet pretty much the predominant precip throught pa it seems like which really cut down on the freezing rain totals, oh well I guess on to the weekend storm. Knowing PA's luck this winter it will probably turn into a non-event.

It moved through PA faster than models indicated, otherwise our totals would be more than what we did end up with. This was far from weak with the amount of moisture it had. St. Louis did get screwed with a major dry slot, but the rest of the country got hit pretty hard. Temps below freezing in Oklahoma and Texas (wind chills near or below 0F!!), many airports and city schools closed that never close, Chicago zoo closed for 2nd time ever, Chicago at one point last night had 2-3"/hr snowfall rates along with 60mph gusts and cloud to ground lightning strikes, severe icing from Indianapolis to New Jersey and even Connecticut, and now the wind and cold on the back side. We almost never see QPF totals reach what models show so .89" is pretty good when they were showing just over 1". Again the storm moved through a little faster than those models that showed 1+" indicated or you would have had over 1".

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Don't speak too soon, lol. 12z ECMWF shows a light to moderate snowstorm for just about the whole eastern half of Pennsylvania for the weekend.

Euro also brings surface temps above freezing... then again the 12z run also still had Harrisburg get into 40s at 18z... we have been 33-34 all day pretty much. GFS and NAM both for MDT keep surface temps at or below freezing (though warmer as you go east). So once again we will have a dividing line between who has some snow and who misses out.

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Don't speak too soon, lol. 12z ECMWF shows a light to moderate snowstorm for just about the whole eastern half of Pennsylvania for the weekend.

It's something worth watching for sure, but as it stands now, it's hard for me to put much excitement into this one. The whole set up seems marginal at best in this area at least, not to mention temps are expected to be at or above freezing and most of what falls is expected to occur during the daylight hours Saturday. Last weekend it snowed nearly non stop both Friday and Saturday which amounted to slightly more than nothing, and that was with temps below freezing.

We need a more dynamically driven storm to start cranking out heavier snow fall at this time of the year during the daylight hours. We've had lots of them in the past, but a 1004MB low usually doesn't cut it around here.

Other thoughts?

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I really hope this guy is joking: http://www.americanw...post__p__422512

three inches below your seasonal norm on 2/2 and winter sucks? I mean, seriously, people......we would probably give our sister for 36 inches of snow at this point.

Okay, maybe just a cousin or two, but the point remains.

no you had it right, maybe both sisters :whistle:

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Wow what a weak storm this turned out to be, definetely never lived up to the hype, and that includes most areas throught the storm. St. Louis got the ultimate screw and even Chicago didn't see the 2' it was suppose to, although it came close. The area here never saw 1" + in QPF which was progged by most models in fact I only had .89" total for the whole storm. Some areas where suppose to see snow before the change over that didnt happen. Sleet pretty much the predominant precip throught pa it seems like which really cut down on the freezing rain totals, oh well I guess on to the weekend storm. Knowing PA's luck this winter it will probably turn into a non-event.

Say what? 70MPH winds and 20"+ is weak? You do realize that there are entire cities, and rather large ones at that, that are completely shut down right now?

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It's something worth watching for sure, but as it stands now, it's hard for me to put much excitement into this one. The whole set up seems marginal at best in this area at least, not to mention temps are expected to be at or above freezing and most of what falls is expected to occur during the daylight hours Saturday. Last weekend it snowed nearly non stop both Friday and Saturday which amounted to slightly more than nothing, and that was with temps below freezing.

We need a more dynamically driven storm to start cranking out heavier snow fall at this time of the year during the daylight hours. We've had lots of them in the past, but a 1004MB low usually doesn't cut it around here.

Other thoughts?

Yeah, we somehow got almost 3 inches and IPT around the same last Saturday and I thought you guys would get more. You never got very good rates.

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I really hope this guy is joking: http://www.americanw...post__p__422512

three inches below your seasonal norm on 2/2 and winter sucks? I mean, seriously, people......we would probably give our sister for 36 inches of snow at this point.

Okay, maybe just a cousin or two, but the point remains.

He should come here to NEPA where we have about half of our seasonal norm so far. Or maybe even IPT.

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I really hope this guy is joking: http://www.americanw...post__p__422512

three inches below your seasonal norm on 2/2 and winter sucks? I mean, seriously, people......we would probably give our sister for 36 inches of snow at this point.

Okay, maybe just a cousin or two, but the point remains.

I think he's upset because they have been adding it up in the nickel and dime variety, and just want a big storm. Still, doesn't come across as too brilliant.

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