TimChgo9 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 About 2" down right now. Light snow blowing about Wind gusting to 32 from the East. It smells like a storm outside.. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 some sources are still saying 18-29 inches for Peoria through wednesday afternoon. I think we will have 8 inches down by 6pm this thread is about can we break the record http://www.americanw...nder-18-inches/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah just started about 5 minutes ago in Morton. Small flakes but already blowing pretty good. Another hr or less before the heavy stuff gets here, then we may see some blizzard type weather already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Weather history being made today. The Oklahoma Mesonet site at Boise City (in the panhandle) recorded a wind chill of -36 degrees at 9:05 am. That's the coldest in Mesonet history! The Mesonet was founded in 1994. Is that the 58 MPH wind gust or the 60 MPH gust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Brief lull here in Madison as the main precip shield approaches. 6.0" as of 6 am at MSN, so that'll be the total for the first wave. That's from 0.32" liquid so a 19:1 ratio. I'm pleased to see the models really get Madison deep into the main event. GFS has 0.75" and the NAM 1.00". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Dry Slot ? for SEMI short lived? nothing? or severe dry slot? Which one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looking clearer now that this will be a sleet fest here with possibly some zr thrown in. The major ice zone is going to be awfully close and still makes me a tad uneasy. I think there's going to have to be a severe reduction in snow totals on the new forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Can anyone post the new HRRR? Looks sick. Don't know how to post images on here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looking clearer now that this will be a sleet fest here with possibly some zr thrown in. The major ice zone is going to be awfully close and still makes me a tad uneasy. I think there's going to have to be a severe reduction in snow totals on the new forecasts. Yeah, I'm thinking we may start as sleet here, but the real ice won't be far behind.. We're about as ready as we can be in my household.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The ONLY thing I could POSSIBLY complain about is the meat of this storm is coming overnight so the photo opportunities of the blizzard in progress aren't even close to what they could be. But, I'll be out Wednesday with my fancy new camera for sure. Looking at all the models including the most recent HRRR and RUC, the pivot point seems to set up just south of Chicago. In our region, Chicago to Racine or Milwaukee look to be the jackpot. Who am I kidding, the whole region is a winner with this one. agree on your complaint and yes this is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 man this is the first time in my model watching history that ive had to switch to 'medium' resoultion images at NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The ONLY thing I could POSSIBLY complain about is the meat of this storm is coming overnight so the photo opportunities of the blizzard in progress aren't even close to what they could be. But, I'll be out Wednesday with my fancy new camera for sure. Looking at all the models including the most recent HRRR and RUC, the pivot point seems to set up just south of Chicago. In our region, Chicago to Racine or Milwaukee look to be the jackpot. Who am I kidding, the whole region is a winner with this one. If you in line for snow, yes you're a winner.. But for those about to get the ice, I don't necessarily consider those to be winners in this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looking clearer now that this will be a sleet fest here with possibly some zr thrown in. The major ice zone is going to be awfully close and still makes me a tad uneasy. I think there's going to have to be a severe reduction in snow totals on the new forecasts. I could be wrong, but I remember from past ice storms that it's typically the long-duration, moderate-intensity events that cause the biggest problems, as when you get a 6-12 hour shot of heavy precipitation rates the falling rain tends to "run off" and doesn't accrete as well. While 1-1.5 inches of QPF may fall tonight, not all of that may accrete due to the high precipitation rates. The prolonged, overrunning moderate-intensity events with temperatures in the teens or lower cause the biggest ice storms. HOWEVER, with winds as high as projected - and at least a half inch of ice accretion, it's still likely a recipe for an ice storm disaster. Just some thoughts to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Really cool radar out of LOT right now. NE-SW aligned lake band penetrating deeply, while leading edge of system snow is moving SW-NE. Very odd looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I could be wrong, but I remember from past ice storms that it's typically the long-duration, moderate-intensity events that cause the biggest problems, as when you get a 6-12 hour shot of heavy precipitation rates the falling rain tends to "run off" and doesn't accrete as well. While 1-1.5 inches of QPF may fall tonight, not all of that may accrete due to the high precipitation rates. The prolonged, overrunning moderate-intensity events with temperatures in the teens or lower cause the biggest ice storms. HOWEVER, with winds as high as projected - and at least a half inch of ice accretion, it's still likely a recipe for an ice storm disaster. Just some thoughts to consider. Some areas here already have a half inch of ice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Nice 35 ubar/sec lollipop on that 700mb chart there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Some areas here already have a half inch of ice.. I'm not downplaying anything and with the ice accretion and projected winds, it will be a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 New and final call for LAF: 2-4" snow (liking the lower end at this point) 1-2" sleet .25" or less glaze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This map provides a pretty good outline of precipitation types *Snow NW of the black line. *Sleet/Freezing Rain SE of the black line and NW of the red line *Rain SE of the red line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 New and final call for LAF: 2-4" snow (liking the lower end at this point) 1-2" sleet .25" or less glaze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I could be wrong, but I remember from past ice storms that it's typically the long-duration, moderate-intensity events that cause the biggest problems, as when you get a 6-12 hour shot of heavy precipitation rates the falling rain tends to "run off" and doesn't accrete as well. While 1-1.5 inches of QPF may fall tonight, not all of that may accrete due to the high precipitation rates. The prolonged, overrunning moderate-intensity events with temperatures in the teens or lower cause the biggest ice storms. HOWEVER, with winds as high as projected - and at least a half inch of ice accretion, it's still likely a recipe for an ice storm disaster. Just some thoughts to consider. Typically that is the rule, but if last night is anything like tonight, that most likely won't save us. Even with heavy rain last night, ice accretion here occurred rapidly, I'm assuming due to the extremely cold surface temperatures. Areas along and North of I-70 stay between 20 and 30 degrees per the HRRR for the duration of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Another heavy band moving through on the backside of the system! +SN, 1/4 mile VIS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Is that the 58 MPH wind gust or the 60 MPH gust? Max gust showing at that site since Midnight is 45MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 looking like the 8pm-2am is going to be fun, solid 2"/hr with embedded storms im guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 TS, that's the old hrrr from a hr ago. New one has the heaviest bands even a bit farther north in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 looking like the 8pm-2am is going to be fun, solid 2"/hr with embedded storms im guessing. perfect pivot point location for our area on the HRRR and yeah we may here thunder for a multi hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 looking like the 8pm-2am is going to be fun, solid 2"/hr with embedded storms im guessing. Massive comma head! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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