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Epic winter signal continues to beam, part V


Baroclinic Zone

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Gerry,

I appreciate the Phil Rizzuto reference. He was a classic and in his less comedic prime he was one of the most underrated play by play guys in history. Even when he was old and hilarious he was still great, and even then I'd take him over all the guys today who have become stat driven baseball technocrats. I really miss Ned Martin and Ken Coleman as well.

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The snow totals are in error. The table computes snow totals by adding hourly snowfall together. That is like taking a clean snowboard, measuring the snow after one hour... and then sweeping the snowboard clean... and repeating that 24 times in one day. This is not how snow is measured. When measuring snow totals observers are not allowed to measure snowfall more that 4 times in one day.

Snow settles, so the summing with 24 snow measurements in one day will greatly overestimate the snow accumulation actually measured. The Iowa State meteograms and the Bufkit tool fixed this error in 2010. You can see the this page for how big the impact can be: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/compaction.html

Yea and that why I use this page which accounts for compaction, has been very very good this year. But every time I mention it Brian, Will and Ryan cringe, just trying to figure out if they do not know of the meteopage with compaction and algo included.

http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=ijd

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I just cannot keep up with Kev even when it starts here first :(

.7" so far on car tops, roadways, etc. About 1/2 mile in snow now....

LOL. Decent snow rates here right now.

I need to take a quick trip back in an hour. Hoping to see the models tick colder by some magic at 12z via better UA coverage of the TX s/w.

System in TX looks more amplified than the NAM was but again doesn't seem to matter a ton run to run. Who knows maybe this time it does...kind of expecting a jump one way or the other and in the end it wont matter for me.

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LOL. Decent snow rates here right now.

I need to take a quick trip back in an hour. Hoping to see the models tick colder by some magic at 12z via better UA coverage of the TX s/w.

System in TX looks more amplified than the NAM was but again doesn't seem to matter a ton run to run. Who knows maybe this time it does...kind of expecting a jump one way or the other and in the end it wont matter for me.

It started here around 4:00am

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I did? Chicago is fooked in my mind....so is St. Louis and Central IL, Indiana, and parts of Ohio....

Jack pot around here? Hunter Mt to Lakes Region NH, 24"-30" quite possible. Worcester too?!?

Nice Bob yea you mentioned 93 in the MW South with the intense T storms changing to Blizz conditions.

NECN showing snow farm in Boston, man you guys are fooked especially if you get back to back.

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