Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's epic here in Norman. 0.25 mile VSBY at best. Ripping +SN maybe still some IP as well...about to go outside and check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 11-13" on 0.95" QPF. Tremendous omega but very shallow DGZ, which I suppose is caused by significant warming aloft. We still do have elevated instability intersecting the DGZ, so tssn is still a good bet, but without a deeper DGZ we can't turn that 0.95" into something more productive. But still an awesome storm. Still 11-13" is more than what I can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 my goal is to get a video of thunder and lightning...staying up all night. problem is my garage faces to the east so the wind might be a bit of a problem but who cares Looks like it will be epic. I can't wait to see peoples videos of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Where the heck is Bowme? It seems he only posts when negative trends are occurring. I don't know enough about weather to chime in. I'm a model hugging worry wart. Stayed up with streamwoody until I fell asleep at the PC around 3am.. Woke up @ 4am in a puddle of drool - Must of seen the nam in my dream. Shoveled and cleaned the cars off until 5:30.. got another whopping 2 hrs of sleeep in the bed and 1 at the pc. don't think I have slept more than 3 hrs a night since friday.. First thing I have to check in the AM.. JD forecast.. Coffee and 18 pages to catch up on O yeah - 4.3" measured at 5:30 Darn LES staying just north for the past 3 hrs. johndee.com forecast map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I'm hoping to take some video tonight as well from my patio. We'll see if that works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 here's what it looks like outside my apartment in Charleston, feeling a little worried about the power lines when the 2nd wave gets here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Still 11-13" is more than what I can ask for. Just have to keep an eye on the dryslot. If it gets too intrusive it might cut down those totals by an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 john dee map is over done for eastern nebraska, unless this thing pulls north and west of where it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I don't know enough about weather to chime in. I'm a model hugging worry wart. Stayed up with streamwoody until I fell asleep at the PC around 3am.. Woke up @ 4am in a puddle of drool - Must of seen the nam in my dream. Shoveled and cleaned the cars off until 5:30.. got another whopping 2 hrs of sleeep in the bed and 1 at the pc. don't think I have slept more than 3 hrs a night since friday.. First thing I have to check in the AM.. JD forecast.. Coffee and 18 pages to catch up on O yeah - 4.3" measured at 5:30 Darn LES staying just north for the past 3 hrs. Do you live on the south side? I'd say here north of I-94 we have a bit more than that. I'd say 6 inches total from the WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Just have to keep an eye on the dryslot. If it gets too intrusive it might cut down those totals by an inch or two. It looks as if the dryslot may miss us to the souyth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The models can't handle this storm... Tulsa has picked 14" in 8 hours and they've got several more hours of 1-2"+/hr snows. There's going to be 30" totals from this beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 sorry im in class so im just jumping on for a quick minute. does the dry slot make it to the k-w as well with the latest runs? Just have to keep an eye on the dryslot. If it gets too intrusive it might cut down those totals by an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It looks as if the dryslot may miss us to the souyth It was guaranteed to miss us to the south 36 hours ago, but now it's a question mark. It may or may not miss us. sorry im in class so im just jumping on for a quick minute. does the dry slot make it to the k-w as well with the latest runs? KW would be at risk too, but it's not certain yet. If we get slotted the snow would fill back in during the early afternoon, but there'd be a 1-3 hour period of possible only flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 baroclinic_instability what do you think Should we move? Yeah I would take CSnavywx's advice and head NW. HRRR has a good handle on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12z GFS keeps the dry slot away from us but in exchange for that it lowered our QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 baroclinic_instability what do you think Should we move? Shoot up to DeKalb, college town in a blizzard would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCounty Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 So is there any possibility of getting les all the way to Rock County, WI? I am just south of Janesville. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavy heavy snow....... and THUNDERSNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 12z GFS keeps the dry slot away from us but in exchange for that it lowered our QPF. GFS is too low res to be picking up on some of the convective/mesoscale elements of this storm. I'd stick with the RGEM/NAM/SREFS for QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 So due to the dryslotting you think Peoria will see significantly less snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 So is there any possibility of getting les all the way to Rock County, WI? I am just south of Janesville. Thanks! I am not an expert, but I don't think it will extend that far. However, more than a foot is looking more and more likely, even for South-Central Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavy heavy snow....... and THUNDERSNOW! pics? and nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Heavy heavy snow....... and THUNDERSNOW! pictures/video would be lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 So is there any possibility of getting les all the way to Rock County, WI? I am just south of Janesville. Thanks! I'm in extrreme NW Rockford, I we are receiving snow showers from the seeder/feeder lake enhancement band coming on shore just North of Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 gale Galesburg? That is 70 miles northwest Peoria is only 35 NW That looks good. Another idea is you could head up to csnavywx's backyard and have brews while watching the storm. Alek could come and join you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCounty Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I am absolutely creaming my pants right now looking at this weather map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Too lazy for pics and no batteries for the Flip... Just imagine it pouring down rain, but the rain is snow. Small flakes, very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 GFS is too low res to be picking up on some of the convective/mesoscale elements of this storm. I'd stick with the RGEM/NAM/SREFS for QPF. True, but this is the first run in the past 3 days that has us getting lss than 1" QPF FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 gale Galesburg? That is 70 miles northwest Peoria is only 35 NW You could do Galesburg and be just fine there. If you head north and want to see a bit better chance of thundersnow, I would imagine LaSalle or DeKalb would be a good bet at this point. The highest risk/reward is in LaSalle I think, as they may get just close enough to the dry slot to see some nice boomers. Regardless, I think it'll be good either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.