Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 There's sleet mixing in Canton right now along the stoughton border, 138 and rte 139 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Thump of snow here too before sleet? Sounds just like 00z. Marginal..maybe can hang on to snow a bit longer You might get a couple hours of heavy snow if lucky...its close for N CT. I'd feel better if I was in Union. It looks like more sleet though for N CT rather than much icing threat on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Just pouring flakes here at work. 4.4" in the past 6 hours +SN Too funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 You might get a couple hours of heavy snow if lucky...its close for N CT. I'd feel better if I was in Union. It looks like more sleet though for N CT rather than much icing threat on the Euro. Yeah I agree. Not sure south of HFD. Hard to say based on the maps I can look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 You might get a couple hours of heavy snow if lucky...its close for N CT. I'd feel better if I was in Union. It looks like more sleet though for N CT rather than much icing threat on the Euro. Let me ask this..hypothetically..how many inches of sleet would the Euro drop verbatim if it was 90% sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro doesn't give much help to the BOS-ORH corridor...its a marginal sleet/snow profile at 18z tomorrow in which 0.50" of qpf has fallen the previous 6 hr. LOL, at least it held steady. I'm still torn about how much snow I'll get in the morning. I could see a several hour thump, but that sneaky warm layer ruining the party is in the back of my mind. Those high level warm tongues always like to shoot in a little quicker than we think. However, if it's something near 0C or even like 0.5C for 50mb, perhaps the vv's can offset this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Let me ask this..hypothetically..how many inches of sleet would the Euro drop verbatim if it was 90% sleet? About 3" maybe? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro doesn't give much help to the BOS-ORH corridor...its a marginal sleet/snow profile at 18z tomorrow in which 0.50" of qpf has fallen the previous 6 hr. Hey Will (know your busy) Just wondered what your thoughts were regarding tonight into tomorrow morning, looks like there is a pretty large break between whats falling now and the swfe tom. Do you think we get persistant zr drizzle like i have now down this way or do you think precip shuts off totally, also are you thinking we stay zr rain tomorrow, I have a hard time seeing temps budging at the surface with HP to our north and a nice northerly drain. Thanks if you have the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 He was probably reporting rimed snowflakes mixed in with regular ones....they will look like normal snowflakes frequently but you can def hear them when they hit as they have just a little bit of ice in them.They aren't sleet pellets so vis can stay pretty low. ^^^This Although, definitely ip/sn now....very strange. Vis is still really low (1/2 to 1/3 mile), but the woods sound like it's all sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah I agree. Not sure south of HFD. Hard to say based on the maps I can look at. For crude map viewing, I've found that the +3 850 isotherm is pretty decent for sleet vs ZR...it can obviously vary depending on where the warmest layer is and how intense, but I've found that to be a quick crude tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Let me ask this..hypothetically..how many inches of sleet would the Euro drop verbatim if it was 90% sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Sam, how far north do you think the prolonged sleet session gets? I'm about 3mi N. or RT 2. / I-91 intersection. At least up to rt 2. You'll definitely have to deal with a few hours of it (like 10a or 11a to 1p), but might escape the worst, and will definitely get a good dumping of snow beforehand (7-10" on top of today) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 For crude map viewing, I've found that the +3 850 isotherm is pretty decent for sleet vs ZR...it can obviously vary depending on where the warmest layer is and how intense, but I've found that to be a quick crude tool. Yeah I use about the same but still hard to tell on my WSI euro maps. But it is on the colder side of guidance that woul dbe more PL than ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro suggests that the Pike COULD stay mostly if not all snow tomorrow. Wow that's a model war! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro doesn't give much help to the BOS-ORH corridor...its a marginal sleet/snow profile at 18z tomorrow in which 0.50" of qpf has fallen the previous 6 hr. Id take a nice 6" thump even if sleet after that. That could end up being like 13-14" when adding in today. So when does the euro start the snow again? around 9z or later? BTW still mod snow here but slowing up a little...looks like were done by 3-330. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah I use about the same but still hard to tell on my WSI euro maps. But it is on the colder side of guidance that woul dbe more PL than ZR. Yeah no doubt about that. Its def more of an IP look for probably northern 2/3rds of CT IMHO just looking at it quickly. S CT in those towns near rt 15 are def in for an icing event probably no matter which piece of guidance you take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 At least up to rt 2. You'll definitely have to deal with a few hours of it (like 10a or 11a to 1p), but might escape the worst, and will definitely get a good dumping of snow beforehand (7-10" on top of today) Thanks. I can deal with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro suggests that the Pike COULD stay mostly if not all snow tomorrow. Wow that's a model war! It's a nose colder at 12z vs the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 really ripping out there looking at the radar should finish up round 1 soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 transitioning to huge flakes here now in storrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's a nose colder at 12z vs the NAM. Scott, what's the verdict down in SE MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's a nose colder at 12z vs the NAM. But much colder at 18Z....0C line actually a tad south of the Pike....probably MQE west and Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Euro doesn't give much help to the BOS-ORH corridor...its a marginal sleet/snow profile at 18z tomorrow in which 0.50" of qpf has fallen the previous 6 hr. Sounds like we're pretty much good to go here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 WOW 1" in the last hour 7" new and still ripping. Back end is near though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Scott, what's the verdict down in SE MA? starting to get the feeling we are instore for some big icing tomorrow. isn't that gong to be special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 really ripping out there looking at the radar should finish up round 1 soon You guys got rocked today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Weenie maps will be fired up shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah no doubt about that. Its def more of an IP look for probably northern 2/3rds of CT IMHO just looking at it quickly. S CT in those towns near rt 15 are def in for an icing event probably no matter which piece of guidance you take. So can you give me any tips on how to deal with an epic storm from first hand experience? Not good at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 15 degrees here and 1/4 mile visibility since about 845. Got a building on the other side of the river thats a few hundred yards away that I can't see. Making my run at 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Hey Will (know your busy) Just wondered what your thoughts were regarding tonight into tomorrow morning, looks like there is a pretty large break between whats falling now and the swfe tom. Do you think we get persistant zr drizzle like i have now down this way or do you think precip shuts off totally, also are you thinking we stay zr rain tomorrow, I have a hard time seeing temps budging at the surface with HP to our north and a nice northerly drain. Thanks if you have the time. Joe, Looking upstream there's def a lot of places reporting light ZR and such where there are no echoes....so I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of freezing drizzle, but the precip could shut off totally at times. It should be interesting...I think the precip early tomorrow comes in pretty quickly...it might be into a lot of the region by 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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