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Central PA Start of February


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Hi all. I cannot read all those weather maps like the rest of you, but I enjoy reading your insights during winter. I live in Black Moshannon, love winter, and love snowmobiling. Coming up over the mountain tonight was quite a site. It reminds me of a freezing rain event we got up here in 2005...never seen anything like it in my life. The trees along the Allegheny Front are already covered in thick ice; however, once past there and into the park it is not as bad. My car read 25 degrees on top of the mtn. I would like to thank all of you who provide so much information and share your knowledge of weather. I find it quite interesting but have to honestly tell you that I read your posts always hoping for a big snow storm.

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Just talked with my dad. He measured 1.5" of mostly snow this morning. Temperature slipped under 26° there in Lebanon County with a dewpoint of 22°. ENE wind at 4-8mph. Gonna be an icy night...lost our largest white pine in the December 2007 ice storm...we'll see if any more succumb this go around.

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Often the temperature begins to rise with the release of latent heat in freezing rain scenarios. Is anybody finding their temperature beginning to rise once the precipitation starts?

It probably will rise a bit, but as long as you can sustain winds of at least a few mph out of the NE, that will overcome most of that for a time.

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Hi all. I cannot read all those weather maps like the rest of you, but I enjoy reading your insights during winter. I live in Black Moshannon, love winter, and love snowmobiling. Coming up over the mountain tonight was quite a site. It reminds me of a freezing rain event we got up here in 2005...never seen anything like it in my life. The trees along the Allegheny Front are already covered in thick ice; however, once past there and into the park it is not as bad. My car read 25 degrees on top of the mtn. I would like to thank all of you who provide so much information and share your knowledge of weather. I find it quite interesting but have to honestly tell you that I read your posts always hoping for a big snow storm.

Wow, welcome! This is great! I live right in town in Port Matilda; I am really glad someone from up there is posting here.

Please, feel free to contribute just by posting obs.

Guys, I have told you about how several miles up this mountain it can go from an inch to a fair amount of snow, and snowgirl lives on it.

I wonder if there was a fair amount of fog? That might help with the glaze also.

And holy crap, like 2005? I still can see the tree damage up there from that one.

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Wow, welcome! This is great! I live right in town in Port Matilda; I am really glad someone from up there is posting here.

Please, feel free to contribute just by posting obs.

Guys, I have told you about how several miles up this mountain it can go from an inch to a fair amount of snow, and snowgirl lives on it.

I wonder if there was a fair amount of fog? That might help with the glaze also.

And holy crap, like 2005? I still can see the tree damage up there from that one.

I was getting reports earlier of fog on a lot of the hilltops, but that was when the temperatures were above freezing out there. Visibilities at JST have come up a bit since they went back below freezing, so it may not be as much of an issue now.

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I am having a feeling MDT is going to see .5" of ice. Judging by the fact winds are ENE and it's 29 and there's already a coating of ice on most surfaces, things might get a bit ugly.

I truly hope you guys in the more rural (ha, everyone here is more rural than me probably!) areas don't get much ice and lose power. Regardless, stay safe and warm everyone!

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Hi all. I cannot read all those weather maps like the rest of you, but I enjoy reading your insights during winter. I live in Black Moshannon, love winter, and love snowmobiling. Coming up over the mountain tonight was quite a site. It reminds me of a freezing rain event we got up here in 2005...never seen anything like it in my life. The trees along the Allegheny Front are already covered in thick ice; however, once past there and into the park it is not as bad. My car read 25 degrees on top of the mtn. I would like to thank all of you who provide so much information and share your knowledge of weather. I find it quite interesting but have to honestly tell you that I read your posts always hoping for a big snow storm.

Thanks! Glad to have you here. Keep us posted with your weather conditions whenever you can!

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I was getting reports earlier of fog on a lot of the hilltops, but that was when the temperatures were above freezing out there. Visibilities at JST have come up a bit since they went back below freezing, so it may not be as much of an issue now.

When we were going over Skytop the fog was a bit thick at the top with a temp of 29 but my neighbor said it was really dense when he went through earlier and it wasn't super dense when we came through. So, same case up here.

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I am having a feeling MDT is going to see .5" of ice. Judging by the fact winds are ENE and it's 29 and there's already a coating of ice on most surfaces, things might get a bit ugly.

I truly hope you guys in the more rural (ha, everyone here is more rural than me probably!) areas don't get much ice and lose power. Regardless, stay safe and warm everyone!

Down to 27.4F here along Blue Mountain near Linglestown.

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MCD about incoming rates:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0077

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0739 PM CST TUE FEB 01 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TO SERN PA...MD PANHANDLE AND W CNTRL NJ

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 020139Z - 020715Z

FREEZING RAIN...POTENTIALLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES ACROSS CNTRL

PA...WILL INCREASE FROM W TO E TONIGHT. EXPECT RATES AROUND 0.05" TO

0.10" PER 3 HOURS EXCEPT IN ANY HEAVIER CONVECTIVE CELLS THAT MAY

DEVELOP WHERE RATES MAY BRIEFLY BE HIGHER.

01Z MESOANALYSIS INDICATED SURFACE WET BULB TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO

ACROSS MUCH OF PA INTO W CNTRL NJ. AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SLEET WERE MOVING INTO WRN PA AS PRECIPITATION SHIELD /ASSOCIATED

WITH WARM CONVEYOR BELT/ISENTROPIC LIFT AROUND 850 MB LOW NEAR ST.

LOUIS/ TRACKS NEWD. 23Z RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATED AN ELEVATED

WARM NOSE AROUND 860-870 MB OF 3-6 C WITH SFC TEMPERATURES RANGING

FROM THE LOW 20S TO NEAR 30 F ACROSS THE MCD AREA. THE ONLY

QUESTIONABLE AREA IS NEAR THE MARYLAND PANHANDLE WHERE SFC

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR FREEZING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS

AS SFC LOW NOW OVER SRN IND/SWRN KY TRACKS E/NEWD AND ATTENDANT WARM

FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM APPROACHING MID LEVEL LOW

PRESSURE SYSTEM...850 MB FRONTOGENESIS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF LOW AS

WILL MID LEVEL JET /40-50 KT/...LEADING TO INCREASED FORCING THROUGH

THE SATURATED WARM LAYER. EXPECT RATES TO INCREASE ACROSS WRN PA BY

03Z...REACHING W CNTRL NJ BY AROUND 06-09Z.

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