Avid6eek Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Quick look at the overnight runs from the operation GFS and Euro, and the future looks cold and snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Indeed it does! After the LES machine works overtime this next 5 days, the next interest turns to the 11th-14th period.....potential for full latitude trough/EC cyclogenisis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Indeed it does! After the LES machine works overtime this next 5 days, the next interest turns to the 11th-14th period.....potential for full latitude trough/EC cyclogenisis. Since we are in meteorological winter perhaps a new thread is order, especially with the upcoming event approaching. Could very well be a "normal" 2-fer La Nina one. Looks very interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Sunny and 30............What a waste of a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 3.5" overnight up until now here in Liverpool. 12z NAM has second "retrograder" moving westward at a significantly lower latitude, hinting at some wrap around snows make it down into NNY, S. Ontario, and C/W NY.....which would just get enhanced further with LES.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 2nd consecutive run the gfs is this cold for thur/fri..Talk about a cold bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 2nd consecutive run the gfs is this cold for thur/fri..Talk about a cold bias Actually it has been more than 2 runs being this cold and you know what looking at the EC data it is just as cold and perhaps even a bit colder in spots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Nice 100th post! Suitable for framing. Now all we need is another WINDEX event like last winter and it will be an awesome winter for sure. Totally agree. I wouldn't be surprised if the Coastal LP came in a bit sooner than the 14th (like 2-3 days earlier perhaps). Did you frame my post Tonights latest GFS is still showing the storm around the 14th...So things are looking really good...keep your fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Actually it has been more than 2 runs being this cold and you know what looking at the EC data it is just as cold and perhaps even a bit colder in spots! I totally agree... This Vortex is going to pull tons of arctic air down....Also, I thought the GFS no longer has a cold bias. Because it has finally been adjusted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Did you frame my post Tonights latest GFS is still showing the storm around the 14th...So things are looking really good...keep your fingers crossed The 18z looked fanatastic for the 14th, but the 0z gives us a total miss and hammers the places that got hit last winter. lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUtwister Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 It's a start... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 313 AM EST SUN DEC 5 2010 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... NYZ018-036-037-044-045-060815- /O.NEW.KBGM.LE.Y.0012.101205T1800Z-101206T1000Z/ ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME... CORTLAND...NORWICH 313 AM EST SUN DEC 5 2010 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS: ONONDAGA, MADISON, NORTHERN CORTLAND, NORTHERN CHENANGO COUNTIES AND SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY PRIMARILY FROM VERONA TO WATERVILLE. * ACCUMULATIONS: TWO TO THREE INCHES THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO FIVE INCHES OVERNIGHT. * TIMING: PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD BEFORE WEAKENING TOWARD DAYBREAK. * TEMPERATURES: UPPER 20S THIS AFTERNOON THEN DROPPING INTO THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. * WINDS: WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * IMPACTS: ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ALONG WITH POOR VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Did you frame my post Tonights latest GFS is still showing the storm around the 14th...So things are looking really good...keep your fingers crossed Not yet I'm having trouble picking out a suitable frame and mat for it This last night's 8-10 mean charts for GFS and EC reasonably goo agreement I think. I totally agree... This Vortex is going to pull tons of arctic air down....Also, I thought the GFS no longer has a cold bias. Because it has finally been adjusted Yes it has been fixed and in addition its verification in the day 6-7 timeframe has been on a par with the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Not yet I'm having trouble picking out a suitable frame and mat for it This last night's 8-10 mean charts for GFS and EC reasonably goo agreement I think. Yes it has been fixed and in addition its verification in the day 6-7 timeframe has been on a par with the EC Yes it has been staying close to the EC.... I see that all the models agree that there is going to be a big storm somewhere this coming weekend. Now they will just for to work out the track and timing issues. But right now you could have a nice weekend snowstorm on your hands...It will keep your Thursday and Friday busy at the station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Time to quit this thread maybe and shift over to the Winter thread. Yes it has been staying close to the EC.... I see that all the models agree that there is going to be a big storm somewhere this coming weekend. Now they will just for to work out the track and timing issues. But right now you could have a nice weekend snowstorm on your hands...It will keep your Thursday and Friday busy at the station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Time to quit this thread maybe and shift over to the Winter thread. Okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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