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January 31-February 2 Historic Winter Storm part 8


Hoosier

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Something strange going on down near Springfield, MO. Radar clearly shows a wave propagating out over the dry slot down there. Also seems to be a wind shift developing in the observations in southern MO as well.

Is this our gravity wave?

Dr. Tim Coleman is a GW expert and spotted the same thing:

http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=40091

GW=Gravity Wave not Global Warming :-)

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Well Mike...

EC upgraded Hamilton, Northern Niagara, Lambton, Middlesex, Oxford & Brant to Blizzard Warnings. Weird spatial distribution of that warning.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR:

=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON

=NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX

=NEW= OXFORD - BRANT

=NEW= ST. CATHARINES - GRIMSBY - NORTHERN NIAGARA REGION

=NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON.

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE MAJOR STORM WHICH WAS BORN IN TEXAS LATE MONDAY IS

APPROACHING SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ACCOMPANIED BY AN EXPANSIVE SWATH

OF WINTERY PRECIPITATION. HEAVY SNOW WILL ARRIVE IN

SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO THIS EVENING AND QUICKLY SPREAD NORTHEAST

TO THE GOLDEN HORSESHOE AROUND MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD TOTAL

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 CM ARE LIKELY BEFORE THE SNOW

BEGINS TO LIGHTEN UP WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS

ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HAMILTON TO ST. CATHARINES CORRIDOR.

IN ADDITION, STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 40 GUSTING TO 60 OR 70

KM/H WILL ACCOMPANY THE SNOW, CREATING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

NOTE THAT THE BLIZZARD WARNING CRITERIA FOR ONTARIO WAS

CHANGED JUNE 2010 TO REMOVE COLD WIND CHILL REQUIREMENTS. THE

NEW CRITERIA REQUIRES A VISIBILITY OF 400 METRES OR LESS IN

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ACCOMPANIED BY SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF

40 KM/H FOR AT LEAST FOUR HOURS. THIS WILL LIKELY MEAN MORE

BLIZZARD WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED IN THE FUTURE.

THIS IS THE FIRST WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN

ONTARIO SINCE MARCH 1993, DURING THE 'STORM OF THE CENTURY'.

THIS IS A WARNING THAT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR

OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER

CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.

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Good summary of weather for Central Indiana this evening..

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN

253 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

.UPDATE...

THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM...SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM SECTIONS HAVE

BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO TAKE AIM ON THE

AREA. EXPANSIVE AND INTENSIFYING PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS

ENCROACHING UPON THE FORECAST AREA NOW AND WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST

THIS EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED IN MUCH OF THE

AREA...MIXING WITH SLEET OR SNOW IN SOME AREAS...WTIH HEAVY SNOW

EXPECTED FROM LAFAYETTE NORTHWARD. THE CENTER OF THE LOW PRESSURE

SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA AROUND MIDNIGHT

TONIGHT...WITH COLD AIR QUICKLY PUSHING INTO THE AREA BEHIND IT.

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS

POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND

TONIGHT...WHICH WILL CAUSE MANY TREES AND POWER LINES TO COME

DOWN.

VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK AND

EARLY NEXT WEEK AS BROAD TROUGHING REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF

THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE NATION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA

TONIGHT. EXTREMELY INTENSELY DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL

PUSH UP THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO AND WABASH

VALLEYS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DEPICT CLASSIC

FREEZING RAIN SITUATION WITH LARGE WARM LAYER ALOFT AND RELATIVELY

SHALLOW BUT VERY COLD SURFACE BASED LAYER.

ZONE OF LIKELY FREEZING RAIN HAS SHIFTED JUST SLIGHTLY

NORTHWARD...WITH MOSTLY SNOW REMAINING IN LAFAYETTE...FREEZING

RAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF THERE...WITH THE MAX INTENSITY ALONG AND

EITHER SIDE OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. THE FAR SOUTHERN TIER

OF COUNTIES IN CENTRAL INDIANA WILL LIKELY REACH NEAR OR JUST

ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK DURING THE EVENING...WHICH WILL CUT DOWN

ON ICE AMOUNTS THERE.

OWING TO VERY STRONG FORCING...THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES

THIS EVENING.

WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH CONTINUE TO BE EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM

RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD TREES

AND POWER LINES DOWN CAUSING LARGE LOSS OF POWER THROUGHOUT MUCH

OF CENTRAL INDIANA.

A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL OCCUR QUICKLY LATE TONIGHT/EARLY

WEDNESDAY MORNING. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

STUCK VERY NEAR WETBULB TEMPERATURE PROGS AS HEAVY PRECIPITATION

WILL BE ONGOING MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

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Did mention some sleet early this afternoon, but I think later on that it will start to warm up higher and then the real stuff begins..

I hear the sleet against my window west of Indy at the moment with a temperature of 21.7* at my house...I would have guessed the temperature would have risen higher by now so I guess we are fortunate...but it appears just to be a matter of time...winds have picked up and are starting to howl...scared to think what another 1" of ice later today/tonight-- on top of the ice rink which already exists-- will result in. I suspect I will be forced to bow out of the thread- against my will due to a loss of electricity- this evening.

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Hi everyone. Very new here and no real clue about any of this, so I'm keeping my yap shut on everything and just reading your posts in amazement. I've easily read 3,000 since yesterday. Anyway, I was almost one of those to write this off as news channels trying to snag ratings. Then I found this site. I changed my attitude very quickly :)

So, my name is Dave, I live 5 miles N of I-80 and about 7 miles west of I-55 in far far west Joliet. Lots of open space around here - even the 2" we got last night was pretty bad blowing/drifting on the farm roads.

I have a GoPro Hero 960 cam taking a pic every minute in the backyard (facing east), and a webcam taking every two minutes facing out front (facing west). I worked 4:30-10:30 instead of 6-2 today and tomorrow is a snow day. (Heck, with the roads around here Thursday might be out too). My biggest concern was for my wife who is a first responder (911 disp). Thankfully they having living arrangements set up at the Fire Dept for them so she isn't at risk, although I feel she might be working 32 out of 40 hours.

I was 7 in 1979 and only remember jumping off the garage roof a bunch of times with my dad. 1999 was pretty bad and I was stuck driving in it. A 22-mile round trip took 6 hours.

So my wife is safe, I'm home with food and nowhere to go, and I am going to enjoy the hell out of this thing.

I picked the right year to buy snowshoes! They were delivered the Wed before NYE and everything melted the next two days. Not enough to use them... until now :D

OK back to reading. Keep it up guys and everyone be safe, especially those in the ice zone and that crazy guy who's going to the lakefront later ;)

We will expect frequent updates with the cam... welcome!

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I hear the sleet against my window west of Indy at the moment with a temperature of 21.7* at my house...I would have guessed the temperature would have risen higher by now so I guess we are fortunate...but it appears just to be a matter of time...winds have picked up and are starting to howl...scared to think what another 1" of ice later today/tonight-- on top of the ice rink which already exists-- will result in. I suspect I will be forced to bow out of the thread- against my will due to a loss of electricity- this evening.

Yeah, I've got that feeling also. Plus have some power outages just north of my location already..

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