Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 what a thumping snow on the nam for some. wow. Sweet inflow, somebody is going to get whacked big time real quick, traffic stopping stuff on I 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 True - could be plowing too far north while not weakening or opening up,then again, I haven't put away my ski helmet yet, heavy pingers definitely not ruled out. I will repeat what I've said prior (days ago). In Boston, it snows for prolonged periods, it rains for prolonged periods, it almost never pings for prolonged periods. Pinging at the end before a dry slot or the cutoff or a change back. 12-18 total of 2 events imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ah now I can see why you say the whole second event is sleet for you, you ping for 3 hours before me all the while the column is saturated, typical SWFE out your way, I put down a good .3 while you ping, Kev ought to love that. lol even in Moosup you don't get much snow. It's pretty much all PL/ZR for you and me in fact our soundings look dead-on similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Well the NAM over-corrected cold. Now it's close to shaking hands with the Euro. 10-20 inches for much of MA, 15-24 NH/ME/lower VT. I think we hit 14" total from the 2 storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 man the whole AWT is getting annoying.. lol.. really.. AWTIW As we thought it would. I'm out. Be back at 4:30, hopeuflly to the first of what will be many, many flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I think we hit 14" total from the 2 storms That sounds reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 wow.. do I get almost 2" of total.. still thinking total is 14-20" anything higher is good.. but any warmer and will have to cut back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 yea where you at, I am in the NEK at lyndon state (atmospheric sciences student) 0.8" up here in VT all snow with great ratios....me likey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 0.6F here and it felt like it as I pumped gas earlier. you beat me, im 1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 NAM hangs back -sn/snsh through 12z Thursday. QPF ticks up a ph from Bob's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Its going to be sweet here from about 7am to noon on Wednesday. The nam gives like 8" in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 oh well atleast i get some snow from storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 lol even in Moosup you don't get much snow. It's pretty much all PL/ZR for you and me in fact our soundings look dead-on similar. sixer ofSmittys says you are pinging while I am rippin, happens all the time. IDK what soundings you look at but Ready Now says I am saturated below zero while you ping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Funny how the mood has changed here the past few hours . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Its funny... the SV 48 hr. snowfall map still shows 12-18" for northern CT.... even with the increased warmth. Mostly from the first batch, im guessing. There usually not that accurate.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Man, I really hope snowNH didn't jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 That sounds reasonable to me. I think we'll have a nice snowfall overall. The threat really hasn't changed in the last 36 hours. Maybe we mix with sleet near or just past the height, but perhaps some fluff Wednesday Night too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 yea where you at, I am in the NEK at lyndon state (atmospheric sciences student) Went to lyndon for three semesters before switching from atmospheric sciences to education.... big mistake. Lived in Wheelock.... loved it. I'm in Ira now, which is about 7 mi southwest of rutland. Does LSC still have the ice penis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Where are you..... NEK??? Yup Lyndonville. probably looking at 10-15" maybe slightly more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 The NAM doesn't make a ton of sense to me. It's actually a little less amplified but gets everything even further north as it drags the low to mid level features out under a vmax that races up near Buffalo. I'm waiting on the others before jumping ship but my expectations are in check. 4-7" total, was thinking 7" earlier have to give some to the NAM and really think 3-6" total for now. Something isn't quite right with the NAM but we'll see, maybe it's onto something. I think I know what the NAM did. It weakend the High Pressure out in the upper Mid-West too quickly. That high is strong and will be much slower to erode than what is progged on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 FOUS61 KWNO 010000 OUTPUT FROM NAM 00Z FEB 01 11 TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5 TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5 A BOS//334561 -0524 333407 24949091 06000414064 02924 330107 26929092 12000648163 05422 310505 30949293 180[b]24[/b]959367 11118 280312 33959395 240[b]37[/b]969160 03610 250316 37979599 300[b]09[/b]968665 -0909 230317 38979400 360[b]12[/b]989473 02913 190517 40999300 42059989750 12413 070625 45009601 48026964012 00304 040220 36989600 54006897820 02215 073515 26939290 60003856724 -1120 153413 24929088 Bolded qpf BOS snow. 0.92. Now....0.59 36 to 42 and at 42 it's pinging but T3 temps is +1. But how much of that 0.59 fell when it was snow. Conversefly, 0.26 42 to 48. By 48 it's all snow, but how much pinged prior to the snow? So it appears as a guess about 1.4 qpf snow, rest ping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Ryan from Atkison post your snowmap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 oh cool, yea we have the ice penis, they climbed it this past weekend. I wish I saw it but a bunch of us went to the annual AMS meeting in Seattle. We are all pumped for this storm, it looks like a fluffy 12"+ here in the NEK. I do the weather on News 7 up here and I am on tomorrow, its going to be a fun day forecasting! Went to lyndon for three semesters before switching from atmospheric sciences to education.... big mistake. Lived in Wheelock.... loved it. I'm in Ira now, which is about 7 mi southwest of rutland. Does LSC still have the ice penis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 yea where you at, I am in the NEK at lyndon state (atmospheric sciences student) same here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 sixer ofSmittys says you are pinging while I am rippin, happens all the time. IDK what soundings you look at but Ready Now says I am saturated below zero while you ping. Yeah and I start snowing before you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 0.8" up here in VT all snow with great ratios....me likey. im happy too the NAM is garbage though its slower and less impressive with the MW surface/closing off, than the EC/GFS/GEM/UKIE hmmm will the NAM score a coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 roof is clear just bring it it snows were it wants to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 True - could be plowing too far north while not weakening or opening up,then again, I haven't put away my ski helmet yet, heavy pingers definitely not ruled out. Maybe we will see. well... consider the audience here. From newbies to regulars (namely one of them) everyone seemed to hone in on the cold NAM solutions over the last 24 hours. Those cold solutions are just about gone now. The NAM has made a substantial tick warmer which I think solidifies what many of us had already forecasted. I'm not sure what happens from here. The 00z NAM seems to jive pretty well with most other guidance which makes me think storm 2 will be pretty blah here in CT with a lot of sleet and fairly low impact. There's pretty much no denying it's warmed the last two runs. There's also no denying models - down here, have been too cold for every event just about all year. If all the other models gel with the NAM at 0z and we see a tick warmer than we have to start considering the fact that as you/others have said we quite often see warmer solutions in the end. Coupled with the biases this year of being too cold it gets interesting. As depicted right now storm two is a total dud down here and even storm 1 would flip before ending. CNE and NNE look fine. I'd not want to be the person making a forecats along the Pike if the NAM were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I will repeat what I've said prior (days ago). In Boston, it snows for prolonged periods, it rains for prolonged periods, it almost never pings for prolonged periods. Pinging at the end before a dry slot or the cutoff or a change back. 12-18 total of 2 events imho. Yeah, not thinking prolonged but I could see there being an hour or two of brain crunching ping around the end of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yup Lyndonville. probably looking at 10-15" maybe slightly more. .8" qpf actually sounds right on the money for you. 15 to 1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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