A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 old but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12Z AmericanWx WRF is posted now: http://models.americanwx.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 How come there's no precipitation falling now. With all of this Gulf moisture streaming northward and overrunning the cold air, you'd think there'd be a band of precipitation across Indiana and Ohio? Stop trolling. Seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snow coming down steady in Peoria, smaller flakes and the wind isn't bad in town. I imagine outside of town there are blizzard like conditions already. I made home from work from Morton and there was maybe a 1/4 mile visibility at best. Road conditions were deteriorating quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichMedic Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Friend just sent me this from Skiatook, OK: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12Z AmericanWx WRF is posted now: http://models.americanwx.com What a convenient little bubble of 4" over Kitchener and Etobicoke, eh Snowstormcanuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 IND just put us under and ice storm warning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Say it isn't so. It'll still be awesome for 6-10 hours with main surge of moisture ahead of the occluded front, but it'll cutoff pretty quickly around 10-11am I think. Not even sure the better wrap around snows will make it in here during the afternoon. The vast majority of our snowfall will probably come with the first batch. At least that's what the newest round of guidance says. Still have to watch and see how things unfold but based on how things are developing upstream, I think the wrapped up/north/dryslot scenario is very likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Friend just sent me this from Skiatook, OK: Oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 What a convenient little bubble of 4" over Kitchener and Etobicoke, eh Snowstormcanuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Even the EURO now is showing a large and aggressive dry slot on the east side of the ul low. No getting around it. I'm knocking my imby numbers back to 6-10". Friends in SE MI might have to consider doing the same. I already did. I honestly don't understand what everyone else sees that makes them so optimistic about 12"+ amounts on this side of the storm, at least on a widespread basis. Even widespread 10"+ amounts with time is looking less likely. However, I am liking the chances for thundersnow, but that won't really make a diffrence with the forecasted amonts if the convective cores are transient (and they will be). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichMedic Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Oh my. Right?? It'll start your way before mine - can't wait to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 IND just put us under and ice storm warning as well. Crap. Sorta funny as I'm bordered by the county to the north under a Blizzard Warning and a county to my south under an Ice Storm Warning. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 ya se MI is looking like it'll see that infamous dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Friend just sent me this from Skiatook, OK: nice, very nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snow is beginning to gracefully fall from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Have you seen any actual ice accumulation forecast maps? Wondering who will end up with the highest ice damage. Appears St Louis will be spared. More sleet or snow there. I have not yet. Here is the recent near term update from Indy regarding the icing, and reasons for going to ice warning. Also an MD was released regarding .25 every 3 hours. NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON/ SATELLITE AND MODELS AGREE ON MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BETWEEN 19 AND 21 UTC. RADAR HAS THE LEADING EDGE NEAR THE WABASH RIVER AND THE AREA IS EXPANDING AS EXPECTED. SURFACE LOW IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SHOULD MOVE TO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS BY 00Z. THIS WILL INCREASE THE GRADIENT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. ANOTHER CONCERN IS THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ON THE BLENDED PRODUCT. VALUES ARE 200% OF NORMAL WHICH MAY LEAD TO HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. CONVECTION NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH THIS DYNAMIC OF A STORM. USED RUC AND HRRR MODELS FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SUGGEST THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES MAY HAVE JUST RAIN BY 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Have you seen any actual ice accumulation forecast maps? Wondering who will end up with the highest ice damage. Appears St Louis will be spared. More sleet or snow there. Beau, Looks like the heaviest will be along the I-70 corridor, right through downtown Indianapolis. But already seeing reports of trees coming down in Morgan county.. Calling for rates of up to 1" with locally higher amounts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 KPIA 011826Z 05013G19KT 1/4SM R13/1600V1800FT +SN FZFG VV002 M06/M08 A3000 here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 IND really looks to be in a bad spot, round two is about to commence there 0.4" ice already w/limbs coming down. With a forecast of 0.5-0.9" additional ice w/wind gusts up to 35-40 mph. Absolutely brutal combination. Won't take long after the second batch arrives to start seeing major problems in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 GREarth radars are running - impressive http://weatherobserv...ar_grearth2.htm thanks these area great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Beau, Looks like the heaviest will be along the I-70 corridor, right through downtown Indianapolis. But already seeing reports of trees coming down in Morgan county.. Calling for rates of up to 1" with locally higher amounts.. Hang tight man, and that goes to all down around Indy and elsewhere in this ice storm. KIND's use of catastrophic from yesterday may be becoming realized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavy heavy snow....... and THUNDERSNOW! congrats JoMo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 flashback LSD and Foster (right where i am going to be taking pics from) after the current record holder 23" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
illinois Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This will be catastrophic if ice goes over an inch - the forecast doesn't sound good. Will be curious what 1-2 wide county area ends up with the highest damage. Snowing here now - can't believe how strong the winds are already. Impressed - we are in a fairly open area. Icing in Flora and Olney along the Route 50 corridor. Temps 20 miles to our south at 34, going to be really close for a lot of us down in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 almost blizzard conditions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM now shows the gravity wave. Gonna be watching those obs closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sc2man13 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It has been snowing very lightly all day here, We did well with the WAA snows last night picking up 2 inches. I am just glad to see the flurries because it means the air is saturated so as soon as precip moves over us, it will fall. Should I worry about the dry slot up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
naptown Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 light freezing drizzle about 20 mimnutes ago in indy. didn't last long...glazed my windshield a bit. now have a little freezing mist. main roads in indy are decent but side roads have packed sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hang tight man, and that goes to all down around Indy and elsewhere in this ice storm. KIND's use of catastrophic from yesterday may be becoming realized. It's definitely looking like that could very well come to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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