Snowfreak09 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 latest surface analysis has the high north of VT one MB weaker at 1033. Still stronger than progged by both the 12z GFS and NAM for this hour. Also looks like its starting to become elongated and merge with high pressure moving eastward north of the lakes. Looks like a bannana high setting up like was origionally modeled. Overall I think the trends are good. Would have liked to see that high hold steady north of VT but a 1 mb flucuation is not that big of a deal if it holds steady from here. Hey help a novice out-- how is this a trend? and how is it good? means more frozen precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ice Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY... NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-020600- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.IS.W.0001.110201T1623Z-110202T2300Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...A 1/4 TO 1/2 AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION...BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL TAPER OFF THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS...WITH TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES LIKELY BEING FELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Temps in Mid Brooklyn down from 34.2 to 31.1. 1 Foot Snows close schools ..like last week. Can a potential ice storm close NYC schools tomorrow? When would this really get underway in NYC/Western LI? I guess no chance of a scattered snowflake anytime soon either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It wasn't expected so early. Temps were expected to crash late this afternoon and evening as the weak low off the NJ coast moved eastward and winds turned to the north. The temps crashing over Brooklyn/Queens appears to be related to the coastal front moving slowly SE. A few WeatherBug stations in southern Brooklyn and Queens have seen temps drop 4 degrees from their daily high! Also, the coastal front is getting closer to JFK - the station in Jamaica, Queens is only about 6 miles north of JFK. The coastal front appears to be oriented SW to NE, because the temp. drop has just made it to west-central Nassau (Floral Park) within the past 10 minutes. Midwood, Brooklyn: http://weather.weath...6286&stat=BRKMD East New York, Brooklyn: http://weather.weatherbug.com/NY/Brooklyn-weather.html?zcode=z6286&stat=BROKN Jamaica, Queens: http://weather.weatherbug.com/NY/Jamaica-weather.html?zcode=z6286&stat=JMCST Fresh Meadows, Queens: http://weather.weath...6286&stat=QNSFP Everything seems to be much quicker, as the change to sleet and freezing rain wasnt expected until 10 AM either-- looks like the cool down has also sped up. I wonder what this means for later today, tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The temp has started to drop here also-- from 33.5 to 33.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ice Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY... Just saw that. Wonder if Mt Holly will follow suite at some point for the N&W parts of the CWA. Will be a fine line between sleet and freezing rain and eventually the already discussed push NW of the surface freezing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...COASTAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 1/10 AND 1/4 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW HAS MIXED WITH AND CHANGED TO SLEET AND SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE...WITH PLAIN DRIZZLE ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND THE IMMEDIATE OCEAN-FACING COASTS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT TIMING OF CHANGEOVER WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON ICING AMOUNTS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL DURING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS COULD KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Precip. will be over by about noon in NYC, at the time OKX says a change to rain will be occurring. NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * TIMING...SNOW HAS MIXED WITH AND CHANGED TO SLEET AND SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE...WITH PLAIN DRIZZLE ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND THE IMMEDIATE OCEAN-FACING COASTS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT TIMING OF CHANGEOVER WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON ICING AMOUNTS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL DURING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS COULD KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 down to 28.3 here...can anyone confirm this temp drop in the middelsex county area? we have a few burst of steady frz rain...sidewalks and elevated surfaces icey...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 down to 28.2 degrees here, looks like the coastal front is now moving east out into suffolk county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 temps dropping here to. went from 24.4 to 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 down to 28.3 here...can anyone confirm this temp drop in the middelsex county area? we have a few burst of steady frz rain...sidewalks and elevated surfaces icey...... Confirmed in New Brunswick. Temp's dropped a couple of degrees in the past hour. Down to 29 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 temp 28 with light rain and drizzle...was up to 32 a few hours ago but dropped back a few now...It looks like we got less than an inch of snow but that was what I observed at 6am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Confirmed in New Brunswick. Temp's dropped a couple of degrees in the past hour. Down to 29 now. Thanks....this spotty preciep is def going to make travel a bit dicey today.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeInNJ Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm sure its not incredibly accurate but I've watched the temperature in my car drop from 25 to 23. (In hackettstown, NJ, in between classes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Confirmed in New Brunswick. Temp's dropped a couple of degrees in the past hour. Down to 29 now. I'm in New Brunswick as well to confirm this. It's likely due to the burst of ZR since the low level cooling wasn't supposed to happen until later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ice Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY... NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-020600- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.IS.W.0001.110201T1623Z-110202T2300Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1123 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...A 1/4 TO 1/2 AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION...BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL TAPER OFF THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS...WITH TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES LIKELY BEING FELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. No mention of plain rain anywhere. Interesting but as much as I hate ice, I am glad the potential for no plain rain at all from this is still on the table. Watch those high pressure areas in Canada. They will be the tell all about how this thing goes for this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 18 up this way. Guess I'll get the flashlight and chain saw ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 im not sure if this is even possible but my temp appears to have dropped all the way to 25.2 degrees from 28 about a half hour ago. Is my thermometer broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Temps have crashed below freezing here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Extrapolating that into NNJ and NW NJ and I start to cringe at what may happen between 12AM & 12PM Wednesday. Hopefully we can keep ice accumulations at or below 0.5". If so we should avoid widespread problems. If they climb to 0.6 or 0.7" then things get a bit more criticial as more widespread disruptions may develop. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 24.7....this is pretty wild for such a short period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Temps down to 26.5 here and have sleet now mixing in with drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 25.7 and dropping ever so slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Upton raised the snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 now at 23.8 degrees...if that is accurate there is probably a flash freeze occurring out on the wet roadways right now as it continues to drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm a bit puzzled by Upton here they are forecasting 1/4 inch of ice here and they canceled the WSW. I know ice storm warning is .5 inches but why didn't they leave up the WSW that they issued just 7 hours ago? Also they are still saying 4.9 inches of snow here in Manhattan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I think the temp. sensor at LGA is messed up. Bayside down to 26F, Elmhurst down to 28F, Astoria down to 26.5F and LGA is still at 30F with no temp. drop at all? http://weather.weatherbug.com/NY/Elmhurst-weather.html?zcode=z6286&stat=IS5WC http://weather.weatherbug.com/NY/Bayside-weather.html?zcode=z6286&stat=BYSD1 Temps down to 26.5 here and have sleet now mixing in with drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hey, finally made it to 33.....33/32 here now, precip has stopped. But sounds like temps will be coming back down soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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