wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Been snowing light to moderately for about 4 hours straight. My guess? 2 additional inches of snow on top of the 1 inch this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It was the same as my prelim call. Lowered to 8-12/6-10 but the elevated instability in the DGZ showing up on BUFKIT makes me believe we could have a 3-5 hour of TSSN/2" per hour rates late tuesday night into Wed morning. Model QPF charts aren't going to pick that up. Canuck, what do you think for Ottawa. An accuweather met seems to think only 2-4", which seems kind of low given the model trends. I'm thinking 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It was the same as my prelim call. Lowered to 8-12/6-10 but the elevated instability in the DGZ showing up on BUFKIT makes me believe we could have a 3-5 hour of TSSN/2" per hour rates late tuesday night into Wed morning. Model QPF charts aren't going to pick that up. Should be interesting if we get thundersnow. In any event, the Wed. AM rush hour is going to be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jendoc Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I had to drive to Minooka tonight with my daughter, it wasn't snowing when we left. There was about 1/2 inch on the roads coming home and the highway was horrible. If this gives me any inkling as to how Idot is going to handle tomorrow and tomorrow night, its going to be ugly. I want to thank anyone that is working to keep our roads clean, but I will say I55 and I80 were not good tonight. Be safe out there everyone!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The Wxcaster clown maps have been very consistent...i'm impressed... the colors are refreshing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sc2man13 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That would give me 18+ of snow. I'd love to see it happen. Will it happen? Doubtful but the inner weenie in me would love it. I am feeling pretty good about getting a foot here and I'd gladly take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Beau- Couple squashed loaves left for you on those shelves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 LOL....I'm 90 miles southeast of the consensus track and I'm watching it. This is an amazing storm and I'm looking at absolutely nothing....no snow, no zr, no severe, nada...the ultimate screw zone. However, I'm watching it because it's hard to take your eyes off of weather like this taking place anywhere. Granted, it is sickening in a way that we can't seem to get a big storm year-in and year-out. But...when you love weather, what are you gonna do? i'm only 70 miles west of the action and it is driving me insane as well. Oh well we got about 5 more weeks to get in a big storm before spring time arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Freezing drizzle here in Bloomington, IL - at this time. 23 degrees. Wal Mart Bread Shelves Hahaha! Looks like that place got looted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It sure looks like to me with the way the precip is blossoming in the plains we are going to be seeing some decent snow starting right around 10am to noon. That might be a hair faster than expected. Im liking 13-17" for the quad cities. And I think we'll be in the middle to high end of that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macintosh Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hahaha! Looks like that place got looted. As a side note...those of us in the tinfoil hat community realize that *this* photo would be store wide in less than 24 hours in the event of a currency crash. Be prepared! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 0.24" liquid thus far at MSN, not bad for this stage of the storm. Still lots of snow on tap for the night, basically a continuous stream until the main storm hits 00z GFS gives us 0.7" in the main event, so were on track to break an inch of liquid total I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 And cyclone I think 15-18" for you very likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It sure looks like to me with the way the precip is blossoming in the plains we are going to be seeing some decent snow starting right around 10am to noon. That might be a hair faster than expected. Im liking 13-17" for the quad cities. And I think we'll be in the middle to high end of that range. What are your thoughts about the totals out in Iowa City & Cedar Rapids? I was thinking 10-13, but I've seen anywhere from 6 to 17, so quite the range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Anyone going to do a map after the euro comes out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Justin, Snow Total for RFD. what do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest RUC goes crazy with the low and has much stronger wind fields across the entire plains by tomorrow than either the NAM/GFS. I feel more confident as this unfolds those pieces of guidance will likely be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 What are your thoughts about the totals out in Iowa City & Cedar Rapids? I was thinking 10-13, but I've seen anywhere from 6 to 17, so quite the range. 8-12" seems like a good bet... middle of that zone most likely but the gradients will be tight... quickly going up to the E and SE and rapidly dropping off to the West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 And cyclone I think 15-18" for you very likely. I would agree with that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Justin, Snow Total for RFD. what do you think? 12-16" I'd say as a best guess also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 i'm only 70 miles west of the action and it is driving me insane as well. Oh well we got about 5 more weeks to get in a big storm before spring time arrives. Indeed...weather can really drive you insane. I don't know about the rest of the winter. Things don't look so favorable for us right now in the long-term and it looks like we'll both be too far northwest for the next storm. However, this is one heck of a storm....and I guess I can hope that maybe this thing gets so wrapped up we get some unforgettable and record-breaking winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Freezing drizzle here in Bloomington, IL - at this time. 23 degrees. Wal Mart Bread Shelves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest RUC goes crazy with the low and has much stronger wind fields across the entire plains by tomorrow than either the NAM/GFS. I feel more confident as this unfolds those pieces of guidance will likely be wrong. What's your opinion on STL? It's up there right now as prob one of the toughest calls IMO. A lot of the guidance came in colder today, either due to the Low shifting east more or the storm so dynamic that there's going to be quite a bit of cooling once we get on the backside of the low. I live in the city, and my prediction is some ice glaze in the early AM, 2" of Sleet and 10" of Snow....Do you think if the RUC is correct that STL will be in a less favorable position? Thanks ahead of time. Enjoy your thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Indeed...weather can really drive you insane. I don't know about the rest of the winter. Things don't look so favorable for us right now in the long-term and it looks like we'll both be too far northwest for the next storm. Give it time... lots of room for that system to play with....all the snow that is soon to be on the ground to your NW might be able to enhance any future baroclinic zones for future systems to feed and fuel on. Storms don't always track along the edges of the snow fields, but I tend to believe snow only enhances the chances of it happening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest RUC goes crazy with the low and has much stronger wind fields across the entire plains by tomorrow than either the NAM/GFS. I feel more confident as this unfolds those pieces of guidance will likely be wrong. How crazy...mb? It's late and I'm feelin' lazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 One minute I go from thinking huge snow to not so huge snow for LAF. Track of some features across the area reminds me a lot of the 12/15/07 event and there was a huge gradient between this county and neighboring counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Warm air has arrived in Murray, it was in the low to mid 40's all afternoon and then all of a sudden between 10 and 11 it jumped to 53 degrees. I'm hoping I can sneak in a severe thunderstorm warning or two. Meanwhile 70 miles away it will be winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 996 in NE ARK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Latest RUC goes crazy with the low and has much stronger wind fields across the entire plains by tomorrow than either the NAM/GFS. I feel more confident as this unfolds those pieces of guidance will likely be wrong. Im not evening using the NAM/GFS for what I'm thinking will go down. I was trying to explain the problems to my meso class tonight at school lol told them all that I think a nw trend is going to play out tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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